(30) They've outperformed expectation against every single opponent except for BYU: model would've expected a 7 point win this past week, instead they got a 1 point loss (adj for location).

7.98

Score 85.68 (▼ 7.00) | Place Change: ▼ 1 | Previous Rank: 1st | Wins Composite Rank: 7th | SoS Composite Rank: 5th | Margin of Victory Rank: 2nd | Penalties Composite Rank: 1st | Yardage Composite Rank: 4th | Turnover Composite Rank: 2nd | 3rd/4th Down Conversion Rank: 17th | Other Stats Rank: 11th

.860 rating, 6-1, SOS .606 (-1)

Ok, Notre Dame... it's not that bad. BYU was power rated #3; that loss doesn't hurt much, it's roughly offset by the Purdue win. You are still one of two teams with both a top-10 offense and defense, and this year, one loss will not knock you out of the playoff.

LW: 3

+0. Would be the #4 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #5 indiana/#12 Boise State in the Peach Bowl

Oh great, they have excuses again

Irish are probably as much of frauds as everyone else, but they get top 4.

-3

Painful loss, you can talk about officiating but I’ll be honest it’s way less egregious than the Miami - FSU issues. BYU nearly collapsed the stadium cheering the refs had to just make it out alive. If you can beat Miami and the somehow still alive SMU, you can still stay ranked enough to get in. If you lose either though you’re gonna drop like a stone.

83.875 (6-1) -1, -4.742, Controversial loss doesn't derail their season.

Down 2

Power: 3, SoR: 14; LW: 3

Bit of a return to earth. Defense wasn’t ready for the challenge.

Down 5 - lost close to #1

(6-1) (down 5)
L: 24-28 @ #11 BYU (6-0)
Next Week: Bye
Projected Bowl: Playoff R1 vs Georgia

LW: #3

(-4)

hand held and bottle fed so not rip

Lost on the last play of the game on the road to a top 10 team. It sucks, but it is not "FCS type of team" like some DOOMERS are saying.

1.894

What is there resume right now? I don't know, but i'd give that BYU matchup more weight than Tech.

2.025 [10.48-1.52]

Tough loss for Notre Dame. The offense had some really nice plays but struggled to finish drives especially drives that started in plus territory. The Defense struggled in the first half but made some adjustments and only let up 7 in the second half but did not clutch up when they needed to and let BYU score a touchdown on a long time consuming drive. I feel like this game was really close if Notre Dame had done a better job converting in the redzone they win but credit to BYUs defense they did well to cover NDs TEs and Receivers in the redzone.

Very weak schedule, and they lost their only tough game of the year.

Adjustment: 28.8%

Promise made, promise kept. I had Notre Dame at #15 last week under the assumption that they'd lose the BYU game, and while I pinky promised to not drop them for losing, they actually surprised me with how competent they looked down the stretch, especially on offense. Their running game looked solid, and CJ Carr played a good enough point guard to drive down the field. That being said, Carr has the makings of an extremely talented QB that just needs another year in the oven. The Irish earned my respect this weekend, and if they beat Miami then they'll probably be in the top 8.

Regarding the final play of the game, I am typically in the school of thought of "don't let the game come down to a ref call", but the ref's not being able to tell the time is inexcusable. At the same time, it's no guarantee that ND would've scored on a hypothetical final play, so what more can be said?

LW: 5 | Tier 2 | L Brigham Young

Bucket E is the beginning of the teams without a quality win.

Notre Dame may have been cheated out of one more play @BYU, and the loss itself won't hold them back that much. But they lack any quality wins due to Wisconsin dropping from that distinction.

+1

Like I said, the model needs work. I ran the numbers multiple times, and even did the math by hand. Doesn’t matter, the model loves the Irish. They’re #1 in Net EPA/Play and /Drive, and #2 in Net Adjusted EPA/Play. Record aside (and let’s be honest, there was some fuckery going on in Provo), the Irish are one of the most efficient teams in the country.

net elo off def ridge fei
+23.5 +20.6 38.3 17.7 +28.8 +21.0

en.wikipedia.org/Protest

Losing by 4 on the road to a good BYU team. Per the Big 12, ND was owed an extra attempt, even if the PI no-call was justified, as there was supposed to be 1 more second on the clock. I still think ND is good, and they seem to have developed their downfield passing a bit which is good. Theoretically, the only real test on left on their schedule should be Miami. If they don't beat Miami, I'm fairly certain they won't make the CFB unless there are a lot of 3-loss teams that are in the playing field (which is entirely possible given the chaos that has occurred so far this season). But, for right now, this team barely lost on the road to another top 10 team and I think deserves a top-5 spot (prior to this weekend, I had ND at 3, BYU at 6). Because the game was so close, and on the road, I don't feel that it is warranted to drop ND much farther than that.

122-1-14

-1

Not going to punish to much for the great game. They still look great and with less flaws then the teams below them.

-2.

Loss away to the now #1 team. Beat everyone else they played by double digits. No reason to think they should be lower than #4 for now.

It’s hard to win on the road in those types of environments, but ND had plenty of chances to do so

.840 (.10 STDEV)

Not a big drop due to how close the game was, and that ending.

6-1 (24-28 @ BYU)

1 quality loss to BYU, good win over UNC, dominant win over Wisconsin.

(2)

(-3)

(−3½) GS .905, TS 209.

-2

Notre dame plays another top team and loses? How shocking! /s

In all seriousness they played hard and took advantage of BYU’s mistakes as best they could ( except for the interception). Sure you probably got hosed at the end, but don’t go three and out after getting gifted an interception and it doesn’t come down to it. And for the fans who are tuned out or calling the season a wash chill out; it’s one loss. Beat or keep it close with Miami and you should be fine.

76.28

Thank god i can stop hearing about ND. I think they're really good, but I hate the bootlicking. They're a good team. If it was just the team on the field i'd have no issue with them but the fans and media ruin the entire experience in watching them. I love CJ carr though. dude can ball.

(64.87, -5) Notre Dame fell just short against BYU in an absolutely thrilling game in Provo. The Irish are still looking for that signature win as right now it seems like UNC(!) might be their best win so far.

With their loss to BYU, the overall strength of the resume for Notre Dame to this point is relatively weak. Their best win is either Wisconsin or North Carolina. Notre Dame has been pushed down, and is in a similar tier to the next few teams in terms of resume.

-3 - Deservedly gets the softest drop of the previously undefeated teams because BYU loss was on the road and close, and in retrospect the Wisconsin and UNC wins are decent. It still feels like they need to be Miami to reliably be in a playoff position.

1 loss to #1 BYU, best win At #42 North Carolina