.890 rating, 6-0, SOS .581 (+3)

Adjustment: 0%

+3

Undefeated P4

+2. Would be the #1 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #8 UCLA/#9 Utah in the Orange Bowl

LW: #1

1303.09 (+1)

Unfortunately, somebody has to be ranked #1.

0.90500

Straightforward, but very flimsy case. More here due to the flawed record of everyone else rather than their on field play.

Maybe FSU is better than we all think and Miami is a little worse than we all think - like all ranked teams.

+12.583728 (LW: #5)

Think the game should have went into 3OT but technically they won

Listen Miami, there are times where yall look legit and like real contenders, and there’s allot of other times where you look like you’re incredibly lucky to have a schedule where your only test so far has been Wake. Keep winning and you’ll probably be fine but good lord the amount the refs bailed you out vs FSU is embarrassing for a top tier team. Pitt has died so unless you get lost in Belichick’s man boobs ND is all you’ve got left.

6-0; wins at Clemson and Wake Forest plus Florida State; unbeaten body of work.

+2

+1

[6-0, 4-0 ACC] (+2) | SOR: #5 | Notable Results: W 33-20 @ #12 Wake Forest [5-1], W 41-13 vs @ Clemson [4-2], W 43-35 (2OT) vs Florida State [3-4] |

Aside from a surprisingly stout Wake Forest roster and feasting upon Clemson's decaying corpse in the NIL era, there hasn't been too much to write home about the Hurricanes so far until this past weekend. Perhaps it was rivalry game shenanigans, perhaps it was Norvell pulling off a coaching masterclass to save his job, but whatever it was, a dramatic double-OT winner vs Florida State (assisted again by the ACC refs not knowing what holding is or how simultaneous possession works) helps knock down their ratings just enough for BYU to jump them. They're still a very good team and may be able to jump into #1 before a fateful showdown in South Bend with the Fighting Irish in a few weeks' time.

Miami would've regained their #1 ranking, but they went to double, nearly triple overtime against unranked FSU. It was a rivalry game, and they did look good in the game, but it should never have been that close.

What an epic game though, shame it had a Refball ending. FSU makes 2 hail marys in a row on 4th down...

Also terrible replay booth, they clearly went in to prove the narrative they wanted "we all agree this is an interception, -right?-" - It was either caught by FSU's Duce Robinson, or it was a contested catch, in which case it goes to the offense. In no way was it an inteception. The FSU WR had 2 hands on the ball the entire time. It landed in the defenders stomach, yes, but when he hit the ground you saw his arms come up off the ball.

...tbh, I do think the Miami WOULD beat BYU on a neutral-site, but needing 2 OT + extra zebra help to get past Florida State at home does NOT impress me as much...

0.918, +2, Pow: 5, Off: 2, Def: 24, SOR: 5

Somehow have looked worse every week. I still think they're not moving down because of pedigree, but it seems inevitable they drop one at some point.

Do I believe that game was rigged? Eh, not really. Both of the 4th down calls were 50/50s that could excusably go either way (even if I have some questions about why the term "simultaneous possession" never came up in the ACC review room). But for one thing, I think it's hard to argue that those calls would've gone against Miami if the roles were reversed (see the "win" over VT two years ago); and for another, even taking the win at face value, it was a *very* ugly win. To me, it's hard to justify jumping a team to #1 when they have just one ranked victory and showed massive deficiencies this week. The jury's out for another three weeks until they head to South Bend. Speaking of which...

There is a big difference between winning in regulation and winning in OT2, especially when the quality of opponents is as wide as FSU and ND. They just didn't look as dominant as we've been led to believe they should be, so I'm left feeling like they still have something to prove.

Score 80.93 (▲ 0.63) | Place Change: ▲ 2 | Previous Rank: 6th | Wins Composite Rank: 3rd | SoS Composite Rank: 36th | Margin of Victory Rank: 1st | Penalties Composite Rank: 78th | Yardage Composite Rank: 1st | Turnover Composite Rank: 20th | 3rd/4th Down Conversion Rank: 39th | Other Stats Rank: 43rd

2.161 [11.00-1.00]

84.711

I only saw the last quarter/OT of the game against Florida State. I didn't see much that was really impressive. I get that it feels bad to drop this team from 2 to 8 with a win, but this was a near loss to Florida State, and their schedule has been the easiest of top 10 teams. I still think they have huge talent, and can compete with anyone, but I think they were overrated previously.

Miami only has 1 quality win, over Wake Forest. The ACC is looking really weak this year, and that will hurt Miami a lot if they drop a game. They stay behind a group of 1 loss teams because their schedule has been so weak.

net elo off def ridge fei
+24.0 +27.2 43.3 16.1 +24.0 +20.8

(+1)

Miami didn’t play a great game. However they didn’t lose like lots of other top teams yesterday. They still have key players, they’re an undefeated Power 4 team, they move to my top ranking.

1782 points In a tie with tOSU, broke the tie on overall record.

^1

A close call at home against FSU. People will argue that Miami was bailed out (twice) in OT as both of FSU's long touchdown attempts were called in Miami's favor - 1 for holding, the other claimed to be an INT by Miami. I don't personally agree with either call, but I can see how the INT was not enough to overturn given the call on the field. The holding, on the other hand, seemed much more arguable.
Either way, this was an extremely entertaining game between conference & in-state rivals. FSU came to play and did look good on offense. Miami has been a team where I thought they might be one of the most complete teams in CFB this year. Their offense is still elite, even if I feel like they run too much of it through Toney. That being said, he is Mr. Reliable. Their defense needed some work though. I'm not convinced Norvell's issue is that he can't coach on the field; I'm more convinced that Novell's issue is that they have been recruiting nowhere up to Florida State's previous standards. I'm definitely convinced that Miami might have been in much more trouble if the talent gap wasn't as wide.

Miami has some interesting games coming up - Pitt, @ Notre Dame , Duke, VT. I'm no longer as convinced that Miami will walk through this schedule.

Undefeated, good win over Wake Forest, dominant win over Clemson, struggle win over Florida State.

(5)

Ugly ass win, probably didn’t deserve it

+1.

Undefeated, mostly dominant team. Needed 2OT to beat FSU, keeping them from #1 for now.

Still unclear how good Miami is. They have 1 top 25 win against Wake, and could easily be below Ohio St in these rankings

Tier 2. Undefeated with win over #19.

Barely squeaked by FSU undefeated

Miami was able to hang on in 2OT, and in a week when so many top teams fell that is enough. The top win for Miami is Wake Forest, and their next best would be Clemson. While I value being undefeated, the lack of strong competition to this point pushes them down slightly for me.

(−1½) GS .937, TS 421.

Mia drops due to having to go to 2OT to defeat FSU.

The first school that’s slightly lower in the model than my own list, caused by a defense that’s only Top 30 as opposed to their Top 3 offense.

78.22

54.36%