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NotSoSuperNerd Ballot for 2026 Week 8

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 18, 2026, 2:40 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

Rank Team Reason
1 Georgia Bulldogs 2.267 [9.81-2.19]
2 Ole Miss Rebels 2.186 [9.15-2.85]
3 Alabama Crimson Tide 2.170 [9.09-2.91]
4 Miami Hurricanes 2.161 [11.00-1.00]
5 Tennessee Volunteers 2.102 [9.17-2.83]
6 Utah Utes 2.101 [10.59-1.41]
7 BYU Cougars 2.091 [10.34-1.66]
8 Kentucky Wildcats 2.061 [8.85-3.15]
9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2.025 [10.48-1.52]
10 LSU Tigers 1.995 [8.10-3.90]
11 Texas Longhorns 1.967 [8.00-4.00]
12 Ohio State Buckeyes 1.939 [10.10-1.90]
13 Texas Tech Red Raiders 1.879 [10.70-1.30]
14 Florida Gators 1.813 [7.58-4.42]
15 Auburn Tigers 1.750 [7.08-4.92]
16 Indiana Hoosiers 1.746 [10.50-1.50]
17 Missouri Tigers 1.727 [7.28-4.72]
18 Mississippi State Bulldogs 1.608 [6.87-5.13]
19 Houston Cougars 1.507 [9.20-2.80]
20 Wake Forest Demon Deacons 1.475 [9.84-2.16]
21 Oklahoma Sooners 1.475 [5.83-6.17]
22 UCLA Bruins 1.454 [10.38-1.62]
23 Arizona Wildcats 1.401 [8.28-3.72]
24 Texas A&M Aggies 1.397 [5.87-6.13]
25 South Carolina Gamecocks 1.393 [5.81-6.19]

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