Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 19, 2026, 12:24 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Feel free to ask about the SoS, alternative SoS (eg what if we measured from a different level of eliteness rather than gate of the top 25), SoR, overall ranking, the per game implied ratings breakdowns or anything else about the top 25 or any other team in FBS. Some of the rankings seem strange quickly become clear once you look at the per game implied ratings breakdown.
Strength of schedule and remaining strength of schedule are computed from the expected record of the #25 team (this week Arizona) against the same schedule. If you are interested in their projected records let me know.
Miami holds onto #1 despite dropping 93.7 points for only beating Florida State by 8 at home since everyone behind them lost or dropped too. Georgia's home loss to Auburn cost them 246.4 points, the biggest single-week drop of the season so far. BYU's win over Notre Dame jumps them to #3, and Tennessee's win over Alabama jumps them 14 spots to #10. Alabama falls to #5: the Tennessee loss plus the Georgia loss devaluing their best win in the same afternoon.
Here are the top 30 + changes and SoS.
| Rank | Name | Elo | Record | SoS | SoS Remaining |
|:----:|------|----:|:------:|----:|--------------:|
| 1 (↑2) | Miami (FL) | 1976.0 (-93.7) | 6-0 | #44 | #42 |
| 2 (↑2) | Notre Dame | 1935.8 (-62.6) | 6-1 | #26 | #57 |
| 3 (↑9) | BYU | 1913.2 (+84.6) | 6-0 | #28 | #53 |
| 4 (↑1) | UCLA | 1910.0 (-49.6) | 6-0 | #41 | #77 |
| 5 (↓4) | Alabama | 1897.5 (-201.3) | 5-2 | #1 | #52 |
| 6 (—) | Texas Tech | 1890.9 (-21.8) | 6-0 | #55 | #35 |
| 7 (↑2) | Ohio St. | 1867.2 (+16.4) | 6-1 | #32 | #21 |
| 8 (—) | Houston | 1867.2 (-17.6) | 6-1 | #24 | #49 |
| 9 (↑9) | LSU | 1844.3 (+53.8) | 5-2 | #15 | #3 |
| 10 (↑14) | Tennessee | 1844.1 (+111.6) | 6-1 | #36 | #17 |
| 11 (↓9) | Georgia | 1828.7 (-246.4) | 6-1 | #46 | #23 |
| 12 (↓2) | Kentucky | 1804.3 (-31.0) | 6-1 | #8 | #24 |
| 13 (↑3) | Oregon | 1798.3 (-9.3) | 4-2 | #2 | #48 |
| 14 (↓3) | Indiana | 1796.4 (-36.8) | 6-1 | #40 | #66 |
| 15 (↓1) | Texas | 1786.6 (-36.0) | 4-2 | #4 | #12 |
| 16 (↑10) | Ole Miss | 1785.9 (+90.5) | 5-1 | #22 | #28 |
| 17 (—) | Boise St. | 1774.1 (-30.3) | 5-1 | #53 | #94 |
| 18 (↓3) | Utah | 1770.5 (-43.4) | 6-0 | #111 | #15 |
| 19 (—) | Wake Forest | 1751.6 (-19.2) | 6-1 | #37 | #84 |
| 20 (↓13) | Mississippi St. | 1747.2 (-140.2) | 4-2 | #3 | #46 |
| 21 (↑4) | Oklahoma St. | 1745.8 (+33.0) | 4-2 | #20 | #58 |
| 22 (↓1) | Nebraska | 1741.8 (-18.6) | 5-2 | #57 | #51 |
| 23 (↑8) | Florida | 1732.8 (+52.3) | 5-2 | #7 | #27 |
| 24 (↓11) | Missouri | 1730.0 (-93.6) | 5-2 | #31 | #14 |
| 25 (↑4) | Arizona | 1727.9 (+42.0) | 5-1 | #69 | #40 |
| 26 (↑6) | James Madison | 1719.6 (+39.3) | 7-0 | #117 | #134 |
| 27 (↓5) | Northwestern | 1715.7 (-40.9) | 5-1 | #71 | #37 |
| 28 (↓5) | Clemson | 1715.4 (-19.4) | 4-2 | #14 | #64 |
| 29 (↓9) | South Carolina | 1711.7 (-57.8) | 3-3 | #6 | #18 |
| 30 (↓2) | North Carolina | 1701.1 (+9.2) | 4-2 | #5 | #63 |
Here is the conference breakdowns too. Rutgers is still the worst team in the P4.
| Conference | Teams | Avg Elo | Median Rank | Top 10 | Top 25 | Bottom 25 | Best | Worst |
|------------|------:|--------:|------------:|-------:|-------:|----------:|------|-------|
| SEC | 16 | 1723.0 | 21.5 | 3 | 10 | 0 | Alabama (#5) | Vanderbilt (#90) |
| FBS Independent | 2 | 1646.4 | 51.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Notre Dame (#2) | UConn (#101) |
| Big 12 | 16 | 1636.3 | 37.0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | BYU (#3) | Kansas (#102) |
| Big Ten | 18 | 1615.9 | 45.0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | UCLA (#4) | Rutgers (#107) |
| ACC | 17 | 1560.5 | 50.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | Miami (FL) (#1) | Syracuse (#96) |
| Pac-12 | 8 | 1468.5 | 75.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Boise St. (#17) | Washington St. (#124) |
| American | 14 | 1423.0 | 80.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | UTSA (#47) | Charlotte (#131) |
| Sun Belt | 14 | 1373.0 | 104.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | James Madison (#26) | ULM (#137) |
| Mountain West | 10 | 1331.2 | 112.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | North Dakota St. (#42) | NIU (#138) |
| CUSA | 10 | 1327.2 | 117.5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Liberty (#45) | Missouri St. (#130) |
| MAC | 13 | 1325.8 | 106.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Western Mich. (#60) | Sacramento St. (#136) |
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
2069.7 -> 1976.0 [-93.7] (#3 -> #1) |
| 2 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
1998.4 -> 1935.8 [-62.6] (#4 -> #2) |
| 3 |
BYU Cougars
|
1828.6 -> 1913.2 [+84.6] (#12 -> #3) |
| 4 |
UCLA Bruins
|
1959.6 -> 1910.0 [-49.6] (#5 -> #4) |
| 5 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
2098.8 -> 1897.5 [-201.3] (#1 -> #5) |
| 6 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
1912.7 -> 1890.9 [-21.8] (#6 -> #6) |
| 7 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
1850.8 -> 1867.2 [+16.4] (#9 -> #7) |
| 8 |
Houston Cougars
|
1884.8 -> 1867.2 [-17.6] (#8 -> #8) |
| 9 |
LSU Tigers
|
1790.5 -> 1844.3 [+53.8] (#18 -> #9) |
| 10 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
1732.5 -> 1844.1 [+111.6] (#24 -> #10) |
| 11 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
2075.1 -> 1828.7 [-246.4] (#2 -> #11) |
| 12 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
1835.3 -> 1804.3 [-31.0] (#10 -> #12) |
| 13 |
Oregon Ducks
|
1807.6 -> 1798.3 [-9.3] (#16 -> #13) |
| 14 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
1833.2 -> 1796.4 [-36.8] (#11 -> #14) |
| 15 |
Texas Longhorns
|
1822.6 -> 1786.6 [-36.0] (#14 -> #15) |
| 16 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
1695.4 -> 1785.9 [+90.5] (#26 -> #16) |
| 17 |
Boise State Broncos
|
1804.4 -> 1774.1 [-30.3] (#17 -> #17) |
| 18 |
Utah Utes
|
1813.9 -> 1770.5 [-43.4] (#15 -> #18) |
| 19 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
1770.8 -> 1751.6 [-19.2] (#19 -> #19) |
| 20 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
1887.4 -> 1747.2 [-140.2] (#7 -> #20) |
| 21 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
1712.8 -> 1745.8 [+33.0] (#25 -> #21) |
| 22 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
1760.4 -> 1741.8 [-18.6] (#21 -> #22) |
| 23 |
Florida Gators
|
1680.5 -> 1732.8 [+52.3] (#31 -> #23) |
| 24 |
Missouri Tigers
|
1823.6 -> 1730.0 [-93.6] (#13 -> #24) |
| 25 |
Arizona Wildcats
|
1685.9 -> 1727.9 [+42.0] (#29 -> #25) |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.66 |
| 3 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
UCLA Bruins
|
0.12 |
| 5 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
1.61 |
| 6 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
-0.62 |
| 8 |
Houston Cougars
|
0.91 |
| 9 |
LSU Tigers
|
1.51 |
| 10 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-0.12 |
| 12 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
Oregon Ducks
|
2.49 |
| 14 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
-1.24 |
| 15 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.46 |
| 16 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
-0.80 |
| 17 |
Boise State Broncos
|
0.38 |
| 18 |
Utah Utes
|
-1.88 |
| 19 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
4.81 |
| 21 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
1.38 |
| 22 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
2.42 |
| 23 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
Arizona Wildcats
|
-0.09 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
1.94 |
USC Trojans
|
1.46 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
0.80 |
James Madison Dukes
|
0.07 |
SMU Mustangs
|
0.28 |
Total Score: 26.05