Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Oct. 18, 2026, 8:43 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Early season rankings are based largely on expected results versus other ranked teams, and as the season goes leans more heavily on results. By the end of the season, rankings are based entirely on resume. I lean heavily into head to head results and results against common opponents. I also sort teams into 6 tiers based on championship/playoff likelihood. Tier 1: Championship Frontrunners who are highly likely to make the playoffs, Tier 2: Playoff Teams who could conceivably win the championship but are behind Tier 1, Tier 3: Playoff Possibilities who are unlikely to compete for a championship, Tier 4: Teams with an outside shot at making the playoffs, Tier 5: Teams that can't make the playoffs except for winning conference or unprecedented chaos Tier 6: Teams that are eliminated from playoff contention. Tiers 5 and 6 don't enter into the top 25 until very late in the year.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
BYU Cougars
|
Tier 2. First time ever I don't have a Tier 1. BYU is undefeated with wins over #7 and #18, but I'm not sure if they're a championship team. |
| 2 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
Tier 2. Undefeated with win over #19. |
| 3 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Tier 2. 5-1 with win over #20. Only loss is 1 point on road to #9. QB injury could be bad. |
| 4 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
Tier 2. Wins over #14 and Or St look good. |
| 5 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
Tier 2. 5-1 with Larger win over #11 than UGA and beat Auburn who beat them. Close lose to #9. |
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
Tier 2. 5-1 with 4 dominant wins and a close win over #11. |
| 7 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
Tier 2. |
| 8 |
Utah Utes
|
Tier 3. Undefeated but no signature wins yet. |
| 9 |
Texas Longhorns
|
Tier 3. Possibly toughest schedule in country so far and are 5-2. Wins over #3 and #5 but losses to #25 and an unranked team. |
| 10 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
Tier 3. |
| 11 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Tier 3. |
| 12 |
UCLA Bruins
|
Tier 4. |
| 13 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
Tier 4. |
| 14 |
Houston Cougars
|
Tier 4. |
| 15 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
Tier 4. |
| 16 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
Tier 4 |
| 17 |
LSU Tigers
|
Tier 4. |
| 18 |
Arizona Wildcats
|
Tier 4. |
| 19 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
Tier 4. |
| 20 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
Tier 4. |
| 21 |
SMU Mustangs
|
Tier 4. |
| 22 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
Tier 4. |
| 23 |
Missouri Tigers
|
Tier 4. |
| 24 |
Oregon Ducks
|
Tier 4. |
| 25 |
Florida Gators
|
Tier 4. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
1.07 |
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Texas Longhorns
|
1.76 |
| 10 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
-0.01 |
| 11 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.21 |
| 12 |
UCLA Bruins
|
-0.51 |
| 13 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
-0.04 |
| 14 |
Houston Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
0.61 |
| 16 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
Arizona Wildcats
|
0.20 |
| 19 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
-0.29 |
| 21 |
SMU Mustangs
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
2.81 |
| 23 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
Florida Gators
|
-0.12 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
USC Trojans
|
1.46 |
James Madison Dukes
|
0.07 |
Boise State Broncos
|
0.48 |
Total Score: 9.62