Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 18, 2026, 11:07 a.m.
Overall Rationale: TLDR: Combined predictive+resume scores, equally weighted.
The first stage is a predictive model using a Kalman filter to assign an offense and defense rating to all teams across FBS and FCS (offense as the number of points they would score against the average defense, defense as how much better they are than the average defense). Overall rating is (offense-defense), and the difference between Team A and Team B's rating is how much A would be expected to beat B by on a neutral field. Margin of victory matters, and preseason ratings are based on the historical correlations between team ratings in two consecutive years. Data for the last 10 years is loaded in, though earlier data barely matters. Results will track comparably with other well-known predictive models like FPI and SP+, although this model only considers what happens on the field (albeit including previous years). It is also not unlike the results an Elo model would give if Elo allowed larger jumps for early-season games and allowed for retroactive adjustment of opponent ratings. At the moment the uncertainty in each team's power rating is a standard deviation of about 7 points.
I use the results of this predictive model to drive a resume calculation. My definition of a resume power is "what power would a hypothetical team need to have in order to have a 50% chance of matching or exceeding this team's record in their completed games?" Note that this doesn't care which games you win and lose, only how many- e.g. beating Oregon and losing to Tulsa gives the same resume score as beating Tulsa and losing to Oregon. The methodology means you aren't punished much for losing to good teams and aren't rewarded much for beating bad teams. Also note that because there are a lot more ways to go X-1 than X-0, staying undefeated indirectly makes a resume quite a bit stronger. Overall, this method acts a lot like ESPN's SOR, but with the added benefit of assigning a numerical power.
One benefit of this resume ranking methodology is that like my predictive ranking, it has units of points. I feel like a good overall ranking should include both resume and prediction of how strong a team is, and my methodology allows me to directly average the two numbers to create a hybrid ranking accounting for both. Overall I find it fairly hard to argue with a lot of its team placements, especially compared to the older version of my model which only accounted for the predictive side.
Hybrid Rankings
Power Ranking
Rank | Team | Record| Proj Rec| Hybrid | Power | Resume | Offense| Defense
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#1 | Ohio State | 6-1 |10.0-2.0 | 71.94 | 73.03 | 70.85 | 49.30 | -23.74
#2 | Miami | 6-0 |11.0-1.0 | 70.18 | 70.10 | 70.25 | 52.06 | -18.04
#3 | BYU | 6-0 |10.4-1.6 | 68.60 | 62.80 | 74.40 | 42.12 | -20.68
#4 | Indiana | 6-1 |10.4-1.6 | 68.24 | 70.93 | 65.55 | 45.99 | -24.93
#5 | Notre Dame | 6-1 |10.5-1.5 | 67.71 | 72.43 | 62.99 | 51.56 | -20.87
#6 | UCLA | 6-0 |10.8-1.2 | 67.62 | 62.15 | 73.08 | 42.76 | -19.39
#7 | Alabama | 5-2 | 9.0-3.0 | 66.00 | 69.51 | 62.50 | 49.28 | -20.23
#8 | Georgia | 6-1 | 9.8-2.2 | 65.99 | 69.16 | 62.82 | 50.05 | -19.10
#9 | Ole Miss | 5-1 | 9.3-2.7 | 65.71 | 66.35 | 65.07 | 48.67 | -17.67
#10 | Texas Tech | 6-0 |10.5-1.5 | 65.25 | 63.25 | 67.25 | 45.82 | -17.42
#11 | Utah | 6-0 |10.4-1.6 | 64.77 | 64.84 | 64.71 | 47.53 | -17.31
#12 | Tennessee | 6-1 | 9.3-2.7 | 64.29 | 64.62 | 63.97 | 44.35 | -20.27
#13 | Kentucky | 6-1 | 8.8-3.2 | 64.19 | 58.99 | 69.39 | 43.78 | -15.21
#14 | Wake Forest | 6-1 |10.2-1.8 | 62.89 | 62.19 | 63.60 | 44.10 | -18.09
#15 | Iowa | 5-1 | 9.2-2.8 | 62.60 | 62.62 | 62.57 | 42.91 | -19.71
#16 | Texas | 4-2 | 8.0-4.0 | 62.40 | 65.35 | 59.45 | 43.53 | -21.82
#17 | LSU | 5-2 | 8.2-3.8 | 61.96 | 68.09 | 55.84 | 47.72 | -20.37
#18 | Oregon | 4-2 | 8.3-3.7 | 61.54 | 66.11 | 56.96 | 46.11 | -20.00
#19 | Houston | 6-1 | 9.3-2.7 | 60.91 | 59.06 | 62.76 | 45.06 | -14.00
#20 | Florida | 5-2 | 7.7-4.3 | 59.90 | 58.32 | 61.49 | 47.08 | -11.23
#21 | Northwestern | 5-1 | 8.3-3.7 | 59.28 | 59.22 | 59.33 | 42.69 | -16.53
#22 | USC | 6-1 | 8.1-3.9 | 58.75 | 57.85 | 59.66 | 45.65 | -12.20
#23 | Auburn | 4-2 | 7.1-4.9 | 58.14 | 58.01 | 58.27 | 39.71 | -18.30
#24 | Nebraska | 5-2 | 8.1-3.9 | 56.99 | 61.95 | 52.02 | 43.06 | -18.89
#25 | Missouri | 5-2 | 7.3-4.7 | 56.65 | 56.61 | 56.68 | 38.41 | -18.20
#26 | Mississippi State | 4-2 | 6.9-5.1 | 56.08 | 52.18 | 59.98 | 41.76 | -10.42
#27 | Arizona | 5-1 | 8.4-3.6 | 55.89 | 56.98 | 54.80 | 41.62 | -15.36
#28 | Wisconsin | 4-2 | 7.9-4.1 | 55.60 | 56.00 | 55.19 | 37.24 | -18.76
#29 | James Madison | 7-0 |11.5-0.5 | 55.18 | 55.18 | 55.17 | 43.80 | -11.38
#30 | Boise State | 5-1 | 8.9-2.1 | 54.75 | 53.89 | 55.62 | 42.70 | -11.18
#31 | Louisville | 4-3 | 7.4-4.6 | 53.78 | 57.75 | 49.81 | 45.58 | -12.18
#32 | Oklahoma | 3-3 | 5.8-6.2 | 53.67 | 56.35 | 50.99 | 36.33 | -20.02
#33 | North Carolina | 4-2 | 7.2-4.8 | 53.67 | 50.90 | 56.43 | 35.43 | -15.47
#34 | SMU | 5-1 | 8.5-3.5 | 53.63 | 51.87 | 55.39 | 39.09 | -12.78
#35 | Oklahoma State | 4-2 | 7.3-4.7 | 52.59 | 52.87 | 52.32 | 41.49 | -11.38
#36 | Michigan | 4-2 | 6.2-5.8 | 51.43 | 53.24 | 49.62 | 36.25 | -16.99
#37 | Baylor | 4-2 | 6.5-5.5 | 49.93 | 53.61 | 46.25 | 38.34 | -15.26
#38 | Texas A&M | 4-3 | 5.6-6.4 | 49.65 | 55.24 | 44.06 | 37.69 | -17.55
#39 | UTSA | 6-1 | 8.9-3.1 | 49.46 | 43.65 | 55.27 | 38.04 | -5.61
#40 | Clemson | 4-2 | 6.8-5.2 | 49.43 | 47.72 | 51.14 | 33.72 | -13.99
#41 | Oregon State | 5-2 | 7.8-3.2 | 49.43 | 54.69 | 44.16 | 44.89 | -9.80
#42 | South Carolina | 3-3 | 6.0-6.0 | 49.25 | 56.50 | 42.00 | 43.77 | -12.73
#43 | Kansas State | 4-2 | 7.2-4.8 | 48.99 | 53.19 | 44.79 | 40.73 | -12.46
#44 | Pittsburgh | 5-2 | 7.3-4.7 | 48.19 | 50.66 | 45.72 | 38.59 | -12.07
#45 | TCU | 3-3 | 6.0-6.0 | 47.86 | 53.63 | 42.08 | 33.51 | -20.12
#46 | Duke | 4-2 | 6.7-5.3 | 47.30 | 50.97 | 43.63 | 38.06 | -12.91
#47 | Washington | 4-3 | 5.5-6.5 | 47.07 | 51.57 | 42.57 | 38.55 | -13.02
#48 | Iowa State | 3-3 | 6.2-5.8 | 46.95 | 53.38 | 40.53 | 39.11 | -14.27
#49 | North Texas | 4-2 | 8.6-3.4 | 46.94 | 50.30 | 43.58 | 46.12 | -4.19
#50 | New Mexico | 5-1 |10.1-1.9 | 46.86 | 51.88 | 41.83 | 39.00 | -12.88
#51 | UCF | 3-3 | 6.0-6.0 | 46.48 | 49.49 | 43.47 | 37.80 | -11.68
#52 | Purdue | 3-4 | 4.6-7.4 | 46.37 | 48.28 | 44.46 | 40.53 | -7.75
#53 | Minnesota | 4-2 | 5.1-6.9 | 46.17 | 45.33 | 47.01 | 34.43 | -10.90
#54 | Cincinnati | 4-2 | 5.6-6.4 | 45.93 | 46.94 | 44.93 | 39.27 | -7.67
#55 | Florida State | 3-4 | 6.0-6.0 | 45.73 | 52.39 | 39.08 | 41.68 | -10.71
#56 | Arkansas | 3-4 | 4.1-7.9 | 45.64 | 46.56 | 44.72 | 34.98 | -11.59
#57 | Penn State | 3-4 | 6.6-5.4 | 45.32 | 54.31 | 36.33 | 38.56 | -15.75
#58 | Virginia Tech | 5-2 | 7.1-4.9 | 44.89 | 46.41 | 43.36 | 38.69 | -7.72
#59 | NC State | 3-3 | 6.6-5.4 | 44.57 | 48.69 | 40.44 | 40.33 | -8.35
#60 | Virginia | 4-3 | 6.4-5.6 | 44.46 | 48.00 | 40.92 | 33.70 | -14.30
#61 | Illinois | 3-3 | 4.9-7.1 | 44.44 | 50.19 | 38.68 | 41.03 | -9.17
#62 | West Virginia | 4-3 | 5.2-6.8 | 44.27 | 45.32 | 43.22 | 44.13 | -1.19
#63 | Louisiana Tech | 4-2 | 8.2-3.8 | 44.11 | 42.12 | 46.10 | 35.01 | -7.11
#64 | Memphis | 5-2 | 8.3-3.7 | 43.87 | 45.60 | 42.13 | 38.64 | -6.96
#65 | North Dakota State | 6-1 | 9.7-2.3 | 43.32 | 44.07 | 42.56 | 31.27 | -12.81
#66 | Army | 4-2 | 7.6-3.4 | 42.97 | 47.85 | 38.08 | 37.93 | -9.92
#67 | Colorado | 2-4 | 4.1-7.9 | 41.89 | 43.89 | 39.90 | 31.43 | -12.46
#68 | Liberty | 5-1 | 9.8-2.2 | 41.84 | 42.45 | 41.22 | 32.73 | -9.72
#69 | Tulane | 3-3 | 6.9-5.1 | 41.83 | 43.85 | 39.82 | 29.68 | -14.17
#70 | Vanderbilt | 3-4 | 3.8-8.2 | 41.74 | 45.48 | 38.01 | 36.20 | -9.28
#71 | Texas State | 3-3 | 6.0-5.0 | 41.50 | 49.02 | 33.98 | 43.12 | -5.91
#72 | Arizona State | 3-3 | 4.7-7.3 | 41.49 | 42.31 | 40.66 | 38.85 | -3.47
#73 | Air Force | 5-1 | 8.5-3.5 | 40.87 | 39.95 | 41.79 | 33.44 | -6.51
#74 | Michigan State | 2-5 | 3.7-8.3 | 40.81 | 47.91 | 33.71 | 35.04 | -12.87
#75 | Louisiana | 5-2 | 8.8-3.2 | 40.33 | 42.09 | 38.58 | 32.32 | -9.77
#76 | Western Michigan | 5-2 | 8.7-3.3 | 40.01 | 39.90 | 40.12 | 29.39 | -10.51
#77 | South Florida | 5-2 | 8.2-3.8 | 39.90 | 42.41 | 37.40 | 30.76 | -11.65
#78 | Fresno State | 4-3 | 5.9-5.1 | 39.59 | 42.25 | 36.93 | 32.88 | -9.37
#79 | UNLV | 4-3 | 7.3-4.7 | 38.81 | 39.22 | 38.40 | 31.56 | -7.66
#80 | Boston College | 3-3 | 4.2-7.8 | 38.57 | 38.71 | 38.43 | 28.39 | -10.32
#81 | Tulsa | 4-3 | 6.6-5.4 | 38.37 | 38.50 | 38.24 | 32.69 | -5.82
#82 | Georgia State | 4-2 | 7.8-4.2 | 38.27 | 38.91 | 37.63 | 36.45 | -2.46
#83 | Toledo | 5-2 | 8.9-3.1 | 38.10 | 41.63 | 34.57 | 35.60 | -6.04
#84 | South Alabama | 4-2 | 7.5-4.5 | 37.88 | 36.31 | 39.46 | 40.43 | 4.12
#85 | California | 3-4 | 4.5-7.5 | 37.70 | 37.23 | 38.17 | 31.51 | -5.72
#86 | San Diego State | 3-4 | 4.7-6.3 | 37.22 | 35.07 | 39.37 | 30.38 | -4.69
#87 | Georgia Tech | 2-4 | 3.8-8.2 | 36.56 | 43.84 | 29.28 | 35.88 | -7.96
#88 | Jacksonville State | 5-2 | 8.2-3.8 | 36.11 | 34.15 | 38.06 | 31.02 | -3.13
#89 | Youngstown State | 6-2 | 8.5-2.5 | 36.09 | 37.68 | 34.49 | 35.91 | -1.77
#90 | Ohio | 5-2 | 8.5-3.5 | 36.05 | 37.04 | 35.06 | 31.40 | -5.65
#91 | Georgia Southern | 3-4 | 6.1-5.9 | 35.65 | 38.42 | 32.88 | 31.32 | -7.10
#92 | South Dakota State | 5-2 | 9.1-2.9 | 35.48 | 36.30 | 34.66 | 29.68 | -6.62
#93 | Syracuse | 2-4 | 3.9-8.1 | 35.20 | 42.81 | 27.58 | 36.13 | -6.69
#94 | Florida Atlantic | 4-2 | 6.1-5.9 | 35.03 | 32.13 | 37.94 | 34.51 | 2.39
#95 | Stanford | 3-4 | 3.7-8.3 | 34.91 | 30.83 | 38.98 | 29.51 | -1.32
#96 | Montana State | 6-1 |10.4-1.6 | 33.99 | 37.55 | 30.43 | 32.53 | -5.02
#97 | UConn | 3-3 | 6.4-5.6 | 33.94 | 39.86 | 28.02 | 35.83 | -4.03
#98 | Kansas | 2-4 | 4.4-7.6 | 33.64 | 48.61 | 18.66 | 38.80 | -9.80
#99 | Maryland | 2-5 | 3.0-9.0 | 33.18 | 38.42 | 27.95 | 35.17 | -3.25
#100 | UAB | 4-3 | 5.8-6.2 | 33.10 | 31.68 | 34.52 | 27.26 | -4.43
#101 | Tarleton State | 7-0 |10.9-1.1 | 32.97 | 27.17 | 38.77 | 33.52 | 6.36
#102 | App State | 4-2 | 6.6-5.4 | 32.75 | 32.48 | 33.02 | 29.29 | -3.18
#103 | Stephen F. Austin | 7-0 |11.5-0.5 | 32.59 | 32.93 | 32.26 | 28.86 | -4.07
#104 | Utah State | 2-4 | 3.8-7.2 | 31.02 | 36.40 | 25.64 | 26.07 | -10.33
#105 | Miami (OH) | 4-3 | 6.6-5.4 | 30.97 | 32.70 | 29.23 | 28.50 | -4.20
#106 | South Dakota | 6-2 | 8.3-3.7 | 30.95 | 33.72 | 28.17 | 32.39 | -1.34
#107 | Arkansas State | 3-4 | 5.8-6.2 | 30.81 | 33.87 | 27.75 | 30.30 | -3.57
#108 | East Carolina | 3-3 | 5.7-6.3 | 30.08 | 34.42 | 25.75 | 28.79 | -5.63
#109 | Navy | 2-4 | 4.2-6.8 | 29.99 | 37.45 | 22.53 | 31.58 | -5.87
#110 | Rutgers | 2-4 | 3.2-8.8 | 29.80 | 40.57 | 19.02 | 37.80 | -2.77
#111 | North Dakota | 6-2 | 8.0-4.0 | 29.41 | 30.70 | 28.12 | 30.11 | -0.59
#112 | Florida International | 3-3 | 6.5-5.5 | 28.99 | 32.73 | 25.24 | 23.53 | -9.20
#113 | San José State | 4-3 | 5.9-7.1 | 28.96 | 28.51 | 29.41 | 23.95 | -4.56
#114 | Illinois State | 5-2 | 8.2-3.8 | 28.94 | 31.87 | 26.01 | 29.19 | -2.68
#115 | Buffalo | 4-3 | 6.6-5.4 | 28.89 | 27.40 | 30.38 | 25.63 | -1.77
#116 | Troy | 3-3 | 5.3-6.7 | 28.41 | 30.94 | 25.88 | 29.14 | -1.80
#117 | Northern Arizona | 6-2 | 8.8-3.2 | 28.20 | 24.12 | 32.28 | 28.21 | 4.09
#118 | Wyoming | 4-3 | 5.5-6.5 | 28.10 | 27.40 | 28.80 | 22.71 | -4.69
#119 | Colorado State | 2-4 | 3.3-7.7 | 28.06 | 30.75 | 25.38 | 37.78 | 7.03
#120 | Western Kentucky | 3-4 | 5.5-6.5 | 27.47 | 29.65 | 25.30 | 26.45 | -3.20
#121 | Central Michigan | 3-4 | 6.1-5.9 | 27.04 | 29.13 | 24.95 | 24.63 | -4.50
#122 | Harvard | 5-0 | 8.8-1.2 | 26.66 | 22.79 | 30.53 | 22.01 | -0.78
#123 | Nevada | 2-4 | 4.5-7.5 | 26.21 | 32.27 | 20.15 | 28.59 | -3.68
#124 | Temple | 2-5 | 4.2-7.8 | 25.60 | 33.26 | 17.95 | 30.33 | -2.93
#125 | Old Dominion | 2-5 | 4.2-7.8 | 25.40 | 30.33 | 20.47 | 23.31 | -7.02
#126 | Marshall | 3-3 | 5.0-7.0 | 25.27 | 24.82 | 25.71 | 27.07 | 2.24
#127 | Eastern Michigan | 4-4 | 5.4-6.6 | 25.22 | 25.90 | 24.54 | 24.76 | -1.14
#128 | Austin Peay | 6-2 | 9.1-2.9 | 24.06 | 26.29 | 21.84 | 26.52 | 0.23
#129 | Tennessee Tech | 6-1 | 8.8-3.2 | 24.06 | 22.84 | 25.27 | 27.26 | 4.41
#130 | Northern Iowa | 3-3 | 5.8-5.2 | 23.94 | 24.52 | 23.37 | 24.49 | -0.03
#131 | New Mexico State | 2-4 | 4.9-7.1 | 23.64 | 28.47 | 18.81 | 26.42 | -2.05
#132 | Middle Tennessee | 3-3 | 4.8-7.2 | 23.37 | 22.07 | 24.67 | 23.60 | 1.52
#133 | Montana | 5-3 | 7.6-4.4 | 22.89 | 28.07 | 17.71 | 32.22 | 4.15
#134 | Campbell | 6-1 | 9.0-3.0 | 22.74 | 14.34 | 31.15 | 22.02 | 7.69
#135 | Coastal Carolina | 2-5 | 3.4-8.6 | 22.52 | 29.43 | 15.61 | 27.94 | -1.49
#136 | Delaware | 2-4 | 4.5-7.5 | 22.03 | 26.87 | 17.18 | 26.94 | 0.07
#137 | Mercer | 6-2 | 8.4-3.6 | 21.87 | 23.17 | 20.57 | 23.21 | 0.03
#138 | Lehigh | 6-1 |10.1-1.9 | 21.73 | 23.27 | 20.19 | 25.27 | 1.99
#139 | Massachusetts | 4-3 | 5.9-6.1 | 21.66 | 23.69 | 19.63 | 23.52 | -0.17
#140 | Missouri State | 2-4 | 4.3-7.7 | 21.32 | 26.33 | 16.31 | 26.88 | 0.55
#141 | Lamar | 5-2 | 8.2-3.8 | 20.79 | 18.32 | 23.27 | 22.57 | 4.25
#142 | Ball State | 2-5 | 4.2-7.8 | 20.58 | 21.80 | 19.36 | 26.23 | 4.43
#143 | East Tennessee State | 5-2 | 8.5-3.5 | 20.57 | 22.63 | 18.52 | 26.58 | 3.95
#144 | Abilene Christian | 4-4 | 6.4-5.6 | 20.56 | 21.96 | 19.17 | 22.62 | 0.66
#145 | Hawai'i | 1-6 | 3.8-8.2 | 20.39 | 28.76 | 12.01 | 22.95 | -5.82
#146 | Bowling Green | 2-5 | 3.9-8.1 | 19.64 | 25.09 | 14.19 | 23.63 | -1.47
#147 | Kent State | 2-5 | 4.2-7.8 | 19.63 | 20.45 | 18.81 | 20.19 | -0.27
#148 | Weber State | 5-3 | 7.0-5.0 | 18.70 | 18.17 | 19.23 | 27.73 | 9.56
#149 | Idaho State | 4-3 | 6.8-5.2 | 17.98 | 21.60 | 14.36 | 23.20 | 1.60
#150 | Monmouth | 5-2 | 8.8-3.2 | 17.50 | 13.10 | 21.90 | 24.24 | 11.15
#151 | Southern Illinois | 3-5 | 4.5-7.5 | 17.44 | 20.80 | 14.07 | 21.61 | 0.81
#152 | Southeast Missouri State | 4-3 | 7.4-4.6 | 17.09 | 17.65 | 16.53 | 22.03 | 4.37
#153 | Washington State | 1-6 | 2.6-8.4 | 16.92 | 37.27 | -3.43 | 30.30 | -6.97
#154 | Cornell | 3-2 | 6.3-3.7 | 16.72 | 18.06 | 15.38 | 25.99 | 7.93
#155 | Idaho | 2-5 | 5.3-6.7 | 16.47 | 20.77 | 12.17 | 28.24 | 7.48
#156 | Princeton | 4-1 | 6.8-3.2 | 15.57 | 16.59 | 14.55 | 15.64 | -0.95
#157 | Chattanooga | 4-3 | 6.4-5.6 | 15.35 | 18.27 | 12.42 | 14.37 | -3.91
#158 | Kennesaw State | 1-5 | 4.2-7.8 | 15.03 | 31.07 | -1.01 | 25.89 | -5.18
#159 | Western Carolina | 3-4 | 6.5-5.5 | 15.00 | 19.32 | 10.68 | 25.82 | 6.50
#160 | West Florida | 4-2 | 7.1-3.9 | 14.98 | 15.69 | 14.26 | 20.38 | 4.69
#161 | Rice | 1-6 |1.9-10.1 | 14.69 | 26.19 | 3.19 | 23.95 | -2.23
#162 | Incarnate Word | 3-4 | 7.0-5.0 | 14.29 | 18.26 | 10.32 | 26.07 | 7.81
#163 | Wofford | 5-3 | 6.2-5.8 | 14.24 | 13.72 | 14.75 | 19.89 | 6.17
#164 | Colgate | 4-3 | 7.4-4.6 | 14.12 | 14.97 | 13.27 | 16.10 | 1.12
#165 | Southern Utah | 3-4 | 6.1-5.9 | 13.88 | 17.94 | 9.83 | 24.37 | 6.43
#166 | North Alabama | 4-3 | 6.3-5.7 | 13.87 | 14.54 | 13.20 | 18.41 | 3.87
#167 | SE Louisiana | 4-3 | 6.9-5.1 | 13.83 | 14.73 | 12.93 | 21.32 | 6.59
#168 | UC Davis | 4-3 | 6.5-5.5 | 13.11 | 12.37 | 13.85 | 22.41 | 10.04
#169 | UAlbany | 4-3 | 7.4-4.6 | 13.03 | 15.03 | 11.03 | 17.55 | 2.52
#170 | Rhode Island | 4-3 | 7.6-4.4 | 12.97 | 14.49 | 11.45 | 19.57 | 5.08
#171 | Cal Poly | 4-4 | 5.7-6.3 | 12.78 | 13.43 | 12.13 | 21.39 | 7.96
#172 | Yale | 3-2 | 5.8-4.2 | 12.39 | 15.76 | 9.03 | 23.42 | 7.65
#173 | Eastern Washington | 2-6 | 4.0-8.0 | 11.23 | 14.20 | 8.27 | 25.09 | 10.90
#174 | Houston Christian | 4-3 | 6.2-5.8 | 11.13 | 8.13 | 14.12 | 15.64 | 7.51
#175 | Charlotte | 1-6 |1.7-10.3 | 11.01 | 19.13 | 2.88 | 23.77 | 4.64
#176 | Stony Brook | 4-3 | 7.4-4.6 | 10.94 | 11.63 | 10.25 | 24.90 | 13.26
#177 | UT Martin | 3-4 | 5.7-6.3 | 10.52 | 13.59 | 7.45 | 19.34 | 5.76
#178 | Alabama A&M | 6-2 | 9.3-2.7 | 10.21 | 14.55 | 5.88 | 23.70 | 9.15
#179 | Northern Colorado | 3-5 | 4.1-7.9 | 10.15 | 14.55 | 5.76 | 17.45 | 2.90
#180 | Bryant | 5-2 | 6.9-5.1 | 10.14 | 4.86 | 15.42 | 13.65 | 8.79
#181 | Columbia | 4-1 | 5.5-4.5 | 10.03 | 5.35 | 14.72 | 18.70 | 13.35
#182 | Jackson State | 6-1 | 8.8-2.2 | 9.92 | 7.54 | 12.29 | 16.69 | 9.14
#183 | South Carolina State | 5-2 | 8.4-3.6 | 9.20 | 9.44 | 8.97 | 21.34 | 11.90
#184 | Richmond | 5-2 | 6.9-5.1 | 9.14 | 5.14 | 13.15 | 14.94 | 9.80
#185 | Charleston Southern | 3-4 | 5.7-6.3 | 8.88 | 11.15 | 6.61 | 16.06 | 4.91
#186 | Morgan State | 5-2 | 7.5-4.5 | 8.83 | 2.76 | 14.90 | 15.49 | 12.73
#187 | Southern Miss | 1-5 | 2.6-9.4 | 8.65 | 25.02 | -7.71 | 27.03 | 2.02
#188 | Central Arkansas | 2-5 | 4.7-7.3 | 8.61 | 11.81 | 5.40 | 18.35 | 6.54
#189 | Central Connecticut | 3-3 | 6.4-4.6 | 8.28 | 8.79 | 7.76 | 23.16 | 14.37
#190 | Indiana State | 2-5 | 3.5-8.5 | 8.11 | 12.32 | 3.91 | 23.65 | 11.33
#191 | Brown | 2-3 | 4.7-5.3 | 7.96 | 12.31 | 3.61 | 12.90 | 0.59
#192 | Akron | 1-6 | 2.4-9.6 | 7.60 | 19.46 | -4.26 | 23.25 | 3.79
#193 | Western Illinois | 3-4 | 5.7-6.3 | 7.22 | 12.63 | 1.82 | 20.69 | 8.06
#194 | Lindenwood | 2-4 | 4.7-6.3 | 6.90 | 7.55 | 6.26 | 15.50 | 7.95
#195 | Portland State | 2-5 | 3.0-9.0 | 6.82 | 7.02 | 6.61 | 20.45 | 13.43
#196 | The Citadel | 2-5 | 3.9-8.1 | 6.66 | 7.56 | 5.75 | 17.34 | 9.78
#197 | Gardner-Webb | 2-6 | 4.2-7.8 | 6.59 | 12.67 | 0.51 | 14.88 | 2.21
#198 | Sam Houston | 1-5 | 3.3-8.7 | 6.44 | 24.16 | -11.28 | 21.77 | -2.39
#199 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 3-4 | 5.2-6.8 | 6.21 | 10.16 | 2.26 | 13.65 | 3.50
#200 | Dayton | 5-1 | 9.1-1.9 | 6.01 | 2.34 | 9.68 | 11.97 | 9.63
#201 | McNeese | 3-4 | 5.1-6.9 | 5.95 | 8.42 | 3.48 | 17.09 | 8.67
#202 | Dartmouth | 2-3 | 3.8-6.2 | 5.77 | 9.77 | 1.78 | 14.07 | 4.31
#203 | Furman | 2-5 | 5.0-7.0 | 5.71 | 11.65 | -0.23 | 14.21 | 2.55
#204 | Villanova | 3-4 | 6.0-6.0 | 5.67 | 11.73 | -0.40 | 21.00 | 9.27
#205 | St. Thomas (MN) | 5-2 | 8.5-3.5 | 5.42 | 4.86 | 5.99 | 20.57 | 15.71
#206 | Delaware State | 4-3 | 6.4-5.6 | 5.13 | 3.39 | 6.88 | 15.51 | 12.12
#207 | Holy Cross | 2-5 | 5.1-6.9 | 4.78 | 6.17 | 3.40 | 15.89 | 9.72
#208 | Eastern Illinois | 2-5 | 3.9-8.1 | 4.44 | 6.05 | 2.84 | 14.71 | 8.66
#209 | Butler | 5-2 | 8.5-3.5 | 4.18 | 5.13 | 3.24 | 16.07 | 10.94
#210 | Long Island University | 3-5 | 5.1-6.9 | 2.96 | 3.54 | 2.37 | 9.45 | 5.91
#211 | Eastern Kentucky | 2-5 | 3.0-9.0 | 2.93 | 5.95 | -0.10 | 15.37 | 9.42
#212 | Pennsylvania | 2-3 | 3.4-6.6 | 2.88 | 8.18 | -2.41 | 12.59 | 4.41
#213 | Elon | 4-4 | 6.3-5.7 | 2.71 | 5.45 | -0.04 | 11.44 | 5.99
#214 | Howard | 3-4 | 5.4-6.6 | 2.44 | 2.96 | 1.93 | 13.87 | 10.91
#215 | Alabama State | 4-3 | 7.3-4.7 | 2.07 | 5.75 | -1.62 | 12.23 | 6.48
#216 | Grambling | 4-3 | 6.3-4.7 | 1.54 | -1.09 | 4.16 | 21.62 | 22.71
#217 | Norfolk State | 4-3 | 6.3-5.7 | 1.21 | 1.14 | 1.29 | 17.13 | 15.99
#218 | William & Mary | 3-4 | 5.1-6.9 | 1.19 | -0.61 | 2.99 | 14.30 | 14.91
#219 | East Texas A&M | 2-5 | 3.9-8.1 | 0.99 | 2.94 | -0.97 | 14.60 | 11.65
#220 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 3-3 | 6.2-4.8 | 0.59 | 3.11 | -1.92 | 17.23 | 14.12
#221 | Georgetown | 2-4 | 3.7-6.3 | 0.56 | 3.74 | -2.63 | 12.53 | 8.79
#222 | Duquesne | 2-4 | 4.7-6.3 | 0.54 | 0.67 | 0.41 | 11.20 | 10.53
#223 | Merrimack | 2-5 | 4.2-7.8 | 0.43 | 1.01 | -0.14 | 12.00 | 11.00
#224 | Tennessee State | 2-5 | 3.6-8.4 | 0.04 | 2.81 | -2.72 | 13.01 | 10.20
#225 | Fordham | 2-6 | 3.9-8.1 | -0.28 | 1.00 | -1.56 | 10.77 | 9.77
#226 | UTEP | 1-6 |2.0-10.0 | -0.60 | 16.17 | -17.37 | 21.30 | 5.13
#227 | Sacred Heart | 3-4 | 4.5-6.5 | -0.85 | 0.74 | -2.43 | 11.28 | 10.54
#228 | Robert Morris | 3-4 | 5.4-6.6 | -0.89 | 0.72 | -2.51 | 12.62 | 11.90
#229 | Bethune-Cookman | 4-3 | 6.1-5.9 | -1.06 | -3.44 | 1.32 | 11.64 | 15.08
#230 | Alcorn State | 4-4 | 6.2-5.8 | -1.49 | -3.53 | 0.56 | 21.31 | 24.84
#231 | Stonehill | 2-5 | 4.8-7.2 | -1.59 | 2.43 | -5.61 | 9.49 | 7.06
#232 | Lafayette | 2-4 | 3.6-7.4 | -1.79 | 2.81 | -6.38 | 16.23 | 13.42
#233 | San Diego | 3-4 | 5.3-5.7 | -2.06 | -1.97 | -2.15 | 15.88 | 17.85
#234 | West Georgia | 1-6 | 2.1-9.9 | -2.14 | 3.92 | -8.20 | 13.07 | 9.15
#235 | Marist | 4-3 | 7.2-4.8 | -2.28 | -1.00 | -3.55 | 8.77 | 9.77
#236 | New Hampshire | 2-6 | 3.3-8.7 | -2.62 | 0.01 | -5.25 | 14.44 | 14.43
#237 | North Carolina A&T | 3-5 | 4.4-7.6 | -3.18 | -2.55 | -3.80 | 10.41 | 12.96
#238 | New Haven | 2-5 | 4.3-7.7 | -3.28 | -1.11 | -5.46 | 10.34 | 11.45
#239 | Florida A&M | 2-5 | 5.0-7.0 | -3.33 | -2.34 | -4.31 | 13.38 | 15.72
#240 | Prairie View A&M | 3-5 | 4.4-7.6 | -4.06 | 2.51 | -10.63 | 12.63 | 10.12
#241 | Nicholls | 2-5 | 3.1-8.9 | -4.34 | -7.12 | -1.56 | 10.51 | 17.63
#242 | Southern | 3-4 | 5.1-6.9 | -4.35 | -7.78 | -0.92 | 9.64 | 17.43
#243 | Presbyterian | 4-3 | 5.7-5.3 | -5.11 | -10.23 | -0.00 | 12.43 | 22.65
#244 | North Carolina Central | 2-5 | 3.9-8.1 | -5.71 | -0.20 | -11.22 | 13.72 | 13.92
#245 | Mercyhurst | 1-6 | 3.3-8.7 | -6.17 | -2.17 | -10.17 | 16.15 | 18.33
#246 | Sacramento State | 1-6 |1.6-10.4 | -7.18 | 8.44 | -22.79 | 16.72 | 8.28
#247 | Samford | 1-6 | 2.2-9.8 | -7.47 | 8.32 | -23.26 | 15.44 | 7.12
#248 | Maine | 1-6 | 2.1-8.9 | -7.54 | 0.32 | -15.40 | 10.78 | 10.46
#249 | Murray State | 1-6 |1.2-10.8 | -8.59 | -1.28 | -15.90 | 14.88 | 16.15
#250 | Valparaiso | 3-4 | 4.8-6.2 | -8.69 | -9.13 | -8.25 | 4.75 | 13.88
#251 | Drake | 2-5 | 4.0-7.0 | -10.10 | -4.66 | -15.53 | 12.28 | 16.94
#252 | Wagner | 1-6 | 2.2-9.8 | -12.13 | -8.92 | -15.33 | 7.52 | 16.44
#253 | Bucknell | 1-6 | 2.1-9.9 | -12.61 | -4.98 | -20.24 | 4.60 | 9.58
#254 | Mississippi Valley State | 3-5 | 3.4-8.6 | -13.47 | -18.75 | -8.20 | 5.06 | 23.81
#255 | Hampton | 1-6 |1.5-10.5 | -15.03 | -14.42 | -15.64 | 5.92 | 20.34
#256 | Chicago State | 1-6 | 3.1-7.9 | -17.09 | -16.71 | -17.46 | 5.40 | 22.11
#257 | Texas Southern | 1-5 | 2.2-8.8 | -19.42 | -13.30 | -25.55 | 11.22 | 24.51
#258 | Davidson | 3-5 | 3.6-8.4 | -22.39 | -27.65 | -17.13 | 1.89 | 29.54
#259 | Stetson | 1-6 | 2.4-9.6 | -22.93 | -23.98 | -21.88 | 6.15 | 30.13
#260 | Morehead State | 1-6 |1.8-10.2 | -28.86 | -28.94 | -28.78 | 2.56 | 31.50
#261 | Northern Illinois | 0-6 |1.8-10.2 | -38.89 | 21.22 | -99.00 | 23.11 | 1.90
#262 | UL Monroe | 0-6 |1.1-10.9 | -41.69 | 15.62 | -99.00 | 20.84 | 5.22
#263 | Towson | 0-8 | 2.4-9.6 | -46.11 | 6.78 | -99.00 | 16.66 | 9.89
#264 | Jacksonville | 0-0 | 0.0-0.0 | -47.69 | 3.62 | -99.00 | 14.75 | 11.13
#265 | Utah Tech | 0-7 |0.8-11.2 | -49.53 | -0.06 | -99.00 | 13.55 | 13.61
#266 | Northwestern State | 0-7 |0.8-11.2 | -55.49 | -11.97 | -99.00 | 9.58 | 21.56
#267 | VMI | 0-7 |0.1-11.9 | -59.01 | -19.01 | -99.00 | 3.42 | 22.44
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
|
| 2 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
|
| 3 |
BYU Cougars
|
|
| 4 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
|
| 5 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
|
| 6 |
UCLA Bruins
|
|
| 7 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Program does not directly account for head-to-head, and Bama beat Georgia by 0.01 in the combined ratings. I hate it too. |
| 8 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
|
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
|
| 10 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
|
| 11 |
Utah Utes
|
|
| 12 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
|
| 13 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
|
| 14 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
|
| 15 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
|
| 16 |
Texas Longhorns
|
|
| 17 |
LSU Tigers
|
|
| 18 |
Oregon Ducks
|
|
| 19 |
Houston Cougars
|
|
| 20 |
Florida Gators
|
|
| 21 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
|
| 22 |
USC Trojans
|
|
| 23 |
Auburn Tigers
|
|
| 24 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
|
| 25 |
Missouri Tigers
|
Same as above, MSST is my model's #26 this week. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.47 |
| 2 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.34 |
| 5 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
UCLA Bruins
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
1.14 |
| 8 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
-0.56 |
| 11 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.24 |
| 17 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.94 |
| 19 |
Houston Cougars
|
-0.75 |
| 20 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
USC Trojans
|
-0.40 |
| 23 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.92 |
| 24 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
0.52 |
| 25 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
James Madison Dukes
|
0.07 |
Boise State Broncos
|
0.48 |
Arizona Wildcats
|
0.35 |
SMU Mustangs
|
0.28 |
Total Score: 7.48