Predicted Record: 11-1

Losses: Ohio State (15-19)

Comment: While Back to Back Overtime wins against teams they should have beaten handily in regulation does raise an eyebrow for me, a win is still a win

+1. Would be the #3 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #6 BYU/#11 Alabama in the Rose Bowl

5.98

Indiana is one of 3 teams with 4 quality wins, theirs over North Texas, Northwestern, Nebraska, and Michigan. None of them are standout wins, but wins are wins and it puts them as the top team with a loss.

LW: 4 | Tier 1 | W Minnesota

1486.81 (+5)

Power: 9, SoR: 6; LW: 8

164

1-loss

They can’t keep getting away with this close gross games. I guess it shows they can handle adversity?

1224

Loss to Ohio State

Down 1

61.3%

88.069 (8-1)

Best 3 Wins: Northwestern, Nebraska, Minnesota.
1 Losses: Ohio State.
Minnesota is better than you think. Indiana just keeps winning. But Hoover looks like not the guy. Indiana, Alabama both have quality losses. Alabama over Kentucky on H2H

LW: 7

[8-1, 5-1 B1G] (-) | SOR: #4 | Notable Results: W 29-23 vs #24 Northwestern [6-2], W 20-17 @ Nebraska [5-3], L 15-19 vs #12 Ohio State [6-2], W 13-6 (OT) @ Michigan [5-3], W 23-16 (OT) vs HM Minnesota [5-3] |

The Hoosiers are an incredibly frustrating team to assess this year, given their continued struggles at QB (and yes, this will be a repeated statement for several other teams on this list. It's been a weird year). They are clearly talented, but their O-Line hasn't imposed their will as much as expected, and their NFL-bound receivers are having to make massive leaps just to ensure that they can continue moving the football. Both the defense and the special teams units deserve their flowers after this past weekend, however (despite an earlier mistake by the long-snapper for a FG), keeping them alive just long enough for the offense to remember that they're stacked too. Again, Cignetti is one of the best college football coaches (in spite of his time management issues - seriously, how does every team not already have an analyst specifically paid just for this???), and he's clearly built a contender in Bloomington, but it's a notable dropoff from last year's dream season. How Indiana handles their bye before tackling a stout Trojans squad will go a long way in determining their potential for a repeat.

These guys don't have an offense, but that defense is nasty. One Ohio State win away from the top 3.

GippyRank Quality of Results expected rank: 9.2. Central 80% interval: 2–18. Top-25 probability: 96.5%.

7-1 with wins over northwestern (6-2), Nebraska (5-3) and Minnesota (5-3). Really find ways to squeak by. I don't think this team is actually very good this year, but think the resume puts them here. Lost to Ohio State

Now onto our 1 loss teams who's resume is basically "we played a top 8 team super close". None of these three have really beaten anyone all that good. IU beat Northwestern, ND has beat Wisconsin, and Wake has beaten Louisville. Last Week: #8

-2

12. Indiana — Score: 0.192 | Results: 1.225, SOS Rank: #32, Quality: 0.122, Recency: 0.000 | T10W: 0, T25W: 1, T50W: 4, Off Rk: #54, Def Rk: #3

+7.4904894 (LW: #14)

36.39 - [5-1-2] Again sketchy. Two OT wins now, against Michigan and Minnesota. This hurts them a lot, combined with the worsening Ohio State loss. I will no doubt get a massive penalty for putting them this low, but they have looked even more sketchy than Miami (FL), but been less able to pull off success in regulation. BYE. (Mode: Rank 14)

W (8-1) H +7 vs Minnesota (unranked)
W (7-1) A +7 vs Michigan (unranked)
L (6-1) H -4 vs Ohio State (4)
W (6-0) H +3 vs Nebraska (25)
W (5-0) A +32 vs Rutgers (unranked)
W (4-0) H +6 vs Northwestern (unranked)
W (3-0) H +38 vs WKU (unranked)
W (2-0) H +55 vs Howard (unranked)
W (1-0) H +36 vs North Texas (unranked)

this team... they somehow keep winning. fate is on their side...

23/20

They get credit for winning and I don't think Minnesota is bad but they only moved up from 6th place last week because OSU lost badly and dropped.

.820

(-) minnebota be scary (some WWE fans get the reference)

(-)

-0.349

36.52%

-3.

I have felt that this team was weak all season, but never had any reason to keep them low. After needing overtime to beat Minnesota, their only loss, Ohio St, also went down, justifying a bit of a slide. Still above a 2-loss Alabama, but no longer staying ahead of the 1-loss Big 12 teams.

Lacking as many quality wins and play on the field is very poor

This is not stable.

net elo off def ridge fei conf
+16.2 +15.8 29.6 13.8 +22.4 +10.4 Big Ten

1715 points: They keep getting away with it!

8-1; blend +1.20; resume #1, power #29, SOR #4

(+1) GS .871, TS 2784: 45.8% #24 Minnesota + 37.6% #27 Michigan + 13.3% #36 Northwestern + 2.5% #58 Nebraska + 0.8% #70 North Texas = 100% #19 Ohio State.