Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Nov. 1, 2026, 11:33 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Higher ranked teams would hypothetically beat all lower ranked teams a majority of times in a large enough sample. Results of games add data to give a more accurate picture of how all teams relate to each other. Head-to-head victories are weighted heavily, as I operate under the assumption that those games are representative of the quality of the two teams unless enough other data contradicts that assessment.
I also separate all teams into 6 tiers:
Tier 1- Championship Frontrunners. Teams I believe are championship caliber with a fairly high degree of confidence.
Tier 2- Championship Contenders. Teams I believe are good enough to win a championship, but with less confidence.
Tier 3- Borderline. Playoff level teams that I don't think are championship teams.
Tier 4- Possibilities. Good teams that have an outside shot at the playoffs.
Tier 5- Unlikelies. Teams that all but eliminated from playoff contention, though could make it in with chaos or winning their conference.
Tier 6- Eliminated. Cannot make the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
Tier 1. |
| 2 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
Tier 1. |
| 3 |
Utah Utes
|
Tier 2. |
| 4 |
BYU Cougars
|
Tier 2. |
| 5 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
Tier 2. |
| 6 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
Tier 2. |
| 7 |
Texas Longhorns
|
Tier 3. |
| 8 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
Tier 3. |
| 9 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
Tier 3. |
| 10 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Tier 3. |
| 11 |
UCLA Bruins
|
Tier 4. Look great. Want to see them beat a good team. |
| 12 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
Tier 4. |
| 13 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
Tier 4. |
| 14 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Tier 4. Hard to rank with backup QB and defensive struggles. |
| 15 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
Tier 4. |
| 16 |
LSU Tigers
|
Tier 4. |
| 17 |
Missouri Tigers
|
Tier 4. |
| 18 |
Houston Cougars
|
Tier 4. |
| 19 |
Arizona Wildcats
|
Tier 4. |
| 20 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
Tier 4. |
| 21 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
Tier 4. |
| 22 |
USC Trojans
|
Tier 4. |
| 23 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
Tier 4. |
| 24 |
Boise State Broncos
|
Tier 4. |
| 25 |
Florida Gators
|
Tier 4. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.09 |
| 3 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.42 |
| 5 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
0.91 |
| 7 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.50 |
| 8 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
1.33 |
| 10 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
UCLA Bruins
|
-1.48 |
| 12 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
-0.10 |
| 13 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.40 |
| 18 |
Houston Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Arizona Wildcats
|
0.07 |
| 20 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
4.78 |
| 21 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
USC Trojans
|
-0.46 |
| 23 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
0.22 |
| 24 |
Boise State Broncos
|
-0.37 |
| 25 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |