2/4 in Tier D: Not far behind Michigan, but more questions on Defense.

Everything on this ballot between No. 10 and No. 23 is a hot, muddy mess.

Justin Herbert and a killer defense.

Mario Cristobal has all the pieces in place to win the Pac-12 this year. Having QB Hebert return for his senior season was a major coup. Coupled with a very good o-line and a solid RB corps, the offense should the strength of the team. I don't know if this will be a Chip Kelly-good offense, but it should make the Ducks proud.

I put my other PAC 12 favorite at 12  because I can. Oregon is absolutely in a conference championship group, but has to punch up a little against a Washington team that looks really tough this year. Outside of that game, Auburn at the season opener is an intriguing game, Washington State can't be overlooked, and I am surprisingly scared of Montana. All in all, I think the PAC 12 is decided when the Ducks and Huskies face off.

Record: 10-2. Oregon-Washington comes down to HFA for me. If the game was in Eugene, Oregon would be sitting somewhere in my top 6 and Washington would be down here. Unfortunately for Oregon, the game isn't in Eugene, close losses to rival Washington and Arizona State deny Oregon a chance at a NY6 game. Bowl Projection: Alamo Bowl

I'm just not sold on this team.  They weren't super impressive to me last year.  I'm not even sold on Herbert being the best QB in the draft this year.  I think this team is getting a lot of talk to early.  There is still growth needed to get back towards Chip Kelly Oregon heights.