0.871, +10, Pow: 13, Off: 19, Def: 14, SOR: 15

4 | 23 | 24

+6.7613643 (LW: #20)

I LOVE Oregon's wins over Boise, USC, and now Ohio St. And all of the losses are kinda aging well...even the Illinois loss. Last Week: #16

Predicted Record: 9-3

Losses: @Oklahoma State (31-39), UCLA (15-17), @Illinois (10-21)

Comment: Massive win over Ohio State absolutely catapults them up my ballot in spite of the questionable losses

0.76466

LW: NR | Tier 3 | W Ohio State

GippyRank Quality of Results expected rank: 14.5. Central 80% interval: 4–27. Top-25 probability: 88%.

72

+5

6-3. Road wins at Ohio State and USC are two excellent victories, and Oregon has one of the nation's toughest schedules. Three losses impose a substantial ceiling.

77.536

Oregon is 6-3 with wins over Boise St (8-1), USC (7-2), Ohio St (6-3), Northwestern (6-3) and Nebraska (5-4). lost to UCLA, Oklahoma St, and Illinois

[6-3, 3-3 B1G] (NEW) | SOR: #15 | Notable Results: W 34-27 vs #19 Boise State [8-1], L 31-39 @ HM Oklahoma State [6-3], W 41-27 @ #18 USC [7-2], L 15-17 vs #3 UCLA [9-0], W 17-14 vs Nebraska [5-4], L 10-21 @ HM Illinois [6-3], W 34-26 vs DO Northwestern [6-3], W 41-28 @ #20 Ohio State [6-3] |

H2H on Boise (albeit different QB) - Kind of a cool foil to UCLA in the Big 10 I think, if they're the high floor / low ceiling team, Oregon is the high ceiling and low floor. Recent trend is the latter so I'll move them top of the 3 loss group.

NR - wins over #18 and #21, losses to #2, #27, and unranked

NR

+7

LW: NR. Best win: #20 USC. Worst loss: UR Illinois

NR; well uh the battle of the backup QBs decisively goes to Oregon, cleared the Shoe out faster than Bama cleared out Bryant-Denny West

Biggest faller: Ole Miss (13->25)

LW: #30 Cracking the top 25 with a win over Ohio State, the 6-3 Ducks have played probably the toughest schedule of anyone above them, except maybe Texas. Their worst FBS opponent is #52 Illinois, who also beat them, explaining why they’re so low

NR

NR

37.73 - [6-3] Emphatic win over the Buckeyes to climb back in. Up next, Michigan, in a bid to claw back into the CFP. (Mode: 7, Median: 30)

SEC: 9
B1G: 5
Big XII: 5
SBC: 1
ACC: 2
Pac-12: 1
MWC: 1

AAC: #28.
C-USA: #30
MAC: #45

What this season could have been had they not lost their starting QB just unfortunate for the Ducks. Also for the same reason I am not punishing teams that played Ohio State early in the season I can't move the Ducks up too much for beating OSU without Sayin. (Other teams just outside the top 25 in no particular order LSU, Oklahoma State, Missouri, Pittsburgh, Ohio State.)

836

0.526 (+8)

.460 (.19 STDEV)

67.96%

↑NR

(NR)

(+10) - Currently strongest 3 loss team on the basis of Ohio State win and UCLA being very close

After the first quarter, they fully took control of this game, was stunning to me to see.

Comp's Top 3-Loss

Tier 4.

NR (#2 3-loss team,

NEW

+3
W (6-3) A +13 vs Ohio State (15)
W (5-3) H +8 vs Northwestern (18)
--
W (4-2) H +2 vs Nebraska (25)
L (3-2) H -2 vs UCLA (22)
W (3-1) A +14 vs USC (12)
W (2-1) H +84 vs Portland St.(unranked)
L (1-1) A -8 vs Oklahoma St. (unranked)
W (1-0) H +7 vs Boise State (unranked)

(NR)

Win over Ohio St puts the Ducks back in the top 25. Also has a win over #16 USC. 2 point loss to #2 UCLA. Wins over a couple bubble teams. Loss to Illinois not as bad as some other losses that ranked teams have. In fact, Illinois is on my bubble.

Oregon picks up a big time road win at Ohio State to move back into my top 25.

T33ʳᵈ W/L, T14ᵗʰ Predicted Wins, 13ᵗʰ Team Strength, 31ˢᵗ Quality of Wins