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NotSoSuperNerd Ballot for 2026 Week 11

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 8, 2026, 11:16 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

Rank Team Reason
1 Georgia Bulldogs 2.600 [10.61-1.39]
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 2.418 [9.83-2.17]
3 Utah Utes 2.373 [11.31-0.69]
4 Miami Hurricanes 2.177 [10.78-1.22]
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2.162 [10.83-1.17]
6 Tennessee Volunteers 2.079 [8.96-3.04]
7 Texas Longhorns 2.073 [9.07-2.93]
8 Kentucky Wildcats 2.028 [8.54-3.46]
9 Ole Miss Rebels 1.990 [8.42-3.58]
10 LSU Tigers 1.887 [7.83-4.17]
11 UCLA Bruins 1.841 [10.89-1.11]
12 South Carolina Gamecocks 1.840 [7.62-4.38]
13 Wake Forest Demon Deacons 1.700 [10.26-1.74]
14 BYU Cougars 1.675 [9.14-2.86]
15 Missouri Tigers 1.667 [7.28-4.72]
16 Florida Gators 1.649 [6.69-5.31]
17 Indiana Hoosiers 1.616 [10.51-1.49]
18 Oklahoma Sooners 1.608 [6.42-5.58]
19 Auburn Tigers 1.570 [6.57-5.43]
20 Texas Tech Red Raiders 1.520 [9.77-2.23]
21 Arizona Wildcats 1.449 [8.94-3.06]
22 Ohio State Buckeyes 1.421 [8.45-3.55]
23 Houston Cougars 1.419 [9.08-2.92]
24 Mississippi State Bulldogs 1.348 [5.60-6.40]
25 Oregon Ducks 1.338 [8.53-3.47]

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