Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 11, 2026, 10:38 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Generated from GippyRank4, a probabilistic college-football ranking model that estimates underlying team quality from game performance and expresses uncertainty rather than treating rank as perfectly known. This ballot uses the 2026 Week 7 Predictive Context rankings. Predictive estimates current underlying team quality using preseason information plus games.

Explore the rankings and uncertainty at: https://sirgippy.github.io/GippyRank4/

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	GippyRank expected rank: 3.3. Central 80% interval: 1–6. Top-25 probability: <100%.
2	Georgia Bulldogs	GippyRank expected rank: 3.5. Central 80% interval: 1–7. Top-25 probability: <100%.
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	GippyRank expected rank: 4.3. Central 80% interval: 1–8. Top-25 probability: 99.9%.
4	Miami Hurricanes	GippyRank expected rank: 4.5. Central 80% interval: 1–9. Top-25 probability: 99.9%.
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	GippyRank expected rank: 4.9. Central 80% interval: 2–9. Top-25 probability: <100%.
6	Indiana Hoosiers	GippyRank expected rank: 4.9. Central 80% interval: 1–10. Top-25 probability: 99.8%.
7	Oregon Ducks	GippyRank expected rank: 6.2. Central 80% interval: 1–13. Top-25 probability: 99.2%.
8	LSU Tigers	GippyRank expected rank: 6.4. Central 80% interval: 2–12. Top-25 probability: 99.6%.
9	Texas Longhorns	GippyRank expected rank: 6.4. Central 80% interval: 2–13. Top-25 probability: 99.4%.
10	Utah Utes	GippyRank expected rank: 7.7. Central 80% interval: 2–15. Top-25 probability: 98.6%.
11	Texas Tech Red Raiders	GippyRank expected rank: 9.1. Central 80% interval: 2–19. Top-25 probability: 95.8%.
12	Ole Miss Rebels	GippyRank expected rank: 9.6. Central 80% interval: 2–20. Top-25 probability: 95.4%.
13	Missouri Tigers	GippyRank expected rank: 10.6. Central 80% interval: 3–20. Top-25 probability: 95.3%.
14	UCLA Bruins	GippyRank expected rank: 11.1. Central 80% interval: 4–21. Top-25 probability: 95%.
15	Houston Cougars	GippyRank expected rank: 11.7. Central 80% interval: 4–21. Top-25 probability: 95.0%.
16	Northwestern Wildcats	GippyRank expected rank: 12.0. Central 80% interval: 4–23. Top-25 probability: 92%.
17	Tennessee Volunteers	GippyRank expected rank: 12.8. Central 80% interval: 4–24. Top-25 probability: 92%.
18	BYU Cougars	GippyRank expected rank: 12.8. Central 80% interval: 4–25. Top-25 probability: 91%.
19	Nebraska Cornhuskers	GippyRank expected rank: 13.3. Central 80% interval: 4–24. Top-25 probability: 91%.
20	Iowa Hawkeyes	GippyRank expected rank: 14.8. Central 80% interval: 5–27. Top-25 probability: 89%.
21	Florida Gators	GippyRank expected rank: 15.6. Central 80% interval: 5–29. Top-25 probability: 86%.
22	Oklahoma Sooners	GippyRank expected rank: 17.8. Central 80% interval: 6–33. Top-25 probability: 80%.
23	Arizona Wildcats	GippyRank expected rank: 18.8. Central 80% interval: 6–35. Top-25 probability: 76%.
24	USC Trojans	GippyRank expected rank: 19.4. Central 80% interval: 7–35. Top-25 probability: 75%.
25	Mississippi State Bulldogs	GippyRank expected rank: 20.8. Central 80% interval: 8–37. Top-25 probability: 72%.

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.86
2	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
4	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
6	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
7	Oregon Ducks	6.38
8	LSU Tigers	4.66
9	Texas Longhorns	0.00
10	Utah Utes	0.00
11	Texas Tech Red Raiders	0.00
12	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00
13	Missouri Tigers	0.00
14	UCLA Bruins	-0.22
15	Houston Cougars	0.23
16	Northwestern Wildcats	0.63
17	Tennessee Volunteers	0.00
18	BYU Cougars	-2.37
19	Nebraska Cornhuskers	0.05
20	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.00
21	Florida Gators	3.92
22	Oklahoma Sooners	2.74
23	Arizona Wildcats	0.00
24	USC Trojans	-0.23
25	Mississippi State Bulldogs	-0.98

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Kentucky Wildcats	1.32
Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.81
Wake Forest Demon Deacons	0.68
Boise State Broncos	0.33

Total Score: 26.39