Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Aug. 19, 2023, 6:11 p.m.
Overall Rationale: I put no stock in preseason polls, and neither does my human-adjusted, resume-based model that will be used during the season. Therefore, my preseason poll is being submitted as a courtesy, and will largely reflect the order of the final /r/CFB poll of 2022 with a few adjustments for direct head-to-head results between consecutively ranked teams, for example Alabama and Tennessee, Michigan and TCU, and Clemson and FSU.
Rank | Team | Reason |
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1 |
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Enough said. |
2 |
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They beat Michigan head to head, so I placed them over UM in the poll. They played a title game under a playoff system, they are definitively better than the team they had to beat to get to that game. |
3 |
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4 |
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5 |
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In the final 2022 Poll (both AP and /r/CFB), Alabama was ranked one spot above Tennessee despite having an identical record and a loss to the Vols, as well as to a team the Vols stomped. My preseason poll does not reflect anything about the coming 2023 season, just carries over some slightly adjusted results from 2022 until my resume-based model has some games to work with. |
6 |
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7 |
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8 |
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9 |
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10 |
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11 |
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Clemson beat FSU head to head in conference play, so with an identical record I swapped them and FSU. |
12 |
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13 |
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14 |
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15 |
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16 |
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17 |
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18 |
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19 |
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20 |
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21 |
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22 |
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23 |
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24 |
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25 |
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Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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2.15 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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0.99 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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0.06 |
9 |
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2.14 |
10 |
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0.00 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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-0.58 |
14 |
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0.04 |
15 |
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0.00 |
16 |
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-1.90 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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-0.26 |
19 |
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5.74 |
20 |
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4.22 |
21 |
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1.53 |
22 |
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2.14 |
23 |
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0.00 |
24 |
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1.11 |
25 |
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-1.48 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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0.42 |
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0.52 |
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0.28 |
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0.39 |
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0.02 |
Total Score: 25.98