/r/CFB Poll

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Georgia Bulldogs	2.767 [10.98-1.02]
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2.502 [11.29-0.71]
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	2.437 [10.06-1.94]
4	Miami Hurricanes	2.272 [10.96-1.04]
5	Texas Longhorns	2.114 [9.01-2.99]
6	Indiana Hoosiers	2.066 [11.07-0.93]
7	Ole Miss Rebels	2.006 [8.30-3.70]
8	Utah Utes	1.969 [10.80-1.20]
9	Missouri Tigers	1.871 [7.85-4.15]
10	Kentucky Wildcats	1.858 [8.17-3.83]
11	LSU Tigers	1.812 [7.71-4.29]
12	Ohio State Buckeyes	1.810 [9.49-2.51]
13	Tennessee Volunteers	1.751 [8.12-3.88]
14	Mississippi State Bulldogs	1.745 [7.39-4.61]
15	Oklahoma Sooners	1.679 [6.72-5.28]
16	Texas Tech Red Raiders	1.669 [10.51-1.49]
17	BYU Cougars	1.650 [9.25-2.75]
18	Florida Gators	1.562 [6.50-5.50]
19	Auburn Tigers	1.400 [5.94-6.06]
20	Iowa Hawkeyes	1.385 [9.27-2.73]
21	UCLA Bruins	1.377 [9.96-2.04]
22	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	1.361 [9.49-2.51]
23	Houston Cougars	1.360 [9.09-2.91]
24	Texas A&M Aggies	1.359 [5.88-6.12]
25	South Carolina Gamecocks	1.353 [5.83-6.17]

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.32
4	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
5	Texas Longhorns	0.33
6	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
7	Ole Miss Rebels	0.79
8	Utah Utes	0.00
9	Missouri Tigers	0.91
10	Kentucky Wildcats	0.76
11	LSU Tigers	3.63
12	Ohio State Buckeyes	-0.68
13	Tennessee Volunteers	0.42
14	Mississippi State Bulldogs	0.00
15	Oklahoma Sooners	9.74
16	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-1.48
17	BYU Cougars	-2.05
18	Florida Gators	6.92
19	Auburn Tigers	6.23
20	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.00
21	UCLA Bruins	-2.14
22	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	0.00
23	Houston Cougars	-0.32
24	Texas A&M Aggies	1.19
25	South Carolina Gamecocks	0.10

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
USC Trojans	0.67
Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.81
Northwestern Wildcats	0.41
Boise State Broncos	0.33
Nebraska Cornhuskers	0.15

Total Score: 40.37

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NotSoSuperNerd Ballot for 2026 Week 7

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