Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 12, 2026, 8:48 p.m.
Overall Rationale: I have two predictive models - one that predicts how many points a team will score and one that predicts if they will win or lose. I simulate every FBS team against each other in each model and average the ranks based on who wins the most and who scores the most/allows the fewest points. Occasionally if there's a team that doesn't make sense based on the eye test I'll adjust or replace them (see notes for details).
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
change from last week: 0 |
| 2 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
change from last week: 0 |
| 3 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
change from last week: 0 |
| 4 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
change from last week: +1 |
| 5 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
change from last week: -1 |
| 6 |
Texas Longhorns
|
change from last week: +2 |
| 7 |
Utah Utes
|
change from last week: 0 |
| 8 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
change from last week: -2 |
| 9 |
LSU Tigers
|
change from last week: 0 |
| 10 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
change from last week: +5 |
| 11 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
change from last week: +19 |
| 12 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
change from last week: 0 |
| 13 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
change from last week: +5 |
| 14 |
BYU Cougars
|
change from last week: +5 |
| 15 |
Missouri Tigers
|
change from last week: -2 |
| 16 |
James Madison Dukes
|
change from last week: -3 |
| 17 |
USC Trojans
|
change from last week: +6 |
| 18 |
UCLA Bruins
|
change from last week: +15 |
| 19 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
change from last week: -3 |
| 20 |
SMU Mustangs
|
change from last week: +2 |
| 21 |
Arizona Wildcats
|
change from last week: +18 |
| 22 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
change from last week: +1 |
| 23 |
Houston Cougars
|
change from last week: +32 |
| 24 |
Boise State Broncos
|
added in to replace Oregon (#16) |
| 25 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
added in to replace Penn State (#23) |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.27 |
| 3 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.05 |
| 7 |
Utah Utes
|
0.03 |
| 8 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
LSU Tigers
|
4.32 |
| 10 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
1.10 |
| 11 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
-0.16 |
| 13 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.32 |
| 14 |
BYU Cougars
|
-1.06 |
| 15 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
James Madison Dukes
|
0.92 |
| 17 |
USC Trojans
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
UCLA Bruins
|
-1.32 |
| 19 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
0.05 |
| 20 |
SMU Mustangs
|
1.56 |
| 21 |
Arizona Wildcats
|
0.16 |
| 22 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Houston Cougars
|
-0.32 |
| 24 |
Boise State Broncos
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
-0.15 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Kentucky Wildcats
|
1.32 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
1.19 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.81 |
Total Score: 15.13