Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Aug. 24, 2022, 9:57 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Power Poll - on a neutral field my #6 team would beat my #7-#25 team for example. It's mostly forward looking, so while wins and losses matter, the goal is to be predictive. This would not be the same as if I had to submit a playoffs rankings which would be most deserving based on resume. These are subjective choices based on extensive preseason research, watching as many games as possible (I try to watch 4 games every time slot often flipping around), going over every available advanced metric, and an aggregation of all the info and experience I've learned/gained through years of doing this. Early on I rely a lot on my preseason research - which includes things like knowing the OL depth of most P5 teams and a good bit of G5 times - but I'm quick to adapt when it's clear my preseason forecasts are off or players massively improve/decline. Of course I'll preface all this by saying 2022 after the top 3 feels like a crapshoot so the order of the top 25 matters less in the preseason this year than maybe any other year I've done this.
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
1.57 |
| 5 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
|
1.89 |
| 8 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
2.37 |
| 9 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
-0.37 |
| 12 |
BYU Cougars
|
2.01 |
| 13 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
2.77 |
| 14 |
Baylor Bears
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
-0.60 |
| 16 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
7.08 |
| 18 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
6.97 |
| 19 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
-0.84 |
| 20 |
LSU Tigers
|
3.25 |
| 21 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Houston Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
-0.48 |
| 25 |
Oregon Ducks
|
-1.45 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.65 |
USC Trojans
|
0.57 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
0.56 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.41 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.26 |
Total Score: 34.11