Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Aug. 20, 2022, 8:55 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Took 3 current preseason polls: Massey's, FPI, and AP. I adjusted Massey's by normalizing the rankings from 1-10 and then multiplied that by the overall returning production (since Massey's does not adjust preseason poll from final poll last season by much). Averaged the three polls and then adjusted by eye test (on zero games played of course).
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Was originally #3 after computer poll ranking. Best chance to win NC |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Was originally #1 after computer poll ranking. Second best chance to win NC |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | Returns almost 60% of production from a NC winning team. Has top 5 recruiting classes to return the rest |
4 | Clemson Tigers | |
5 | Texas A&M Aggies | I expect A&M to be the next new playoff team. Would not be surprised to see them compete for an SEC championship this season |
6 | Michigan Wolverines | |
7 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | |
8 | Michigan State Spartans | |
9 | Oklahoma Sooners | |
10 | Utah Utes | |
11 | NC State Wolfpack | |
12 | Baylor Bears | |
13 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Hate for OU will sustain them, so will a memory of a B12 champ loss |
14 | Pittsburgh Panthers | |
15 | Wisconsin Badgers | |
16 | Miami Hurricanes | |
17 | Oregon Ducks | |
18 | Arkansas Razorbacks | |
19 | Tennessee Volunteers | |
20 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | |
21 | Ole Miss Rebels | |
22 | Cincinnati Bearcats | Still the best G5 by far. AAC winner will likely still get the NY6 bid |
23 | Iowa Hawkeyes | |
24 | Penn State Nittany Lions | |
25 | BYU Cougars |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
4 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
5 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0.25 |
6 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
7 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
8 | Michigan State Spartans | 0.89 |
9 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.00 |
10 | Utah Utes | 0.00 |
11 | NC State Wolfpack | 0.12 |
12 | Baylor Bears | 0.00 |
13 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.00 |
14 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.47 |
15 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0.04 |
16 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.21 |
17 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
18 | Arkansas Razorbacks | 0.00 |
19 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.83 |
20 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.00 |
21 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.00 |
22 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 0.00 |
23 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.00 |
24 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
25 | BYU Cougars | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
USC Trojans | 0.57 |
Kentucky Wildcats | 0.56 |
Houston Cougars | 0.18 |
Total Score: 4.10