Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Aug. 17, 2022, 6:53 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Weighted composite of preseason FPI, preseason SP+, and accelerated ELO results from the end of last season.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Bulldogs | Starting score: 28.4. #1 in accelerated ELO last year, #3 in FPI, #3 in SP+ Tier level (+/- 1.0 point of these rankings): #1-#2 Ceiling: #1 Floor: #7 |
2 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Starting score: 27.5. #2/#1/#2 Tier level: #1-#2 Ceiling: #1 Floor: #7 |
3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Starting score: 26.2. #5/#2/#1 Tier level: #3 Ceiling: #1 Floor: #9 |
4 | Michigan Wolverines | Starting score: 19.7. #3/#6/#4 Tier level: #4-#5 Ceiling: #1 Floor: #35 The 6.5 point difference in starting score predicts a Big 3 this year, with several teams fighting for the final playoff spot. As always, their season will come down to The Game |
5 | Clemson Tigers | Starting score: 18.8. #13/#4/#6 Tier level: #4-#6 Ceiling: #1 Floor: #39 |
6 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Starting score: 17.9. #10/#5/#7 Tier level: #5-#7 Ceiling: #1 Floor: #44 |
7 | Oklahoma Sooners | Starting score: 17.3. #9/#8/#5 Tier level: #6-#7 Ceiling: #1 Floor: #46 |
8 | Cincinnati Bearcats | Starting score: 15.6. #4/#27/#11 Tier level: #8-#9 Ceiling: #3 Floor: #50 |
9 | Michigan State Spartans | Starting score: 15.0. #8/#15/#16 Tier level: #8-#13 Ceiling: #3 Floor: #51 |
10 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Starting score: 14.5. #6/#14/#32 Tier level: #9-#13 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #53 |
11 | Texas A&M Aggies | Starting score: 14.2. #19/#12/#8 Tier level: #9-#16 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #57 |
12 | Ole Miss Rebels | Starting score: 14.1. #11/#17/#17 Tier level: #9-#16 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #59 |
13 | Wisconsin Badgers | Starting score: 14.1. #14/#21/#10 Tier level: #9-#16 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #59 |
14 | Baylor Bears | Starting score: 13.3. #7/#22/#40 Tier level: #11-#18 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #64 |
15 | Penn State Nittany Lions | Starting score: 13.3. #20/#16/#13 Tier level: #11-#18 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #64 |
16 | Utah Utes | Starting score: 13.2. #24/#13/#12 Tier level: #11-#19 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #64 |
17 | Pittsburgh Panthers | Starting score: 12.8. #15/#20/#19 Tier level: #14-#23 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #65 |
18 | Kentucky Wildcats | Starting score: 12.7. #18/#18/#20 Tier level: #14-#23 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #65 |
19 | Arkansas Razorbacks | Starting score: 12.2. #12/26/#26 Tier level: #16-#24 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #67 |
20 | Tennessee Volunteers | Starting score: 12.0. #32/#25/#9 Tier level: #17-#25 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #67 |
21 | Auburn Tigers | Starting score: 11.9. #30/#11/#22 Tier level: #17-#25 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #67 |
22 | Miami Hurricanes | Starting score: 11.9. #41/#9/#14 Tier level: #17-#25 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #67 |
23 | Texas Longhorns | Starting score: 11.8. #39/#7/#31 Tier level: #17-#25 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #69 |
24 | NC State Wolfpack | Starting score: 11.4. #25/#28/#18 Tier level: #19-#27 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #70 |
25 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Starting score: 11.1. #34/#24/#15 Tier level: #20-#28 Ceiling: #4 Floor: #72 Honorable Mentions: Oregon: 10.5, #35/#23/#24 Minnesota: 10.4, #23/40/#21 Iowa: 10.3, #17/#37/27 |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.75 |
2 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
4 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.12 |
5 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
6 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
7 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.01 |
8 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 1.04 |
9 | Michigan State Spartans | 0.64 |
10 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.00 |
11 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0.00 |
12 | Ole Miss Rebels | 1.33 |
13 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0.49 |
14 | Baylor Bears | 0.00 |
15 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.83 |
16 | Utah Utes | -1.35 |
17 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.00 |
18 | Kentucky Wildcats | 0.00 |
19 | Arkansas Razorbacks | 0.00 |
20 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.50 |
21 | Auburn Tigers | 3.88 |
22 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.00 |
23 | Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
24 | NC State Wolfpack | -1.09 |
25 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Oregon Ducks | 1.66 |
USC Trojans | 0.57 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.26 |
Houston Cougars | 0.18 |
Total Score: 14.72