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COLU_BUS Ballot for 2022 Preseason

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Aug. 15, 2022, 9:57 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Elo-rating system that recursively evaluates the completed games until average change in rating between each iteration reaches some tolerance. PRESEASON SPECIAL: Using the latest Vegas win totals, modify each team's Elo rating until their expected wins is equivalent (within 0.1 wins) of their Vegas win total. Pros: Vegas is usually pretty spot on, this gives me a concrete method of getting preseason ratings that account for injuries, transfers, coaching changes, etc. Cons: Biased by sentiment (I'm looking at you, Texas and USC in the top 10).

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