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BeyondLiesTheWub Ballot for 2026 Week 5

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Sept. 27, 2026, 3:01 p.m.

Overall Rationale: I have two predictive models - one that predicts how many points a team will score and one that predicts if they will win or lose. I simulate every FBS team against each other in each model and average the ranks based on who wins the most and who scores the most/allows the fewest points. Occasionally if there's a team that doesn't make sense based on the eye test I'll adjust or replace them (see notes for details).

This week, Ole Miss dropped out completely, from 11 to 34.

Rank Team Reason
1 Georgia Bulldogs change from last week: +1
2 Indiana Hoosiers change from last week: -1
3 Ohio State Buckeyes change from last week: +1
4 Utah Utes change from last week: -1
5 Miami Hurricanes change from last week: +1
6 Alabama Crimson Tide change from last week: +1
7 LSU Tigers change from last week: +5
8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish change from last week: +2
9 Texas Longhorns change from last week: 0
10 Iowa Hawkeyes change from last week: +6
11 Penn State Nittany Lions change from last week: -3
12 Florida Gators change from last week: +5
13 James Madison Dukes change from last week: +6
14 Oregon Ducks change from last week: +6
15 Tennessee Volunteers change from last week: -10
16 Texas Tech Red Raiders change from last week: -3
17 Nebraska Cornhuskers change from last week: +5
18 USC Trojans change from last week: -4
19 Mississippi State Bulldogs change from last week: +5
20 BYU Cougars change from last week: +9
21 Missouri Tigers change from last week: +5
22 Virginia Cavaliers change from last week: +1
23 Texas A&M Aggies change from last week: -2
24 Boise State Broncos Swapped in for Kansas State (#17 per model)
25 USF Bulls Swapped in for Iowa State (#24)

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