Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Sept. 4, 2017, 8:54 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Beginning of season this is still off. The model uses a "game score" mechanic. You get points for beating an opponent and lose points for losing to your opponent. Points gained are equal to the rank of the opponent in the prior week (i.e. if you beat #1 you get 131 points, if you lose to #1 you lose 131 points). Strength of Schedule and overall W/L rank are added. Additionally, I factor in my ballot from last week and /r/CFB rankings from last week to balance it out. Adding my ranking and the /r/CFB ranking helps break up the ties that the model creates because opponents have similar game scores at the start of the season.
Rank | Team | Reason |
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1 |
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Still the reigning champ. Will be #1 until I'm shown a reason for them not to be. My model actually has Clemson at #2, so this is a manual override. |
2 |
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Comfortable #2. Lots of arguments to be #1. My model shows Alabama at #1 (like everyone else), but this is a manual override. |
3 |
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This is where the models start coming in. You'll see odd rankings from here on. |
4 |
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5 |
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6 |
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7 |
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8 |
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First half was scary for OSU, however the comfortably won the game. |
9 |
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I had them at #4 last week, i've dropped them to #10 because of the terrible first half performance. Though WMU is a good team, USC should have been way more comfortable. My model actually has them tied at #1, but I really don't feel comfortable with that. |
10 |
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11 |
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12 |
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13 |
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14 |
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15 |
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16 |
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17 |
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18 |
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19 |
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20 |
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21 |
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22 |
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23 |
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24 |
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lol A&M & Chosen Rosen. My model actually put them at #26, so I just had a slight bump. |
25 |
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Model actually has MSU at #29, but I manually removed Louisville (still not sold) and USF (the worst 2-0 team I've seen) and skipping USCar moved them up to #25. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
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1 |
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0.35 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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1.45 |
4 |
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1.32 |
5 |
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0.45 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.89 |
8 |
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-0.89 |
9 |
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0.00 |
10 |
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0.00 |
11 |
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0.88 |
12 |
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4.67 |
13 |
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-1.50 |
14 |
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-0.99 |
15 |
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0.24 |
16 |
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-0.83 |
17 |
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0.22 |
18 |
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0.00 |
19 |
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0.25 |
20 |
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0.06 |
21 |
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-0.91 |
22 |
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0.10 |
23 |
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0.06 |
24 |
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0.00 |
25 |
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0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
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1.19 |
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0.30 |
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0.26 |
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0.04 |
Total Score: 17.84