arbadak Ballot for 2026 Week 5
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 27, 2026, 6:06 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Modified Colley Matrix with a win-weighted sigmoid margin transform and a fixed 2.8-point home-field advantage adjustment. Winning is the primary factor; margin of victory provides diminishing secondary differentiation, effectively soft-capping around three scores.
New: Texas Tech, Ohio State, LSU, Cincinnati, James Madison, Iowa, Massachusetts, Oregon.
Dropped: Michigan, Missouri, Northwestern, Ole Miss, Penn State, Tennessee, Tulsa, West Virginia.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Florida Gators
|
.864 rating, 4-0, SOS .613 (+1) |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
.862 rating, 4-0, SOS .599 (+1) |
| 3 |
Texas Longhorns
|
.851 rating, 4-0, SOS .680 (+6) |
| 4 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
.841 rating, 4-0, SOS .552 (-3) |
| 5 |
Utah Utes
|
.826 rating, 4-0, SOS .528 (+14) |
| 6 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
.824 rating, 4-0, SOS .516 (+1) |
| 7 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
.819 rating, 4-0, SOS .498 (+14) |
| 8 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
.801 rating, 4-0, SOS .558 (+3) |
| 9 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
.799 rating, 4-0, SOS .559 (-1) |
| 10 |
UCLA Bruins
|
.793 rating, 4-0, SOS .517 (+2) |
| 11 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
.791 rating, 4-0, SOS .478 (+12) |
| 12 |
BYU Cougars
|
.775 rating, 3-0, SOS .543 (-6) |
| 13 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
.775 rating, 4-0, SOS .544 (NEW, +14) |
| 14 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
.771 rating, 4-0, SOS .506 (+4) |
| 15 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
.764 rating, 4-0, SOS .490 (-5) |
| 16 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
.764 rating, 4-0, SOS .469 (+6) |
| 17 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
.758 rating, 3-1, SOS .575 (NEW, +18) |
| 18 |
LSU Tigers
|
.757 rating, 3-1, SOS .601 (NEW, +15) |
| 19 |
North Dakota State Bison
|
.754 rating, 4-0, SOS .455 (-3) |
| 20 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
.753 rating, 4-0, SOS .543 (NEW, +11) |
| 21 |
James Madison Dukes
|
.745 rating, 4-0, SOS .460 (NEW, +5) |
| 22 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
.737 rating, 4-0, SOS .496 (NEW, +7) |
| 23 |
USC Trojans
|
.732 rating, 4-1, SOS .587 (-19) |
| 24 |
UMass Minutemen
|
.728 rating, 4-0, SOS .400 (NEW, +8) |
| 25 |
Oregon Ducks
|
.723 rating, 3-1, SOS .611 (NEW, +41) |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Florida Gators
|
1.14 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.99 |
| 3 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Utah Utes
|
1.11 |
| 6 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-0.33 |
| 8 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
2.66 |
| 9 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
0.27 |
| 10 |
UCLA Bruins
|
0.91 |
| 11 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
2.02 |
| 12 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
0.69 |
| 15 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
1.55 |
| 16 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
-1.44 |
| 17 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
-0.77 |
| 18 |
LSU Tigers
|
-0.10 |
| 19 |
North Dakota State Bison
|
2.46 |
| 20 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.43 |
| 21 |
James Madison Dukes
|
0.85 |
| 22 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
-1.77 |
| 23 |
USC Trojans
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
UMass Minutemen
|
0.90 |
| 25 |
Oregon Ducks
|
-1.15 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Ole Miss Rebels
|
1.88 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.85 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.40 |
Houston Cougars
|
0.32 |
Total Score: 25.00