Back to poll results >>

sirgippy Ballot for 2026 Week 5

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Sept. 27, 2026, 9:33 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Generated from GippyRank4, a probabilistic college-football ranking model that estimates underlying team quality from game performance and expresses uncertainty rather than treating rank as perfectly known. This ballot uses the 2026 Week 5 Predictive Context rankings. Predictive estimates current underlying team quality using preseason information plus games.

Explore the rankings and uncertainty at: https://sirgippy.github.io/GippyRank4/

Rank Team Reason
1 Georgia Bulldogs GippyRank expected rank: 4.1. Central 80% interval: 1–8. Top-25 probability: 99.9%.
2 Ohio State Buckeyes GippyRank expected rank: 4.4. Central 80% interval: 1–9. Top-25 probability: 99.8%.
3 Texas Longhorns GippyRank expected rank: 5.6. Central 80% interval: 2–11. Top-25 probability: 99.5%.
4 Oregon Ducks GippyRank expected rank: 5.8. Central 80% interval: 1–12. Top-25 probability: 99.1%.
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish GippyRank expected rank: 5.9. Central 80% interval: 2–12. Top-25 probability: 99.4%.
6 LSU Tigers GippyRank expected rank: 6.2. Central 80% interval: 2–12. Top-25 probability: 99.3%.
7 Miami Hurricanes GippyRank expected rank: 6.3. Central 80% interval: 2–13. Top-25 probability: 99.1%.
8 Indiana Hoosiers GippyRank expected rank: 6.8. Central 80% interval: 2–14. Top-25 probability: 98.4%.
9 Alabama Crimson Tide GippyRank expected rank: 6.9. Central 80% interval: 2–13. Top-25 probability: 99.1%.
10 Florida Gators GippyRank expected rank: 7.8. Central 80% interval: 2–15. Top-25 probability: 98.5%.
11 Utah Utes GippyRank expected rank: 8.5. Central 80% interval: 2–17. Top-25 probability: 97.4%.
12 Tennessee Volunteers GippyRank expected rank: 13.6. Central 80% interval: 4–26. Top-25 probability: 89%.
13 Iowa Hawkeyes GippyRank expected rank: 14.2. Central 80% interval: 4–28. Top-25 probability: 88%.
14 Texas Tech Red Raiders GippyRank expected rank: 14.5. Central 80% interval: 3–30. Top-25 probability: 84%.
15 Virginia Cavaliers GippyRank expected rank: 15.1. Central 80% interval: 4–31. Top-25 probability: 85%.
16 Ole Miss Rebels GippyRank expected rank: 16.1. Central 80% interval: 4–33. Top-25 probability: 82%.
17 Mississippi State Bulldogs GippyRank expected rank: 17.2. Central 80% interval: 6–33. Top-25 probability: 81%.
18 UCLA Bruins GippyRank expected rank: 17.5. Central 80% interval: 5–34. Top-25 probability: 80%.
19 Northwestern Wildcats GippyRank expected rank: 17.7. Central 80% interval: 5–36. Top-25 probability: 79%.
20 Nebraska Cornhuskers GippyRank expected rank: 17.8. Central 80% interval: 5–34. Top-25 probability: 79%.
21 BYU Cougars GippyRank expected rank: 18.3. Central 80% interval: 4–38. Top-25 probability: 77%.
22 Texas A&M Aggies GippyRank expected rank: 20.1. Central 80% interval: 6–38. Top-25 probability: 72%.
23 Houston Cougars GippyRank expected rank: 20.2. Central 80% interval: 6–41. Top-25 probability: 74%.
24 Pittsburgh Panthers GippyRank expected rank: 20.6. Central 80% interval: 7–40. Top-25 probability: 73%.
25 USC Trojans GippyRank expected rank: 20.7. Central 80% interval: 6–39. Top-25 probability: 71%.

Back to poll results >>