Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 27, 2026, 9:20 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Each team's performance is compared to their opponent's opponents' performances, with bonuses for wins & losses depending on the quality of the opponent. FCS games are not taken into consideration.
Things are a little less wonky as the model gets more data.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
So far this season, it's Notre Dame, and everyone else. They could take a loss at this point and still possibly do well enough to stay #1. Second best defense in cfb, top tier passing & scoring, and the win over Wisconsin looks better & better. |
| 2 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
Cowbell has been steamrolling through their first 4 games with the best offense in CFB and a defense whose only weak spot is the pass. They had a good test against Mizzou and we'll see how they fare against Bama. |
| 3 |
Utah Utes
|
Utah is one of two teams with both a top-10 offense and defense. Their best win is Iowa State, but no losses, and given the (Monster) B12, they may cruise until November. |
| 4 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
Wisconsin is the other team both a top 10 offense and defense. Their only blemish is losing to Notre Dame, and that doesn't look too bad. The UCLA game in a few weeks will be a good test. |
| 5 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
South Carolina looked easy, and Bama is looking the part of a top-tier team. Next week's game in Stark Vegas is going to be sneaky-great. |
| 6 |
Texas Longhorns
|
The best defense in cfb held just enough and pressured the QB just enough to make up for a mid-tier offense. |
| 7 |
Florida Gators
|
A top-5 offense kept scoring and made up for a a mid-tier defense. |
| 8 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
Nebraska's offense is tuning up, Indiana coming to town in a few weeks will tell us what we need to know. |
| 9 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
A top-tier defense and a last-second catch in the Big House is what Iowa needed. The mid-tier offense needs to step up if they want to stay here. |
| 10 |
BYU Cougars
|
The cougars have one of the best defenses in cfb; we'll see if that's enough to hang around in the top of the (Monster) Big 12. |
| 11 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
The model had Northwestern ranked last week, and maybe it wasn't too far off... that's now Indiana's best win. |
| 12 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
The bulldogs made quick and easy work of Oklahoma; their passing game and run defense is holding them up. |
| 13 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
They have a top-10 offense in Coral Gables; the resume is just taking a few weeks to catch up. |
| 14 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
Beating Sam didn't help a lot, but things keep rolling in Lubbock. |
| 15 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
Pitt's defense is keeping it together, but they'll need better wins than Syracuse to vault into the higher tier. |
| 16 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
Losing to Wisconsin didn't hurt that badly, having a just-better-than-mid-tier offense will. |
| 17 |
UCLA Bruins
|
UCLA destroyed Maryland for their best win of the year and gave their offense a boost. The defense needs to step up. |
| 18 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
The loss to Florida and the win against LSU nearly balance each other out in the points. |
| 19 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
There are some flashes of greatness in their pass defense, so keep an eye on Cincinnati. |
| 20 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
The bottom of the Top 25 are for those teams who are undefeated: The Hokies are another team with their best win against Maryland. |
| 21 |
James Madison Dukes
|
James Madison beat Liberty, but that's good enough! |
| 22 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
Wait, Duke's undefeated, and they beat Illinois? |
| 23 |
North Dakota State Bison
|
Undefeated Bison got through... Air Force! |
| 24 |
UMass Minutemen
|
I have heard the call: RANK UMASS. Seriously, check out their line against Rutgers versus the one USC put up. |
| 25 |
USF Bulls
|
And the USF Bulls, riding a win against FIU at the top of their resume, round out the top 25. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.55 |
| 2 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
1.74 |
| 3 |
Utah Utes
|
1.67 |
| 4 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
12.58 |
| 5 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Texas Longhorns
|
-1.13 |
| 7 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
2.74 |
| 9 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.55 |
| 10 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
-0.26 |
| 12 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-1.86 |
| 13 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
-2.38 |
| 14 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
0.99 |
| 16 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
5.18 |
| 17 |
UCLA Bruins
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
-0.15 |
| 19 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.75 |
| 20 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
0.13 |
| 21 |
James Madison Dukes
|
0.85 |
| 22 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
North Dakota State Bison
|
0.21 |
| 24 |
UMass Minutemen
|
0.90 |
| 25 |
USF Bulls
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
2.41 |
LSU Tigers
|
1.84 |
Oregon Ducks
|
1.38 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.85 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.40 |
USC Trojans
|
0.32 |
Houston Cougars
|
0.32 |
Total Score: 42.15