Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 27, 2026, 11:08 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Texas Longhorns
|
2.419 [10.10-1.90] |
| 2 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
2.375 [10.21-1.79] |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
2.370 [9.99-2.01] |
| 4 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
2.239 [11.25-0.75] |
| 5 |
Florida Gators
|
2.040 [8.84-3.16] |
| 6 |
LSU Tigers
|
1.989 [8.33-3.67] |
| 7 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
1.973 [10.64-1.36] |
| 8 |
Utah Utes
|
1.930 [10.94-1.06] |
| 9 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
1.882 [10.80-1.20] |
| 10 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
1.877 [7.63-4.37] |
| 11 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
1.786 [7.66-4.34] |
| 12 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
1.749 [9.13-2.87] |
| 13 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
1.734 [7.77-4.23] |
| 14 |
Auburn Tigers
|
1.624 [6.46-5.54] |
| 15 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
1.524 [6.81-5.19] |
| 16 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
1.472 [6.02-5.98] |
| 17 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
1.460 [6.68-5.32] |
| 18 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
1.440 [9.37-2.63] |
| 19 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
1.429 [10.15-1.85] |
| 20 |
Oregon Ducks
|
1.398 [9.03-2.97] |
| 21 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
1.373 [5.68-6.32] |
| 22 |
BYU Cougars
|
1.362 [8.44-3.56] |
| 23 |
Missouri Tigers
|
1.282 [5.67-6.33] |
| 24 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
1.192 [9.39-2.61] |
| 25 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
1.126 [5.01-6.99] |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.60 |
| 4 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
LSU Tigers
|
1.01 |
| 7 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
-0.13 |
| 8 |
Utah Utes
|
0.26 |
| 9 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.09 |
| 11 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.78 |
| 14 |
Auburn Tigers
|
7.54 |
| 15 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
3.76 |
| 16 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
9.16 |
| 17 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
8.09 |
| 18 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
-0.60 |
| 19 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
-1.17 |
| 20 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
4.17 |
| 22 |
BYU Cougars
|
-1.70 |
| 23 |
Missouri Tigers
|
1.73 |
| 24 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
0.25 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
UCLA Bruins
|
0.72 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
0.39 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.40 |
USC Trojans
|
0.32 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
0.11 |
Houston Cougars
|
0.32 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
0.06 |
Total Score: 43.35