Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Aug. 20, 2019, 11:49 p.m.
Overall Rationale: As I did last season, I plan to start with a human ballot before transitioning to a hybrid one, with increasing weight on the computer component, as the season progresses. For my first poll, I elected to use only teams from my final 2018 ballot, but I also think I would rank all (or almost all) of these teams regardless, as the first poll of the season is always a nightmare and I (obviously) thought these teams all had solid 2018 campaigns. Regardless, I have a few notable absences, and I'll spend more time discussing those here than I usually do (in part because I'm usually submitting my ballot when I'm very sleep-deprived). First N Out/Notable Absences: Mississippi State --- Mississippi State just missed out on earning a spot on my last ballot last year, so it was certainly hard to make that decision here, but I ultimately decided I'd like to see something more from them before ranking them. Oregon --- Oregon is returning their star quarterback, and their offense as a whole looks strong, but their defense, which was savaged by the likes of Arizona, doesn't look good going into 2019 and will be a weak spot for this team. Wisconsin --- I wasn't overly impressed by Wisconsin last season and I'm not overly impressed by them now. Iowa State --- I was high on Iowa State for a decent portion of last season, but I'd like to see a bit more out of them before they crack my top 25. Army --- Ranking Army to avoid being called a coward seems like it'd be the cowardly thing to do here. Michigan State --- I think I'll wait a bit before I anoint a 7-6 team as a top 25 member for this season. Miami --- I think having a quarterback coach who's not utter garbage and some offensive ingenuity will lead to a better record than last season, but, with a freshman quarterback and a young offensive line, there's only so much you can do. Nebraska --- Yeah, no, I'm not ranking a team this preseason that went 4-8 last season
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Clemson Tigers
|
Undefeated national champions maintain first-place position, shocking no one. |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Alabama had a great season and is back for more, returning at #2 here. |
| 3 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
The Bulldogs had a solid 2018 campaign and came very close to making the playoffs; they'll hope to improve on that this season. |
| 4 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
The Buckeyes have some questions to answer with their new personnel, both on an off the field, but they look poised for another strong season. |
| 5 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
The Sooners lost Kyler Murray, leaving a big hole at...wait...they got who?!...oh...never mind. |
| 6 |
LSU Tigers
|
LSU had a solid 2018 and, despite losing some talent to the NFL, looks poised for a strong 2019 as well. |
| 7 |
Texas Longhorns
|
The Longhorns will look to hold their own in the Big 12 this season and pick up a top 10 preseason ranking. |
| 8 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
Notre Dame had an inglorious exit from the playoffs last season, but they're still a solid team well-deserving of a top 10 spot. |
| 9 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
I think Penn State looks a lot better than it seems a lot of people do; they return some really good players and actually had a pretty decent 2018 campaign, so it's not as though they're coming out of nowhere. |
| 10 |
Washington Huskies
|
The Pac-12 is always kind of a nightmare, but Washington still seems to have a leg up on the competition. |
| 11 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
"This will be the year for the Wolverines," says everyone every season. |
| 12 |
Florida Gators
|
A rough off-season for the Gators, but they'll look to set the tone for the season with a Week 0 game against Miami. |
| 13 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
The Aggies looked strong in 2018 and will look to continue that in a tough SEC-West. |
| 14 |
UCF Knights
|
Losing Milton is obviously a massive blow to this team, but I think they can still look forward to a good 2019 season. |
| 15 |
Utah Utes
|
I liked Utah last season, and I like them again this year, but not as much other people seem to. |
| 16 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
The Hawkeyes seem to be one of the best at churning out good seasons, and I don't see why there shouldn't be more of the same this year. |
| 17 |
Auburn Tigers
|
The Tigers had a decent 2018, but I'm not sure how their 2019 will shape up, and I'm not convinced their Week 1 game will help us much with figuring that out. |
| 18 |
Missouri Tigers
|
Look, I get that we're supposed to be mad at Missouri because UNC made up classes, but I just can't bring myself to do it, and I think they're going to be a good team, besides. |
| 19 |
Syracuse Orange
|
I really like Syracuse this season; they've got a great coach and once again seem like they have the second-best chance to win the ACC. |
| 20 |
Washington State Cougars
|
Washington State has some holes to fill following 2018, but they're a good team with a good coach, so they have a good ranking. |
| 21 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
Northwestern was certainly among the stranger 2018 teams, but I'm having a hard time understanding why they aren't getting more love. |
| 22 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
Kentucky lost a lot of important playmakers this off-season, but I have a really hard time dumping a top 10 team out of my rankings, so here we are. |
| 23 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
Cincinnati looked good in the AAC last season and will hope to once again fight for a conference championship and a major bowl berth. |
| 24 |
Stanford Cardinal
|
Stanford had a solid 2018 campaign and I can certainly envision them picking up where they left off. |
| 25 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
|
Saving my hottest take for last; Fresno State loses a lot of players from their 2018 team, but I think they were horribly under-rated last season and will have the opportunity to show that against USC. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.25 |
| 8 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.92 |
| 10 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
-0.32 |
| 12 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
UCF Knights
|
0.21 |
| 15 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.82 |
| 17 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
Missouri Tigers
|
4.49 |
| 19 |
Syracuse Orange
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
Washington State Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
1.84 |
| 22 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
2.02 |
| 23 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.23 |
| 24 |
Stanford Cardinal
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Oregon Ducks
|
2.29 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
0.61 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
0.53 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
0.41 |
Army West Point
|
0.03 |
Total Score: 14.99