Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 5, 2023, 2:17 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Thanks to u/sirgippy, the JB Rankings from https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/12nja3j/ranking_the_top_131_fbs_programs_of_the_last_40/ make their way to the r/CFB Poll...and time to put my money where my mouth is, how good are these rankings actually, was the whole series just BS??? The JB Rankings are a computer model that, in a nutshell, gives you points for a win, takes away points for a loss, and divides your cumulative score by log(games played + 1). So every team starts out with 0 resume points which go up/down depending on how they play during the year. For each game, opponent record, opponent conference, at what point in the season the game was played, and scoring margin are taken into account. The model rewards you for playing a tough schedule. If you beat a great team, you get a lot of points. If you lose to a great team, you only lose a few points. If you beat a bad team, you only get a few points. If you lose to a bad team, you lose a lot of points. It's not accurate enough on its own until about week 5, so until then I'll be using last year's rankings and this year's rankings (according to my model) and averaging the two together for the first few weeks. This week it's ordered by 0.8 * LY + 0.2 * TY from in ascending order. Time to see how accurate this "proprietary ranking algorithm" really is!
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Michigan Wolverines | Last Year's Final Ranking: 2 This Year's Ranking so Far: 17 |
2 | Alabama Crimson Tide | LY: 5 TY: 9 |
3 | Tennessee Volunteers | LY: 4 TY: 14 |
4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | LY: 3 TY: 26 |
5 | Washington Huskies | LY: 8 TY: 12 |
6 | USC Trojans | LY: 11 TY: 1 (accurate) |
7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | LY: 6 TY: 22 |
8 | Georgia Bulldogs | LY: 1 TY: 57 |
9 | Tulane Green Wave | LY: 10 TY: 26 |
10 | Florida State Seminoles | LY: 14 TY: 23 |
11 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | LY: 19 TY: 5 |
12 | Utah Utes | LY: 12 TY: 34 |
13 | Oregon State Beavers | LY: 17 TY: 20 |
14 | Oregon Ducks | LY: 13 TY: 48 |
15 | Texas Longhorns | LY: 23 TY: 17 |
16 | UCLA Bruins | LY: 20 TY: 31 |
17 | TCU Horned Frogs | LY: 7 TY: 89 |
18 | Kansas State Wildcats | LY: 18 TY: 54 |
19 | Duke Blue Devils | LY: 27 TY: 23 |
20 | North Carolina Tar Heels | LY: 26 TY: 31 |
21 | Troy Trojans | LY: 15 TY: 77 |
22 | Louisville Cardinals | LY: 25 TY: 40 |
23 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | LY: 21 TY: 57 |
24 | Clemson Tigers | LY: 9 TY: 111 |
25 | Pittsburgh Panthers | LY: 22 TY: 59 |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.04 |
2 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.07 |
3 | Tennessee Volunteers | 1.51 |
4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
5 | Washington Huskies | 0.28 |
6 | USC Trojans | 0.00 |
7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
8 | Georgia Bulldogs | -0.58 |
9 | Tulane Green Wave | 1.92 |
10 | Florida State Seminoles | -1.33 |
11 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
12 | Utah Utes | 0.00 |
13 | Oregon State Beavers | 0.16 |
14 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
15 | Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
16 | UCLA Bruins | 4.12 |
17 | TCU Horned Frogs | 7.94 |
18 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.00 |
19 | Duke Blue Devils | 0.00 |
20 | North Carolina Tar Heels | -0.08 |
21 | Troy Trojans | 3.99 |
22 | Louisville Cardinals | 2.69 |
23 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 1.62 |
24 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
25 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Oklahoma Sooners | 0.88 |
LSU Tigers | 0.53 |
Ole Miss Rebels | 0.68 |
Colorado Buffaloes | 0.16 |
Wisconsin Badgers | 0.56 |
Texas A&M Aggies | 0.11 |
Total Score: 29.24