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jimbobbypaul Ballot for 2023 Week 2

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Sept. 5, 2023, 2:17 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Thanks to u/sirgippy, the JB Rankings from https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/12nja3j/ranking_the_top_131_fbs_programs_of_the_last_40/ make their way to the r/CFB Poll...and time to put my money where my mouth is, how good are these rankings actually, was the whole series just BS??? The JB Rankings are a computer model that, in a nutshell, gives you points for a win, takes away points for a loss, and divides your cumulative score by log(games played + 1). So every team starts out with 0 resume points which go up/down depending on how they play during the year. For each game, opponent record, opponent conference, at what point in the season the game was played, and scoring margin are taken into account. The model rewards you for playing a tough schedule. If you beat a great team, you get a lot of points. If you lose to a great team, you only lose a few points. If you beat a bad team, you only get a few points. If you lose to a bad team, you lose a lot of points. It's not accurate enough on its own until about week 5, so until then I'll be using last year's rankings and this year's rankings (according to my model) and averaging the two together for the first few weeks. This week it's ordered by 0.8 * LY + 0.2 * TY from in ascending order. Time to see how accurate this "proprietary ranking algorithm" really is!

Rank Team Reason
1 Michigan Wolverines Last Year's Final Ranking: 2 This Year's Ranking so Far: 17
2 Alabama Crimson Tide LY: 5 TY: 9
3 Tennessee Volunteers LY: 4 TY: 14
4 Ohio State Buckeyes LY: 3 TY: 26
5 Washington Huskies LY: 8 TY: 12
6 USC Trojans LY: 11 TY: 1 (accurate)
7 Penn State Nittany Lions LY: 6 TY: 22
8 Georgia Bulldogs LY: 1 TY: 57
9 Tulane Green Wave LY: 10 TY: 26
10 Florida State Seminoles LY: 14 TY: 23
11 Notre Dame Fighting Irish LY: 19 TY: 5
12 Utah Utes LY: 12 TY: 34
13 Oregon State Beavers LY: 17 TY: 20
14 Oregon Ducks LY: 13 TY: 48
15 Texas Longhorns LY: 23 TY: 17
16 UCLA Bruins LY: 20 TY: 31
17 TCU Horned Frogs LY: 7 TY: 89
18 Kansas State Wildcats LY: 18 TY: 54
19 Duke Blue Devils LY: 27 TY: 23
20 North Carolina Tar Heels LY: 26 TY: 31
21 Troy Trojans LY: 15 TY: 77
22 Louisville Cardinals LY: 25 TY: 40
23 Mississippi State Bulldogs LY: 21 TY: 57
24 Clemson Tigers LY: 9 TY: 111
25 Pittsburgh Panthers LY: 22 TY: 59

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