Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Sept. 22, 2026, 6:42 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Week 4 notes: one of the craziest first polls I can remember. I'm not going to bother changing much after the second layer (aside from head to head) or work to separate a clear next 3-10. Manual override of WMU/Michigan game to count as WMU win per FBS Oversight Committee stating on the record had officially-established review protocols been followed the game would have resulted in a WMU win. General Notes: Methodology: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P4/G6 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = Team A cannot be ranked over Team B that has 2+ fewer losses (ex: 9-3 LSU can be ranked over 10-2 Missouri, but 9-3 LSU cannot be ranked over 11-1 Tulane even if LSU beat Tulane heads up, rankings have LSU over Tulane, and/or I think LSU is better than Tulane) unless Team B is giving a X loss allowance to Team A due to significantly fewer P4 games played. Loss allowances come into play when: P4 teams play 2 fewer P4 games than another P4 team (ex: 9-3 Arizona plays 10 P4 games, 11-1 Syracuse plays 8 P4 games, 10-8=2, 9-3 Arizona can be ranked over 11-1 Syracuse); P4 teams play 6 fewer P4 games than a G6 team (11-1 Syracuse plays 8 P4 teams, 9-3 Charlotte plays 2 P4 teams, 8-2=6, 9-3 Charlotte can be ranked over 11-1 Syracuse) unless the P4 team plays 0 P4 games then it is 7; G6 teams play 9 fewer P4 teams than a P4 team (ex: 9-3 South Carolina plays 10 P4 games, 11-1 Boise State plays 1 P4 games, 10-0=0, 9-3 South Carolina can be ranked over 11-1 Boise State); or G6 teams play 2 fewer P4 games than another G6 team (ex: 9-3 Charlotte plays 2 P4 games, 11-1 Liberty plays 0 P4 games, 2-0=2, 9-3 Charlotte can be ranked over 11-1 Liberty). If the game differential exceeds more than 2/6/9/2 in those scenarios, add another loss allowance for each additional P4 game played difference in that scenario.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Texas Longhorns
|
NEW. Would be the #1 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #8 Alabama/#9 Mississippi State in the Orange Bowl |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
NEW. Would be the #2 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #7 Indiana/#10 Notre Dame in the Rose Bowl |
| 3 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
NEW. Would be the #3 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #6 Georgia/#11 Utah in the Peach Bowl |
| 4 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
NEW. Would be the #4 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #5 LSU/#12 Tulsa in the Fiesta Bowl |
| 5 |
LSU Tigers
|
NEW. Would be the #5 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #12 WMU in the first round |
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
NEW. Would be the #6 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #11 Utah in the first round |
| 7 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
NEW. Would be the #7 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #10 Notre Dame in the first round |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
NEW. Would be the #8 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #9 Mississippi State in the first round |
| 9 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
NEW. Would be the #9 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #8 Alabama in the first round |
| 10 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
NEW. Would be the #10 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #7 Indiana in the first round |
| 11 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
NEW |
| 12 |
Florida Gators
|
NEW |
| 13 |
SMU Mustangs
|
NEW |
| 14 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
NEW |
| 15 |
UCLA Bruins
|
NEW |
| 16 |
Utah Utes
|
NEW. Would be the #11 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #6 Georgia in the first round |
| 17 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
NEW |
| 18 |
BYU Cougars
|
NEW |
| 19 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
NEW |
| 20 |
Auburn Tigers
|
NEW |
| 21 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
NEW |
| 22 |
Houston Cougars
|
NEW |
| 23 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
NEW |
| 24 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
NEW |
| 25 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
NEW. WMU would be the #12 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #5 LSU in the first round |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.66 |
| 3 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.01 |
| 4 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
LSU Tigers
|
1.13 |
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
0.93 |
| 10 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
-1.65 |
| 11 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
0.75 |
| 12 |
Florida Gators
|
0.38 |
| 13 |
SMU Mustangs
|
3.63 |
| 14 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
1.11 |
| 15 |
UCLA Bruins
|
1.59 |
| 16 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
-0.20 |
| 18 |
BYU Cougars
|
-1.08 |
| 19 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
4.02 |
| 20 |
Auburn Tigers
|
5.15 |
| 21 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
4.17 |
| 22 |
Houston Cougars
|
0.32 |
| 23 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
-1.34 |
| 25 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
-1.04 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
USC Trojans
|
1.82 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
1.52 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.34 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.41 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.21 |
West Virginia Mountaineers
|
0.10 |
Total Score: 33.56