Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Aug. 19, 2018, 12:28 p.m.
Overall Rationale: My ballot this week draws heavily on a team's performance in 2017, as we haven't had any actual football to watch this season. Once we're a few weeks into the season, I plan to bring in a computer model and switch over to a hybrid ballot, with increasing weight on the computer component as the season progresses -- I'll have more on that when I roll out my first hybrid poll. First N Out - FSU, NC State, and FAU
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | While Alabama has some position weaknesses that might weigh on them this season, they're the returning national champions and they haven't done anything to fall from first. |
2 | Clemson Tigers | Despite falling short last season, the Tigers still find themselves ranked near the top as we approach the 2018 season. |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | While Georgia has lost some players to the NFL, I think they bring back a very solid team, good for #3 overall. |
4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Ohio State went 12-2 last season, with their worst loss coming at a feisty Iowa, and I think they're in a good position to make another playoff push this season. |
5 | Wisconsin Badgers | Wisconsin finished last season 13-1, with their only loss in the B1G Championship Game, and looks poised to have a similar performance again this season. |
6 | Auburn Tigers | Auburn had a very good 2017, defeating national champion Alabama, and are looking good heading into 2018. |
7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | Penn State lost a fair amount on offense, along with their offensive coordinator, but they still look to be in a strong position this season following a very good showing last year. |
8 | Oklahoma Sooners | 2017 Oklahoma performed very well, but I'm hesitant to rank the 2018 team higher until I see how they perform without Baker Mayfield. |
9 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Notre Dame went 10-3 in 2017, with their worst loss coming against a hot Miami team; they look positioned to make another good run in 2018. |
10 | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan State had some struggles last season, including a shellacking by Ohio State, but they went 10-3 and look poised for another good year. |
11 | Washington Huskies | I was fairly unimpressed by the Huskies last season, as I think they benefited from a relatively weak schedule, and that carries over into my ranking here. |
12 | Miami Hurricanes | While Miami will have some very strong positions this season, they have enough short on experience that I hesitate to rank them higher. |
13 | Stanford Cardinal | Stanford got off to a rocky start last season, and didn't end the season the way they would have liked, but 10-4 is still nothing to sneeze at and Stanford looks to be in a good position going into the 2018 season. |
14 | USC Trojans | The Trojans lost a couple tough games last season, but the bigger challenge for them will be overcoming the loss of Sam Darnold. |
15 | TCU Horned Frogs | TCU went 11-3 last season, with two of those losses coming to Oklahoma; I think they're in good shape for 2018. |
16 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Oklahoma State's 2017 record, 10-3, makes for a promising start to 2018, but Mike Gundy cut off his mullet, so who knows anymore. |
17 | Virginia Tech Hokies | Virginia Tech, 9-4 in 2017, certainly benefited from a weak schedule last season, but they didn't really lose any games they shouldn't have and have a chance to prove themselves in 2018. |
18 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | While getting a new head coach can be daunting for a program, Mississippi State looks like it will hit the ground running with former Penn State OC Joe Moorhead. |
19 | LSU Tigers | Apart from a baffling loss to Troy, LSU had a strong 2017 campaign and looks to build on that work in 2018. |
20 | Northwestern Wildcats | I think Northwestern is criminally underrated; while starting last season 2-3, the team reeled off eight straight wins and looks good going into 2018. |
21 | Iowa Hawkeyes | Despite going 8-5 last season, three of Iowa's losses (and three of their wins) were within one possession and I think they end up a bit higher this season. |
22 | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan went 8-5 last season, including losing their last three games; I'm not nearly as optimistic about their 2018 campaign as many others. |
23 | Boise State Broncos | Boise State, 11-3 in 2017, looks to be slightly ahead of their G5 competition as the season begins. |
24 | UCF Knights | UCF's undefeated season was certainly impressive, and I think they deserved more recognition than they received, but the loss of Scott Frost makes me dubious about a repeat performance. |
25 | Memphis Tigers | Memphis had a very good season at 11-3 and look to be one of the better-positioned teams in the American this season. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
2 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
5 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0.00 |
6 | Auburn Tigers | 0.26 |
7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.09 |
8 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.00 |
9 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.27 |
10 | Michigan State Spartans | 0.00 |
11 | Washington Huskies | -0.42 |
12 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.00 |
13 | Stanford Cardinal | 0.00 |
14 | USC Trojans | 0.00 |
15 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0.00 |
16 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.63 |
17 | Virginia Tech Hokies | 0.01 |
18 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.00 |
19 | LSU Tigers | 0.13 |
20 | Northwestern Wildcats | 1.85 |
21 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 3.78 |
22 | Michigan Wolverines | -0.90 |
23 | Boise State Broncos | 0.00 |
24 | UCF Knights | 0.00 |
25 | Memphis Tigers | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
West Virginia Mountaineers | 0.62 |
Florida State Seminoles | 0.51 |
Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
Total Score: 9.48