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NotSoSuperNerd Ballot for 2026 Week 9

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 25, 2026, 9:33 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

Rank Team Reason
1 Miami Hurricanes 2.220 [11.14-0.86]
2 Georgia Bulldogs 2.200 [9.80-2.20]
3 Alabama Crimson Tide 2.132 [9.22-2.78]
4 Kentucky Wildcats 2.089 [9.10-2.90]
5 Ole Miss Rebels 2.030 [8.72-3.28]
6 LSU Tigers 2.018 [8.59-3.41]
7 Texas Longhorns 2.004 [8.45-3.55]
8 Utah Utes 1.998 [10.67-1.33]
9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1.945 [10.43-1.57]
10 Ohio State Buckeyes 1.906 [10.19-1.81]
11 Tennessee Volunteers 1.845 [8.36-3.64]
12 Indiana Hoosiers 1.793 [10.65-1.35]
13 Florida Gators 1.770 [7.55-4.45]
14 BYU Cougars 1.679 [9.42-2.58]
15 Missouri Tigers 1.678 [7.21-4.79]
16 Oklahoma Sooners 1.581 [6.41-5.59]
17 Auburn Tigers 1.517 [6.62-5.38]
18 South Carolina Gamecocks 1.504 [6.52-5.48]
19 UCLA Bruins 1.497 [10.51-1.49]
20 Wake Forest Demon Deacons 1.484 [9.83-2.17]
21 Arizona Wildcats 1.482 [9.11-2.89]
22 Mississippi State Bulldogs 1.479 [6.43-5.57]
23 Texas Tech Red Raiders 1.404 [9.54-2.46]
24 Texas A&M Aggies 1.362 [5.74-6.26]
25 Houston Cougars 1.333 [8.97-3.03]

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