/r/CFB Poll

Overall Rationale: Generated from GippyRank4, a probabilistic college-football ranking model that estimates underlying team quality from game performance and expresses uncertainty rather than treating rank as perfectly known. This ballot uses the 2026 Week 9 Predictive Context rankings. Predictive estimates current underlying team quality using preseason information plus games.

Explore the rankings and uncertainty at: https://sirgippy.github.io/GippyRank4/

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	GippyRank expected rank: 3.0. Central 80% interval: 1–6. Top-25 probability: <100%.
2	Georgia Bulldogs	GippyRank expected rank: 4.2. Central 80% interval: 1–8. Top-25 probability: <100%.
3	Miami Hurricanes	GippyRank expected rank: 4.2. Central 80% interval: 1–8. Top-25 probability: <100%.
4	LSU Tigers	GippyRank expected rank: 4.4. Central 80% interval: 2–8. Top-25 probability: <100%.
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	GippyRank expected rank: 4.5. Central 80% interval: 2–9. Top-25 probability: <100%.
6	Indiana Hoosiers	GippyRank expected rank: 4.9. Central 80% interval: 1–9. Top-25 probability: 99.9%.
7	Alabama Crimson Tide	GippyRank expected rank: 5.7. Central 80% interval: 2–10. Top-25 probability: 99.9%.
8	Texas Longhorns	GippyRank expected rank: 6.3. Central 80% interval: 2–12. Top-25 probability: 99.7%.
9	Ole Miss Rebels	GippyRank expected rank: 6.3. Central 80% interval: 2–12. Top-25 probability: 99.5%.
10	Utah Utes	GippyRank expected rank: 8.2. Central 80% interval: 3–15. Top-25 probability: 98.8%.
11	Oregon Ducks	GippyRank expected rank: 8.6. Central 80% interval: 2–16. Top-25 probability: 98.3%.
12	Tennessee Volunteers	GippyRank expected rank: 10.7. Central 80% interval: 4–19. Top-25 probability: 96.8%.
13	Texas Tech Red Raiders	GippyRank expected rank: 11.2. Central 80% interval: 3–22. Top-25 probability: 94%.
14	UCLA Bruins	GippyRank expected rank: 11.6. Central 80% interval: 4–21. Top-25 probability: 95.4%.
15	Arizona Wildcats	GippyRank expected rank: 11.7. Central 80% interval: 4–22. Top-25 probability: 94%.
16	Nebraska Cornhuskers	GippyRank expected rank: 11.9. Central 80% interval: 4–21. Top-25 probability: 95%.
17	Northwestern Wildcats	GippyRank expected rank: 11.9. Central 80% interval: 4–22. Top-25 probability: 94%.
18	BYU Cougars	GippyRank expected rank: 12.3. Central 80% interval: 4–22. Top-25 probability: 94%.
19	Houston Cougars	GippyRank expected rank: 12.5. Central 80% interval: 5–21. Top-25 probability: 95.3%.
20	Florida Gators	GippyRank expected rank: 12.9. Central 80% interval: 4–23. Top-25 probability: 93%.
21	Missouri Tigers	GippyRank expected rank: 16.3. Central 80% interval: 5–30. Top-25 probability: 84%.
22	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	GippyRank expected rank: 16.7. Central 80% interval: 7–29. Top-25 probability: 85%.
23	Louisville Cardinals	GippyRank expected rank: 16.7. Central 80% interval: 6–30. Top-25 probability: 84%.
24	Iowa Hawkeyes	GippyRank expected rank: 17.6. Central 80% interval: 7–31. Top-25 probability: 82%.
25	Oklahoma State Cowboys	GippyRank expected rank: 18.2. Central 80% interval: 7–34. Top-25 probability: 81%.

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.43
2	Georgia Bulldogs	0.46
3	Miami Hurricanes	-0.88
4	LSU Tigers	1.51
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
6	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
7	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.39
8	Texas Longhorns	0.48
9	Ole Miss Rebels	0.99
10	Utah Utes	-1.54
11	Oregon Ducks	13.92
12	Tennessee Volunteers	0.61
13	Texas Tech Red Raiders	0.00
14	UCLA Bruins	-1.81
15	Arizona Wildcats	0.00
16	Nebraska Cornhuskers	6.10
17	Northwestern Wildcats	0.00
18	BYU Cougars	-2.65
19	Houston Cougars	0.00
20	Florida Gators	0.00
21	Missouri Tigers	0.23
22	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	-1.55
23	Louisville Cardinals	2.21
24	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.00
25	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Kentucky Wildcats	3.57
SMU Mustangs	0.67
Boise State Broncos	0.56
Wisconsin Badgers	0.21

Total Score: 40.77

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sirgippy Ballot for 2026 Week 9

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