Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 4, 2026, 1:45 p.m.
Overall Rationale: I have two predictive models - one that predicts how many points a team will score and one that predicts if they will win or lose. I simulate every FBS team against each other in each model and average the ranks based on who wins the most and who scores the most/allows the fewest points. Occasionally if there's a team that doesn't make sense based on the eye test I'll adjust or replace them (see notes for details).
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
change from last week: 0 |
| 2 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
change from last week: 0 |
| 3 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
change from last week: +5 |
| 4 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
change from last week: +2 |
| 5 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
change from last week: 0 |
| 6 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
change from last week: -3 |
| 7 |
Utah Utes
|
change from last week: -3 |
| 8 |
Texas Longhorns
|
change from last week: +1 |
| 9 |
LSU Tigers
|
change from last week: -2 |
| 10 |
Oregon Ducks
|
change from last week: +4 |
| 11 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
change from last week: +4 |
| 12 |
Missouri Tigers
|
change from last week: +9 |
| 13 |
James Madison Dukes
|
change from last week: -1 |
| 14 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
change from last week: 0 |
| 15 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
change from last week: +1 |
| 16 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
change from last week: -8 |
| 17 |
BYU Cougars
|
change from last week: +2 |
| 18 |
Florida Gators
|
change from last week: -8 |
| 19 |
Liberty Flames
|
change from last week: +6 |
| 20 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
change from last week: +15 |
| 21 |
SMU Mustangs
|
change from last week: +8 |
| 22 |
USC Trojans
|
change from last week: -5 |
| 23 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
change from last week: +20 |
| 24 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
change from last week: +1, but moved down from 14 |
| 25 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
#26, added in for Penn State |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.12 |
| 2 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.58 |
| 3 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Utah Utes
|
0.35 |
| 8 |
Texas Longhorns
|
-2.00 |
| 9 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.38 |
| 10 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.46 |
| 11 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.35 |
| 13 |
James Madison Dukes
|
2.82 |
| 14 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.10 |
| 15 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
0.28 |
| 16 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.44 |
| 17 |
BYU Cougars
|
-1.29 |
| 18 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Liberty Flames
|
6.25 |
| 20 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
0.24 |
| 21 |
SMU Mustangs
|
2.12 |
| 22 |
USC Trojans
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
1.23 |
| 25 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
-0.26 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Ole Miss Rebels
|
1.19 |
UCLA Bruins
|
0.99 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
0.69 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.48 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
0.16 |
Houston Cougars
|
0.25 |
Total Score: 23.04