arbadak Ballot for 2026 Week 4
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 20, 2026, 10:57 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Modified Colley Matrix with a win-weighted sigmoid margin transform and a fixed 2.8-point home-field advantage adjustment. Winning is the primary factor; margin of victory provides diminishing secondary differentiation, effectively soft-capping around three scores.
New: BYU, Texas, Tennessee, Ole Miss, Tulsa, Duke, Michigan, Georgia, West Virginia, Northwestern.
Dropped: Auburn, Cincinnati, Colorado State, Georgia State, LSU, Maryland, South Carolina, Texas A&M, Virginia, Wake Forest.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
.812 rating, 3-0, SOS .572 (+3) |
| 2 |
Florida Gators
|
.787 rating, 3-0, SOS .546 (+6) |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
.786 rating, 3-0, SOS .540 (+10) |
| 4 |
USC Trojans
|
.781 rating, 4-0, SOS .523 (-3) |
| 5 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
.779 rating, 3-0, SOS .493 |
| 6 |
BYU Cougars
|
.778 rating, 3-0, SOS .548 (NEW, +20) |
| 7 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
.771 rating, 3-0, SOS .490 (+5) |
| 8 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
.771 rating, 3-0, SOS .520 (+8) |
| 9 |
Texas Longhorns
|
.770 rating, 3-0, SOS .582 (NEW, +29) |
| 10 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
.765 rating, 3-0, SOS .513 (+5) |
| 11 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
.755 rating, 3-0, SOS .566 (+6) |
| 12 |
UCLA Bruins
|
.753 rating, 3-0, SOS .524 (-5) |
| 13 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
.751 rating, 3-0, SOS .447 (NEW, +15) |
| 14 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
.747 rating, 3-0, SOS .582 (NEW, +26) |
| 15 |
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
|
.744 rating, 3-0, SOS .519 (NEW, +27) |
| 16 |
North Dakota State Bison
|
.742 rating, 4-0, SOS .437 (-7) |
| 17 |
Missouri Tigers
|
.741 rating, 3-0, SOS .496 (-3) |
| 18 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
.738 rating, 3-0, SOS .529 (NEW, +11) |
| 19 |
Utah Utes
|
.738 rating, 3-0, SOS .417 (-8) |
| 20 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
.734 rating, 3-0, SOS .586 (NEW, +26) |
| 21 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
.723 rating, 3-0, SOS .383 (NEW, +15) |
| 22 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
.721 rating, 3-0, SOS .382 (-16) |
| 23 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
.720 rating, 3-0, SOS .400 |
| 24 |
West Virginia Mountaineers
|
.717 rating, 3-0, SOS .494 (NEW, +8) |
| 25 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
.714 rating, 2-0, SOS .505 (NEW, +27) |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.72 |
| 2 |
Florida Gators
|
2.16 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.92 |
| 4 |
USC Trojans
|
1.18 |
| 5 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
1.34 |
| 6 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.61 |
| 7 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
1.10 |
| 9 |
Texas Longhorns
|
-2.67 |
| 10 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
3.03 |
| 11 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
3.02 |
| 12 |
UCLA Bruins
|
2.42 |
| 13 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
-2.03 |
| 15 |
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
|
2.58 |
| 16 |
North Dakota State Bison
|
3.50 |
| 17 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.41 |
| 18 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
0.24 |
| 19 |
Utah Utes
|
-0.16 |
| 20 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-2.28 |
| 22 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
-2.11 |
| 23 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
1.12 |
| 24 |
West Virginia Mountaineers
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
2.29 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
2.17 |
LSU Tigers
|
1.51 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
1.29 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
0.87 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.21 |
Total Score: 41.92