/r/CFB Poll

Overall Rationale: Generated from GippyRank4, a probabilistic college-football ranking model that estimates underlying team quality from game performance and expresses uncertainty rather than treating rank as perfectly known. This ballot uses the 2026 Week 4 Predictive Context rankings. Predictive estimates current underlying team quality using preseason information plus games.

Explore the rankings and uncertainty at: https://sirgippy.github.io/GippyRank4/

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	GippyRank expected rank: 4.9. Central 80% interval: 1–10. Top-25 probability: 99.5%.
2	Georgia Bulldogs	GippyRank expected rank: 5.7. Central 80% interval: 1–12. Top-25 probability: 98.9%.
3	Texas Longhorns	GippyRank expected rank: 6.5. Central 80% interval: 2–13. Top-25 probability: 98.7%.
4	Indiana Hoosiers	GippyRank expected rank: 7.0. Central 80% interval: 2–15. Top-25 probability: 97.8%.
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	GippyRank expected rank: 7.6. Central 80% interval: 2–15. Top-25 probability: 97.7%.
6	Miami Hurricanes	GippyRank expected rank: 7.7. Central 80% interval: 2–16. Top-25 probability: 97.5%.
7	Oregon Ducks	GippyRank expected rank: 8.4. Central 80% interval: 2–18. Top-25 probability: 95.4%.
8	LSU Tigers	GippyRank expected rank: 8.5. Central 80% interval: 2–17. Top-25 probability: 97.0%.
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	GippyRank expected rank: 8.9. Central 80% interval: 3–17. Top-25 probability: 96.8%.
10	Ole Miss Rebels	GippyRank expected rank: 10.2. Central 80% interval: 2–21. Top-25 probability: 94%.
11	Florida Gators	GippyRank expected rank: 11.5. Central 80% interval: 3–23. Top-25 probability: 93%.
12	Utah Utes	GippyRank expected rank: 12.1. Central 80% interval: 3–25. Top-25 probability: 91%.
13	Tennessee Volunteers	GippyRank expected rank: 13.8. Central 80% interval: 3–28. Top-25 probability: 87%.
14	Texas A&M Aggies	GippyRank expected rank: 14.0. Central 80% interval: 3–29. Top-25 probability: 86%.
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	GippyRank expected rank: 14.9. Central 80% interval: 4–30. Top-25 probability: 85%.
16	Iowa Hawkeyes	GippyRank expected rank: 15.2. Central 80% interval: 4–32. Top-25 probability: 85%.
17	Mississippi State Bulldogs	GippyRank expected rank: 16.3. Central 80% interval: 5–32. Top-25 probability: 83%.
18	Oklahoma Sooners	GippyRank expected rank: 16.8. Central 80% interval: 4–33. Top-25 probability: 81%.
19	Texas Tech Red Raiders	GippyRank expected rank: 18.1. Central 80% interval: 3–38. Top-25 probability: 75%.
20	BYU Cougars	GippyRank expected rank: 18.7. Central 80% interval: 4–39. Top-25 probability: 76%.
21	Kansas State Wildcats	GippyRank expected rank: 19.1. Central 80% interval: 5–40. Top-25 probability: 76%.
22	USC Trojans	GippyRank expected rank: 19.2. Central 80% interval: 5–39. Top-25 probability: 74%.
23	Michigan Wolverines	GippyRank expected rank: 19.7. Central 80% interval: 5–40. Top-25 probability: 73%.
24	Virginia Cavaliers	GippyRank expected rank: 20.1. Central 80% interval: 5–42. Top-25 probability: 73%.
25	Northwestern Wildcats	GippyRank expected rank: 21.6. Central 80% interval: 5–45. Top-25 probability: 69%.

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.85
2	Georgia Bulldogs	0.01
3	Texas Longhorns	0.00
4	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
6	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
7	Oregon Ducks	3.36
8	LSU Tigers	0.54
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
10	Ole Miss Rebels	-0.83
11	Florida Gators	0.56
12	Utah Utes	0.00
13	Tennessee Volunteers	0.00
14	Texas A&M Aggies	3.81
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
16	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.00
17	Mississippi State Bulldogs	0.00
18	Oklahoma Sooners	4.73
19	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-0.64
20	BYU Cougars	-1.61
21	Kansas State Wildcats	0.78
22	USC Trojans	-1.00
23	Michigan Wolverines	0.00
24	Virginia Cavaliers	1.11
25	Northwestern Wildcats	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Louisville Cardinals	0.87
Missouri Tigers	0.41
Duke Blue Devils	0.00
West Virginia Mountaineers	0.10
Virginia Tech Hokies	0.01

Total Score: 21.23

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sirgippy Ballot for 2026 Week 4

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