Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Sept. 20, 2026, 8:33 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Texas Longhorns	2.089 [9.58-2.42]
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	2.086 [9.74-2.26]
3	Georgia Bulldogs	1.965 [9.54-2.46]
4	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.936 [11.05-0.95]
5	Ole Miss Rebels	1.911 [8.73-3.27]
6	Indiana Hoosiers	1.845 [10.91-1.09]
7	Miami Hurricanes	1.771 [10.60-1.40]
8	Tennessee Volunteers	1.645 [8.17-3.83]
9	LSU Tigers	1.597 [7.47-4.53]
10	Ohio State Buckeyes	1.581 [9.02-2.98]
11	Florida Gators	1.568 [7.53-4.47]
12	Utah Utes	1.549 [10.50-1.50]
13	Mississippi State Bulldogs	1.545 [7.36-4.64]
14	Texas A&M Aggies	1.521 [7.58-4.42]
15	Vanderbilt Commodores	1.425 [6.77-5.23]
16	Oklahoma Sooners	1.406 [6.39-5.61]
17	Kentucky Wildcats	1.393 [6.61-5.39]
18	Auburn Tigers	1.256 [5.95-6.05]
19	Texas Tech Red Raiders	1.247 [10.10-1.90]
20	Penn State Nittany Lions	1.246 [10.11-1.89]
21	Iowa Hawkeyes	1.241 [9.19-2.81]
22	Louisville Cardinals	1.226 [8.73-3.27]
23	Missouri Tigers	1.200 [5.98-6.02]
24	BYU Cougars	1.171 [8.51-3.49]
25	Oregon Ducks	1.136 [8.46-3.54]

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Texas Longhorns	0.00
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	1.25
3	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
4	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
5	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00
6	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
7	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
8	Tennessee Volunteers	0.82
9	LSU Tigers	0.34
10	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
11	Florida Gators	0.56
12	Utah Utes	0.00
13	Mississippi State Bulldogs	0.25
14	Texas A&M Aggies	3.81
15	Vanderbilt Commodores	6.27
16	Oklahoma Sooners	6.26
17	Kentucky Wildcats	3.33
18	Auburn Tigers	7.15
19	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-0.64
20	Penn State Nittany Lions	-0.28
21	Iowa Hawkeyes	-0.05
22	Louisville Cardinals	-0.04
23	Missouri Tigers	0.00
24	BYU Cougars	-2.67
25	Oregon Ducks	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
USC Trojans	1.82
Michigan Wolverines	0.34
Duke Blue Devils	0.00
West Virginia Mountaineers	0.10
Virginia Tech Hokies	0.01

Total Score: 35.99