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dabul-master Ballot for 2016 Preseason

Ballot Type: Human

Submitted: Aug. 21, 2016, 9:12 p.m.

Overall Rationale: This ia mostly a strength of resume poll. Maybe roughly 75% objective 25% subjective. Who you have beaten will generally be weighed more heavily than how good you are perceived. Being undefeated is also a strong positive influence. An undefeated team with a creampuff schedule will typically be ranked higher in my poll than others, but the second that team loses they may plummet drastically. Since the poll heavily weighs on actual results of games, the early season polls will be very interesting and controversial but will normalize as the year goes on. The intention of this polling method is to be fair to teams that may not have excessive preseason hype, but also not to blindly follow numbers. It's like a human computer poll, by I hesitate to call it a hybrid since no computer analysis is done, I just try to analyze teams as a computer poll might, with an added human factor. This poll also counteracts bias towards teams that are ranked highly preseason. Let's say hypothetically Alabama is the preseason number one, even with a creampuff schedule all season long they would typically not fall very much, if at all, from their perch because the perception of them as a top team wouldn't change. This poll would keep them above most one win teams if they were undefeated, but if they were to lose a game with a creampuff schedule they would fall much more than they would in reality. Another way this method removes fallacies judgements is that it will retroactively reevaluate past wins. Say auburn is ranked highly preseason and they play LSU. Lsu will get tons of credit for a win, even if auburn turns out to collapse and be a bad team. Lsu would get touted as beating ranked auburn, although we all know retroactively that ranking was in error as auburn was actually not that good. I will do my best to revaluate past wins with current up to date knowledge of a teams actual talent level. This poll usually will falsely identify some teams early season as being good before normalizing, but will also catch onto to surprise team much earlier than national polls.

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