Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Aug. 30, 2016, 7:35 a.m.
Overall Rationale: My preseason model combines 3 polls, my traditional max likelihood preseason projection, my personal ranking , and the AP Poll (which I felt was exceptionally good this year and used as a sanity check).   Both my personal poll and computer projection each get weighted doubles (50 points for first place).  The AP poll gets a vote out of 25 points.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Predictive Rank: #1 (50 points)Personal Rank: #1 (50 points)AP Rank: #1 (25 points)Total: 125/125 |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Predictive Rank: #2 (48 points)Personal Rank: #3 (46 points)AP Rank: #6 (20 points)Total: 114/125 |
3 | Clemson Tigers | Predictive Rank: #6 (40 points)Personal Rank: #2 (48 points)AP Rank: #2 (24 points)Total: 112/125 |
4 | Florida State Seminoles | Predictive Rank: #4 (44 points)Personal Rank: #4 (44 points)AP Rank: #4 (22 points)Total: 112/125 |
5 | Oklahoma Sooners | Predictive Rank: #7 (38 points)Personal Rank: #6 (40 points)AP Rank: #3 (23 points)Total: 101/125 |
6 | LSU Tigers | Predictive Rank: #10 (32 points)Personal Rank: #5 (42 points)AP Rank: #5 (21 points)Total: 95/125 |
7 | Michigan State Spartans | Predictive Rank: #5 (42 points)Personal Rank: #8 (36 points)AP Rank: #12 (14 points)Total: 92/125 |
8 | Stanford Cardinal | Predictive Rank: #9 (34 points)Personal Rank: #9 (34 points)AP Rank: #8 (18 points)Total: 86/125 |
9 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Predictive Rank: #11 (30 points)Personal Rank: #11 (30 points)AP Rank: #10 (16 points)Total: 76/125 |
10 | TCU Horned Frogs | Predictive Rank: #12 (28 points)Personal Rank: #10 (32 points)AP Rank: #13 (13 points)Total: 73/125 |
11 | Michigan Wolverines | Predictive Rank: #22 (8 points)Personal Rank: #7 (38 points)AP Rank: #7 (19 points)Total: 65/125 |
12 | Ole Miss Rebels | Predictive Rank: #16 (20 points)Personal Rank: #14 (24 points)AP Rank: #11 (15 points)Total: 59/125 |
13 | Oregon Ducks | Predictive Rank: #3 (46 points)Personal Rank: #21 (10 points)AP Rank: #24 (2 points)Total: 58/125 |
14 | Georgia Bulldogs | Predictive Rank: #13 (26 points)Personal Rank: #16 (20 points)AP Rank: #18 (8 points)Total: 54/125 |
15 | Tennessee Volunteers | Predictive Rank: #24 (4 points)Personal Rank: #12 (28 points)AP Rank: #9 (17 points)Total: 49/125 |
16 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Predictive Rank: #14 (24 points)Personal Rank: #17 (18 points)AP Rank: #21 (5 points)Total: 47/125 |
17 | Baylor Bears | Predictive Rank: #8 (36 points)Personal Rank: #22 (8 points)AP Rank: #23 (6 points)Total: 47/125 |
18 | UCLA Bruins | Predictive Rank: #21 (10 points)Personal Rank: #13 (26 points)AP Rank: #16 (10 points)Total: 46/125 |
19 | Iowa Hawkeyes | Predictive Rank: #23 (6 points)Personal Rank: #15 (22 points)AP Rank: #17 (9 points)Total: 46/125 |
20 | USC Trojans | Predictive Rank: #19 (14 points)Personal Rank: #18 (16 points)AP Rank: #20 (6 points)Total: 36/125 |
21 | Wisconsin Badgers | Predictive Rank: #15 (22 points)Personal Rank: #20 (12 points)AP Rank: NR (0 points)Total: 34/125 |
22 | Houston Cougars | Predictive Rank: NR (0 points)Personal Rank: #19 (14 points)AP Rank: #15 (11 points)Total: 25/125 |
23 | Florida Gators | Predictive Rank: #18 (16 points)Personal Rank: #25 (2 points)AP Rank: #25 (1 points)Total: 19/125 |
24 | Texas A&M Aggies | Predictive Rank: #17 (18 points)Personal Rank: NR (0 points)AP Rank: NR (0 points)Total: 18/125 |
25 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Predictive Rank: #20 (12 points)Personal Rank: NR (0 points)AP Rank: NR (0 points)Total: 12/125  (This Ties Washington who received 12 points from the AP's #14 rank.)Other's receiving points: Washington (12), North Carolina (10). Louisville (7), Nebraska (4), Arizona State (2) |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.58 |
3 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
4 | Florida State Seminoles | 0.00 |
5 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.00 |
6 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
7 | Michigan State Spartans | 0.43 |
8 | Stanford Cardinal | 0.00 |
9 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
10 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0.00 |
11 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
12 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.00 |
13 | Oregon Ducks | 0.82 |
14 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.38 |
15 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
16 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.23 |
17 | Baylor Bears | 1.83 |
18 | UCLA Bruins | 0.00 |
19 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.00 |
20 | USC Trojans | 0.00 |
21 | Wisconsin Badgers | 1.10 |
22 | Houston Cougars | -1.00 |
23 | Florida Gators | 0.00 |
24 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0.03 |
25 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.02 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Washington Huskies | 1.10 |
Louisville Cardinals | 0.68 |
North Carolina Tar Heels | 0.51 |
Total Score: 8.72