Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 6, 2026, 9:51 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Computer model that minimizes the squared error difference between projected spread and actual spread, adjusted for home field advantage (~2.5pts) and with a decay to put more weight in recent games and less weight in games earlier in the season. Ratings are centered at the median and scaled by an assumption that the spread between the best and worst team would be -60.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Alabama Crimson Tide
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
3	Texas Longhorns
4	Ohio State Buckeyes
5	Miami Hurricanes
6	LSU Tigers
7	Georgia Bulldogs
8	Utah Utes
9	Northwestern Wildcats
10	UCLA Bruins
11	Oregon Ducks
12	Indiana Hoosiers
13	Tennessee Volunteers
14	Missouri Tigers
15	Florida Gators
16	Mississippi State Bulldogs
17	Texas Tech Red Raiders
18	Houston Cougars
19	Kentucky Wildcats
20	Nebraska Cornhuskers
21	Wisconsin Badgers
22	Texas A&M Aggies
23	Baylor Bears
24	Iowa Hawkeyes
25	UCF Knights

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.72
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.40
3	Texas Longhorns	0.00
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.05
5	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
6	LSU Tigers	0.99
7	Georgia Bulldogs	-0.57
8	Utah Utes	0.06
9	Northwestern Wildcats	3.48
10	UCLA Bruins	0.65
11	Oregon Ducks	0.25
12	Indiana Hoosiers	-1.18
13	Tennessee Volunteers	0.31
14	Missouri Tigers	0.00
15	Florida Gators	0.00
16	Mississippi State Bulldogs	0.00
17	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-1.40
18	Houston Cougars	0.62
19	Kentucky Wildcats	0.94
20	Nebraska Cornhuskers	0.00
21	Wisconsin Badgers	0.89
22	Texas A&M Aggies	2.94
23	Baylor Bears	2.09
24	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.00
25	UCF Knights	0.25

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
BYU Cougars	4.01
Ole Miss Rebels	1.19
Pittsburgh Panthers	0.43
Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.48
USC Trojans	0.25
Duke Blue Devils	0.16

Total Score: 24.35