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NotSoSuperNerd Ballot for 2026 Week 6

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 4, 2026, 10:34 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

Rank Team Reason
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 2.701 [10.64-1.36]
2 Georgia Bulldogs 2.476 [10.33-1.67]
3 Texas Longhorns 2.459 [10.08-1.92]
4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2.389 [11.21-0.79]
5 Miami Hurricanes 2.235 [10.90-1.10]
6 LSU Tigers 2.046 [8.26-3.74]
7 Indiana Hoosiers 2.035 [10.87-1.13]
8 Utah Utes 1.959 [10.86-1.14]
9 Ohio State Buckeyes 1.925 [9.54-2.46]
10 Tennessee Volunteers 1.858 [8.01-3.99]
11 Ole Miss Rebels 1.849 [7.40-4.60]
12 Mississippi State Bulldogs 1.789 [7.34-4.66]
13 Florida Gators 1.773 [7.45-4.55]
14 Kentucky Wildcats 1.733 [7.41-4.59]
15 Missouri Tigers 1.715 [7.19-4.81]
16 Texas Tech Red Raiders 1.604 [10.45-1.55]
17 Auburn Tigers 1.579 [6.17-5.83]
18 Texas A&M Aggies 1.578 [6.73-5.27]
19 BYU Cougars 1.525 [8.80-3.20]
20 Oregon Ducks 1.445 [9.09-2.91]
21 Vanderbilt Commodores 1.431 [5.77-6.23]
22 Oklahoma Sooners 1.414 [5.63-6.37]
23 Iowa Hawkeyes 1.340 [8.72-3.28]
24 Pittsburgh Panthers 1.292 [9.49-2.51]
25 Northwestern Wildcats 1.241 [8.10-3.90]

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