Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 4, 2026, 10:34 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
2.701 [10.64-1.36] |
| 2 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
2.476 [10.33-1.67] |
| 3 |
Texas Longhorns
|
2.459 [10.08-1.92] |
| 4 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
2.389 [11.21-0.79] |
| 5 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
2.235 [10.90-1.10] |
| 6 |
LSU Tigers
|
2.046 [8.26-3.74] |
| 7 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
2.035 [10.87-1.13] |
| 8 |
Utah Utes
|
1.959 [10.86-1.14] |
| 9 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
1.925 [9.54-2.46] |
| 10 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
1.858 [8.01-3.99] |
| 11 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
1.849 [7.40-4.60] |
| 12 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
1.789 [7.34-4.66] |
| 13 |
Florida Gators
|
1.773 [7.45-4.55] |
| 14 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
1.733 [7.41-4.59] |
| 15 |
Missouri Tigers
|
1.715 [7.19-4.81] |
| 16 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
1.604 [10.45-1.55] |
| 17 |
Auburn Tigers
|
1.579 [6.17-5.83] |
| 18 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
1.578 [6.73-5.27] |
| 19 |
BYU Cougars
|
1.525 [8.80-3.20] |
| 20 |
Oregon Ducks
|
1.445 [9.09-2.91] |
| 21 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
1.431 [5.77-6.23] |
| 22 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
1.414 [5.63-6.37] |
| 23 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
1.340 [8.72-3.28] |
| 24 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
1.292 [9.49-2.51] |
| 25 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
1.241 [8.10-3.90] |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.72 |
| 2 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.99 |
| 7 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Utah Utes
|
0.06 |
| 9 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.94 |
| 11 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.14 |
| 12 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
0.37 |
| 13 |
Florida Gators
|
0.25 |
| 14 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
2.67 |
| 15 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
-1.09 |
| 17 |
Auburn Tigers
|
8.20 |
| 18 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
6.94 |
| 19 |
BYU Cougars
|
-1.90 |
| 20 |
Oregon Ducks
|
-0.11 |
| 21 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
4.23 |
| 22 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
3.18 |
| 23 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
-0.09 |
| 25 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
UCLA Bruins
|
0.99 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
0.22 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.48 |
USC Trojans
|
0.25 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
0.16 |
Houston Cougars
|
0.25 |
Total Score: 34.22