/r/CFB Poll

Overall Rationale: Generated from GippyRank4, a probabilistic college-football ranking model that estimates underlying team quality from game performance and expresses uncertainty rather than treating rank as perfectly known. This ballot uses the 2026 Week 3 Predictive Context rankings. Predictive estimates current underlying team quality using preseason information plus games.

Explore the rankings and uncertainty at: https://sirgippy.github.io/GippyRank4/

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	GippyRank expected rank: 5.5. Central 80% interval: 1–12. Top-25 probability: 98.8%.
2	Georgia Bulldogs	GippyRank expected rank: 6.9. Central 80% interval: 2–15. Top-25 probability: 97.6%.
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	GippyRank expected rank: 8.1. Central 80% interval: 2–17. Top-25 probability: 96.3%.
4	Texas Longhorns	GippyRank expected rank: 8.8. Central 80% interval: 2–18. Top-25 probability: 95.9%.
5	Miami Hurricanes	GippyRank expected rank: 8.8. Central 80% interval: 2–18. Top-25 probability: 95.7%.
6	Texas A&M Aggies	GippyRank expected rank: 9.0. Central 80% interval: 2–19. Top-25 probability: 95.5%.
7	Alabama Crimson Tide	GippyRank expected rank: 9.0. Central 80% interval: 2–19. Top-25 probability: 95.7%.
8	Indiana Hoosiers	GippyRank expected rank: 9.2. Central 80% interval: 2–19. Top-25 probability: 95%.
9	LSU Tigers	GippyRank expected rank: 12.8. Central 80% interval: 4–26. Top-25 probability: 90%.
10	USC Trojans	GippyRank expected rank: 14.1. Central 80% interval: 3–29. Top-25 probability: 86%.
11	Oregon Ducks	GippyRank expected rank: 15.5. Central 80% interval: 2–37. Top-25 probability: 81%.
12	Oklahoma Sooners	GippyRank expected rank: 16.4. Central 80% interval: 4–34. Top-25 probability: 81%.
13	Utah Utes	GippyRank expected rank: 17.7. Central 80% interval: 4–38. Top-25 probability: 79%.
14	Florida Gators	GippyRank expected rank: 18.3. Central 80% interval: 5–39. Top-25 probability: 77%.
15	Tennessee Volunteers	GippyRank expected rank: 18.7. Central 80% interval: 4–40. Top-25 probability: 76%.
16	Kansas State Wildcats	GippyRank expected rank: 20.5. Central 80% interval: 5–44. Top-25 probability: 73%.
17	BYU Cougars	GippyRank expected rank: 20.9. Central 80% interval: 4–46. Top-25 probability: 71%.
18	Michigan Wolverines	GippyRank expected rank: 21.9. Central 80% interval: 5–46. Top-25 probability: 69%.
19	Penn State Nittany Lions	GippyRank expected rank: 22.2. Central 80% interval: 6–45. Top-25 probability: 68%.
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	GippyRank expected rank: 23.1. Central 80% interval: 7–46. Top-25 probability: 66%.
21	Ole Miss Rebels	GippyRank expected rank: 24.1. Central 80% interval: 5–50. Top-25 probability: 63%.
22	South Carolina Gamecocks	GippyRank expected rank: 25.1. Central 80% interval: 6–52. Top-25 probability: 61%.
23	Virginia Cavaliers	GippyRank expected rank: 25.3. Central 80% interval: 7–53. Top-25 probability: 63%.
24	Iowa Hawkeyes	GippyRank expected rank: 25.5. Central 80% interval: 6–52. Top-25 probability: 60%.
25	Nebraska Cornhuskers	GippyRank expected rank: 25.8. Central 80% interval: 7–51. Top-25 probability: 59%.

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.73
2	Georgia Bulldogs	0.33
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
4	Texas Longhorns	0.00
5	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
6	Texas A&M Aggies	0.12
7	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.11
8	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
9	LSU Tigers	0.00
10	USC Trojans	0.00
11	Oregon Ducks	3.06
12	Oklahoma Sooners	4.15
13	Utah Utes	0.00
14	Florida Gators	1.83
15	Tennessee Volunteers	0.00
16	Kansas State Wildcats	3.72
17	BYU Cougars	-0.25
18	Michigan Wolverines	0.12
19	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	0.36
21	Ole Miss Rebels	-1.69
22	South Carolina Gamecocks	0.82
23	Virginia Cavaliers	0.00
24	Iowa Hawkeyes	-0.39
25	Nebraska Cornhuskers	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Texas Tech Red Raiders	1.27
SMU Mustangs	1.14
Houston Cougars	0.43
Missouri Tigers	0.47
Louisville Cardinals	0.15

Total Score: 21.15

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sirgippy Ballot for 2026 Week 3

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