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CallingUagoatUgoat Ballot for 2023 Week 15 & Bowls

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Dec. 3, 2023, 4:33 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Wins earn a team points. Losses lose points. How many points earned/lost is dependent on the quality of a team's opponent (both at the time you played them and currently). Opponent quality is determined by SP+ ranking. Margin of victory (MOV) is not factored into these rankings, not because I don't think it's a good indicator of a team's strength, but because, at the end of the season, the CFP committee looks more at who you beat and less about how you beat them.

Rank Team Reason
1 Washington Huskies 62.5 pts.
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 57.5 pts. I will unapologetically defend Alabama being ranked ahead of Texas. I choose not to ignore other important metrics to focus solely on record and head-to-head. Alabama has two SP+ T-10 wins (Texas has 1). Alabama has three SP+ T-25 wins (Texas has 1). Alabama has the better "best win", #2 Georgia vs. #7 Alabama, according to SP+. Alabama has the better loss, #6 Texas vs #13 Oklahoma, according to SP+. Alabama SOS - 5, Texas SOS - 13. As far as I can see, Texas has the advantage in SOR (5 vs 6) and head-to-head. My model reflects this (Alabama has a 12-point lead over Texas after conference championship games).
3 Florida State Seminoles 51.5 pts.
4 Michigan Wolverines 47.0 pts.
5 Texas Longhorns 45.5 pts.
6 Georgia Bulldogs 44.5 pts.
7 Ohio State Buckeyes 41.5 pts.
8 Ole Miss Rebels 32.5 pts.
9 Oregon Ducks 31.5 pts.
10 Missouri Tigers 31.5 pts.
11 Oklahoma Sooners 30.5 pts.
12 LSU Tigers 27.5 pts.
13 Liberty Flames 26.0 pts.
14 Penn State Nittany Lions 21.0 pts.
15 NC State Wolfpack 21.0 pts.
16 Arizona Wildcats 20.5 pts.
17 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 20.0 pts.
18 Louisville Cardinals 19.5 pts.
19 Utah Utes 18.0 pts.
20 SMU Mustangs 15.5 pts.
21 Iowa Hawkeyes 15.5 pts.
22 Tennessee Volunteers 14.0 pts.
23 Clemson Tigers 14.0 pts.
24 Troy Trojans 14.0 pts.
25 James Madison Dukes 13.0 pts.

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