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WillWorkForSugar Ballot for 2023 Week 7

Ballot Type: Human

Submitted: Oct. 9, 2023, 9:12 p.m.

Overall Rationale: I believe that by the end of the regular season ratings should be based solely on resume, but until then you need to include some judgment of a team's quality other than the quality of their resume. So this is essentially a prediction of "how will these teams be ranked at the end of the regular season in a purely resume-based ranking?". So 4-2 but likely to finish 10-3 is better than 5-1 but likely to finish 8-4. (given same SoS.) To this end I am looking at teams' records and schedules, resume ratings like strength of record, and computer ratings like FPI and Massey.

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes computer ratings have them best or near it, and they have a quality win
2 Georgia Bulldogs computer ratings have them best or near it, and they are defending B2B champs
3 Oklahoma Sooners computer ratings have them best or near it, and they have a quality win. (any of these top 3 teams could be #1)
4 Michigan Wolverines about #4 on paper, and they have been dominant
5 Penn State Nittany Lions about #5 on paper, and they have been dominant
6 Oregon Ducks computer ratings like them about this much, and they have been dominant
7 Florida State Seminoles computer ratings think they're not great, but they have a quality win
8 Washington Huskies computer ratings have them in the 7-10 range, and they have been dominant except @ arizona. but no real tests yet
9 Texas Longhorns computer ratings have them near best, and they have a quality win and only lost to OU
10 Alabama Crimson Tide computer ratings have them near best, and they have a quality win and only lost to texas
11 USC Trojans computer ratings have them highish, and they are undefeated, but they have had a lot of close calls
12 North Carolina Tar Heels computer ratings have them second-lowest of the P5 undefeated teams
13 Louisville Cardinals computer ratings don't really like them, but they are undefeated with a quality win
14 Ole Miss Rebels computer ratings like them and they have a quality win
15 Oregon State Beavers computer ratings like them most of the 1 ranked loss crowd
16 Notre Dame Fighting Irish two losses but it's to good teams and computer ratings still think they're around here
17 Utah Utes ranked win ranked loss
18 Wisconsin Badgers computer ratings have them as solid, and their only loss is to wsu
19 UCLA Bruins ranked win ranked loss, but computer ratings doubt them more
20 Washington State Cougars worst of teams in this 15-20 tier b/c computer ratings hate em
21 LSU Tigers sue me. computer ratings love em despite 2 losses
22 Tennessee Volunteers this is the prototypical resume of a #22 team
23 Duke Blue Devils this is the prototypical resume of a #23 team
24 Iowa Hawkeyes where we're going we don't need offense
25 Texas A&M Aggies sue me again. computer ratings love em despite 2 losses

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