Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 8, 2022, 8:07 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Strength of record rankings. These rankings use my predictive power rankings to calculate the probability that an average FBS team would have the given team's record (or better) against their schedule. Those probabilities are shown for each team.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	TCU Horned Frogs	0.02%
2	Georgia Bulldogs	0.03%
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.06%
4	Tennessee Volunteers	0.23%
5	Michigan Wolverines	0.34%
6	Clemson Tigers	0.78%
7	Oregon Ducks	0.88%
8	USC Trojans	1.36%
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	1.42%
10	LSU Tigers	1.60%
11	Ole Miss Rebels	2.03%
12	UCLA Bruins	2.35%
13	North Carolina Tar Heels	2.46%
14	Penn State Nittany Lions	3.30%
15	Tulane Green Wave	4.06%
16	NC State Wolfpack	4.08%
17	Texas Longhorns	4.66%
18	Kansas State Wildcats	4.78%
19	Utah Utes	5.55%
20	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5.77%
21	Liberty Flames	6.24%
22	Kansas Jayhawks	6.62%
23	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	9.99%
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	11.17%
25	UCF Knights	11.31%

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	TCU Horned Frogs	1.20
2	Georgia Bulldogs	-0.16
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
4	Tennessee Volunteers	0.29
5	Michigan Wolverines	-1.30
6	Clemson Tigers	1.11
7	Oregon Ducks	0.00
8	USC Trojans	0.00
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.05
10	LSU Tigers	0.00
11	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00
12	UCLA Bruins	-0.51
13	North Carolina Tar Heels	0.00
14	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
15	Tulane Green Wave	0.00
16	NC State Wolfpack	0.05
17	Texas Longhorns	0.00
18	Kansas State Wildcats	0.30
19	Utah Utes	-1.45
20	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5.01
21	Liberty Flames	0.00
22	Kansas Jayhawks	2.61
23	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	0.00
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	0.82
25	UCF Knights	-0.26

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Illinois Fighting Illini	0.97
Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.47
Washington Huskies	0.57
Florida State Seminoles	0.10

Total Score: 17.24