Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 7, 2022, 5:28 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Week 11 notes: Deservedness keeps teams such as Texas out when I would have them over some of the teams in this poll. General: 1st layer, computer portion: SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. 2nd layer, human portion: home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). 3rd layer, human portion: wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. 4th layer, computer portion: Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 6-3 Texas can be ranked over 7-2 NC State, but 6-3 Texas cannot be ranked over 8-1 Coastal Carolina even if rankings have Texas over Coastal Carolina and/or I think Texas is better than Coastal Carolina).
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Bulldogs | Far removed from the CMU sluggishness |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Northwestern game not a factor - Georgia just has better win at the moment |
3 | Tennessee Volunteers | Close-ish loss on the road to a top-3 team doesn’t seem to penalize them too much |
4 | Michigan Wolverines | |
5 | TCU Horned Frogs | Lower in computer portion |
6 | Oregon Ducks | |
7 | UCLA Bruins | |
8 | Clemson Tigers | Didn’t know how much they would drop after Notre Dame loss |
9 | LSU Tigers | Only reason FSU isn’t ranked is because of Deservedness |
10 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Computer portion has them higher |
11 | Utah Utes | Utah above USC as its loss was by 1 point on the road while having a slightly harder schedule so far |
12 | USC Trojans | |
13 | Penn State Nittany Lions | |
14 | Ole Miss Rebels | |
15 | Illinois Fighting Illini | Computer portion has them lower. Human side is willing to give them the benefit of the doubt as Michigan State was likely to get another conference win somewhere |
16 | Washington Huskies | |
17 | North Carolina Tar Heels | Close margins has computer portion ranking them much lower |
18 | Tulane Green Wave | Computer portion has them lower. Don’t trust them 100% yet |
19 | NC State Wolfpack | They and Liberty are 50/50, depends on injuries |
20 | Liberty Flames | BYU and Arkansas were much better teams earlier in the season than they were when Liberty played them after injuries and demotivation. Computer portion has them much lower and even human side doesn’t like it, but they’re only here because of Deservedness. |
21 | UCF Knights | Only here because of Deservedness |
22 | Cincinnati Bearcats | Only here because of Deservedness |
23 | Troy Trojans | Only here because of Deservedness |
24 | South Alabama Jaguars | Only here because of Deservedness |
25 | UTSA Roadrunners | Only here because of Deservedness. Next five some combination of Texas, Kansas State, Mississippi State, Wake Forest, and Coastal Carolina |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
3 | Tennessee Volunteers | 1.18 |
4 | Michigan Wolverines | -0.30 |
5 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0.00 |
6 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
7 | UCLA Bruins | 0.01 |
8 | Clemson Tigers | 0.45 |
9 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
10 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
11 | Utah Utes | 0.00 |
12 | USC Trojans | -0.43 |
13 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
14 | Ole Miss Rebels | -0.46 |
15 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 1.10 |
16 | Washington Huskies | 1.58 |
17 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 0.00 |
18 | Tulane Green Wave | 0.00 |
19 | NC State Wolfpack | 0.00 |
20 | Liberty Flames | 0.00 |
21 | UCF Knights | 0.00 |
22 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 2.63 |
23 | Troy Trojans | 1.85 |
24 | South Alabama Jaguars | 1.06 |
25 | UTSA Roadrunners | 0.05 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Texas Longhorns | 0.94 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.47 |
Kansas State Wildcats | 0.49 |
Florida State Seminoles | 0.10 |
Total Score: 13.09