Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 6, 2022, 12:14 p.m.
Overall Rationale: These are the teams I believe are the best in college football. In general, I would expect any given team to win more than 50% of the time on a neutral field against all the teams ranked below it. I start with an average of predictive computer models and make subjective adjustments as necessary. It would be very dumb indeed to determine a playoff based on these rankings. Playoffs should be determined by some objective measure of deservedness, not by an analysis of which teams are best. But the latter is what I understand to be the purpose of a poll.
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.65 |
| 2 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-0.16 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
2.25 |
| 4 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
-0.30 |
| 5 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Texas Longhorns
|
2.87 |
| 7 |
Utah Utes
|
1.41 |
| 8 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
1.50 |
| 9 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Oregon Ducks
|
-1.37 |
| 11 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
-4.05 |
| 13 |
Baylor Bears
|
11.30 |
| 14 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
1.39 |
| 15 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
1.16 |
| 16 |
USC Trojans
|
-1.98 |
| 17 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
-1.63 |
| 18 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
1.77 |
| 19 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
5.82 |
| 20 |
UCLA Bruins
|
-3.75 |
| 21 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
4.12 |
| 22 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
2.83 |
| 23 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
2.20 |
| 24 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
1.12 |
| 25 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
-0.65 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
North Carolina Tar Heels
|
2.72 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
2.33 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
1.84 |
Liberty Flames
|
0.63 |
UCF Knights
|
0.64 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.57 |
Total Score: 63.00