Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 6, 2022, 12:14 p.m.
Overall Rationale: These are the teams I believe are the best in college football. In general, I would expect any given team to win more than 50% of the time on a neutral field against all the teams ranked below it. I start with an average of predictive computer models and make subjective adjustments as necessary. It would be very dumb indeed to determine a playoff based on these rankings. Playoffs should be determined by some objective measure of deservedness, not by an analysis of which teams are best. But the latter is what I understand to be the purpose of a poll.
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.65 |
2 | Georgia Bulldogs | -0.16 |
3 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 2.25 |
4 | Michigan Wolverines | -0.30 |
5 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
6 | Texas Longhorns | 2.87 |
7 | Utah Utes | 1.41 |
8 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 1.50 |
9 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
10 | Oregon Ducks | -1.37 |
11 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
12 | TCU Horned Frogs | -4.05 |
13 | Baylor Bears | 11.30 |
14 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1.39 |
15 | Kansas State Wildcats | 1.16 |
16 | USC Trojans | -1.98 |
17 | Ole Miss Rebels | -1.63 |
18 | Florida State Seminoles | 1.77 |
19 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 5.82 |
20 | UCLA Bruins | -3.75 |
21 | Wisconsin Badgers | 4.12 |
22 | Louisville Cardinals | 2.83 |
23 | Oklahoma Sooners | 2.20 |
24 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 1.12 |
25 | Illinois Fighting Illini | -0.65 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
North Carolina Tar Heels | 2.72 |
Tulane Green Wave | 2.33 |
NC State Wolfpack | 1.84 |
Liberty Flames | 0.63 |
UCF Knights | 0.64 |
Washington Huskies | 0.57 |
Total Score: 63.00