Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 23, 2022, 12:23 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Likelihood of wins+: A metric that rewards good performance against difficult opponents. If a team plays a nobody schedule, they don't deserve by default a high rank until they prove it on the field against good competition. It attempts to answer the question of how likely is it that an average team would have the same record or better. The values shown are that computed likelihood. This methodology is more volatile earlier in the season. The reasons are unrelated.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Clemson Tigers | 0.0017099 The better orange |
2 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00175927 Defense need not apply, but someone may need to apply to play defense, they're running thin on players. |
3 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0.00331878 Lizards are cool |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00787329 Who would have thought that tides are a pirate's worst nightmare? |
5 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00932216 Can't just expect to not play and move up |
6 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.0146111 Impressive, proving that they can win even when Iowa gifted them the ball every play |
7 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.0189011 Cowboys wrangle longhorns, naturally |
8 | Oregon Ducks | 0.030996 Georgia game was obvious fluke |
9 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.0350423 Dropped a spot because playing literally nobody this week doesn't help their sorry SOS. Oregon was a fluke. |
10 | USC Trojans | 0.0604506 Didn't play, but moving up |
11 | Syracuse Orange | 0.0649829 The lesser orange. You definitely don't want Dino on your bomb disposal team. |
12 | LSU Tigers | 0.0677987 Rumors of demise may have been slightly biased against BK. |
13 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.0737612 Wake still great |
14 | UCLA Bruins | 0.0765384 Quacked |
15 | NC State Wolfpack | 0.0811529 Toughest test of the season next week against Hokies. |
16 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.0877845 Turned the boat over |
17 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.0880549 Surrendered |
18 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.0994359 Have to win one of those eventually |
19 | Maryland Terrapins | 0.10116 I like turtles |
20 | Tulane Green Wave | 0.107743 what's a second half? |
21 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 0.132549 Best orange team in the BIG |
22 | Troy Trojans | 0.136612 Most consistent sun belt |
23 | Liberty Flames | 0.147257 Holier |
24 | Oregon State Beavers | 0.148364 Beavers beaving |
25 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 0.165589 Forgotten about? |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Clemson Tigers | 1.40 |
2 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
3 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0.92 |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.77 |
5 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
6 | Ohio State Buckeyes | -1.20 |
7 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.50 |
8 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
9 | Georgia Bulldogs | -4.47 |
10 | USC Trojans | 0.00 |
11 | Syracuse Orange | 0.30 |
12 | LSU Tigers | 1.09 |
13 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.00 |
14 | UCLA Bruins | 0.00 |
15 | NC State Wolfpack | 2.00 |
16 | Penn State Nittany Lions | -0.23 |
17 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.00 |
18 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.26 |
19 | Maryland Terrapins | 4.87 |
20 | Tulane Green Wave | 0.00 |
21 | Illinois Fighting Illini | -0.59 |
22 | Troy Trojans | 3.00 |
23 | Liberty Flames | 0.08 |
24 | Oregon State Beavers | 0.00 |
25 | North Carolina Tar Heels | -0.58 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Utah Utes | 2.08 |
Cincinnati Bearcats | 0.81 |
Kentucky Wildcats | 0.70 |
Total Score: 25.86