Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Sept. 4, 2018, 5:35 p.m.
Overall Rationale: My hybrid poll utilizes two computer polls. A preseason component that I will phase out as the season goes along and a results-oriented poll. The preseason component is 85% this week and the results-oriented poll is 15%.The Preseason component is made up of Past season's results, Returning production, 2 year recruiting Avg., and Coaching continuity. The results-oriented component is made up of Winning %, Points per Game differential, Yards per Play differential, and Strength of Schedule.Once the overall rankings are developed, I split the teams that are close to each other into tiers and re-rank within the tiers. This week the tiers were as follows:Tier A: 1-2Tier B: 3-4Tiers C-F: 5-8 (1 team slotted into each tier)Tier G: 9-12Tier H: 13Tier I: 14-18Tier J: 19-20Tier K: 21-28The 3 teams that were in Tier K, but that I did not rank were Miami, Florida State, and Oklahoma State
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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1/2 in Tier A: Looked dominant against a quality Louisville team |
2 |
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2/2 in Tier A: Behind Bama for now, due to the Crimson Tide's much higher quality Week 1 opponent |
3 |
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1/2 in Tier B: Took care of business against Austin Peay |
4 |
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2/2 in Tier B: Ranked behind Georgia within Tier due to questions on Defense in allowing 31 points against Oregon State. |
5 |
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Only Tier C team |
6 |
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Only Tier D team |
7 |
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Only Tier E team |
8 |
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Only Tier F team |
9 |
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1/4 in Tier G: Beat a good Michigan team |
10 |
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2/4 in Tier G: Blew out Northwestern State |
11 |
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3/4 in Tier G: Despite loss, it was to a quality Auburn team on the opposite side of the country. |
12 |
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4/4 in Tier G: Ranked behind Washington due to unimpressive showing against SDSU. |
13 |
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Only Tier H team |
14 |
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1/5 in Tier I: Beat good Washington team |
15 |
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2/5 in Tier I: Explosive on Offense, despite slow start against Weber State |
16 |
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3/5 in Tier I: Dominated UMass |
17 |
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4/5 in Tier I: Despite loss, it was on the road against a quality ND team. |
18 |
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5/5 in Tier I: Overall unimpressive showing against UNLV. Questions on Defense, particularly against the Run. |
19 |
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1/2 in Tier J: Despite being taken to OT, placed atop Tier due to the reasons given in the GT reasons. |
20 |
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2/2 in Tier J: Dominated FCS Alcorn State. Placed here as personally I don't think they're anywhere near deserving of being ranked, but my computer likes them a lot. YPP differential in particular helped them I believe. |
21 |
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1/8 in Tier K: Away win against decent Purdue team on the road. |
22 |
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2/8 in Tier K: Dominated FCS Mercer. Highest ranked G5 team by my computer. G5 teams were under-ranked in Preseason rankings IMO, likely due to the Recuriting Avg. component. Due to the Preseason ranking still being 85% of my computer rankings, it will likely take a couple weeks for G5 teams to be properly ranked. |
23 |
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3/8 in Tier K: Edge over TCU/Mizzou due to having a more explosive offense in opening game and doing so against a Sun Belt team (compared with FCS teams by the other teams) |
24 |
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4/8 in Tier K |
25 |
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5/8 in Tier K: Missouri gets last spot over Miami (7/8 in Tier K), FSU (8/8 in Tier K), or Oklahoma State (6/8 in Tier K). Miami & FSU were blown out in openers. Oklahoma State has a lot of questions despite beating up on Missouri State. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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0.00 |
6 |
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2.17 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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9.43 |
9 |
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0.00 |
10 |
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8.55 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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0.11 |
14 |
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-2.34 |
15 |
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6.43 |
16 |
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5.08 |
17 |
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0.71 |
18 |
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0.00 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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5.06 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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2.81 |
23 |
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0.00 |
24 |
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-1.33 |
25 |
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0.20 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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2.37 |
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1.76 |
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1.66 |
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0.89 |
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0.93 |
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0.23 |
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0.28 |
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0.16 |
Total Score: 52.49