Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Sept. 5, 2018, 12:40 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Computer model as before, but this time I combined preseason rankings + first week results in an OLS model to predict final rankings. For teams that played FCS opponents, I assumed the strength of the opponent was just a bit lower than the lowest FBS teams. This produced the best predictive power. Iowa is the one team that stands out here. Is Iowa a good team? Yes. Is it a  #11 team? Probably not, but we'll have to wait and see. Ole Miss should take #22, but it seems to be missing from the poll. 

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Alabama Crimson Tide
2	Clemson Tigers
3	Ohio State Buckeyes
4	Oklahoma Sooners
5	Georgia Bulldogs
6	Auburn Tigers
7	Wisconsin Badgers
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
9	LSU Tigers
10	Virginia Tech Hokies
11	Iowa Hawkeyes
12	Mississippi State Bulldogs
13	TCU Horned Frogs
14	Stanford Cardinal
15	West Virginia Mountaineers
16	Washington Huskies
17	Penn State Nittany Lions
18	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
19	Michigan Wolverines
20	South Carolina Gamecocks
21	Oklahoma State Cowboys
22	Michigan State Spartans
23	Miami Hurricanes
24	USC Trojans
25	UCF Knights

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
2	Clemson Tigers	0.00
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.11
4	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
5	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
6	Auburn Tigers	0.00
7	Wisconsin Badgers	0.00
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
9	LSU Tigers	0.00
10	Virginia Tech Hokies	0.00
11	Iowa Hawkeyes	6.95
12	Mississippi State Bulldogs	0.79
13	TCU Horned Frogs	0.00
14	Stanford Cardinal	0.00
15	West Virginia Mountaineers	0.00
16	Washington Huskies	0.00
17	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
18	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	7.06
19	Michigan Wolverines	0.14
20	South Carolina Gamecocks	0.62
21	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.00
22	Michigan State Spartans	-0.36
23	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
24	USC Trojans	-1.13
25	UCF Knights	-0.69

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Boise State Broncos	0.93
Oregon Ducks	0.28

Total Score: 19.06