Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 25, 2022, 9:10 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Strength of record rankings. These rankings use my predictive power rankings to calculate the probability that an average FBS team would have the given team's record (or better) against their schedule. Those probabilities are shown for each team.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Clemson Tigers	0.10%
2	TCU Horned Frogs	0.18%
3	Tennessee Volunteers	0.34%
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.53%
5	Georgia Bulldogs	0.76%
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.84%
7	Michigan Wolverines	1.29%
8	Oklahoma State Cowboys	1.81%
9	USC Trojans	2.86%
10	Oregon Ducks	3.26%
11	Ole Miss Rebels	3.63%
12	Syracuse Orange	3.79%
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	4.39%
14	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	5.61%
15	Tulane Green Wave	6.07%
16	LSU Tigers	6.42%
17	Kansas State Wildcats	7.26%
18	UCLA Bruins	8.13%
19	NC State Wolfpack	9.02%
20	Illinois Fighting Illini	9.88%
21	North Carolina Tar Heels	10.41%
22	Liberty Flames	10.53%
23	Texas Longhorns	11.72%
24	Oregon State Beavers	13.17%
25	Cincinnati Bearcats	13.81%

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Clemson Tigers	1.40
2	TCU Horned Frogs	1.50
3	Tennessee Volunteers	0.00
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.77
5	Georgia Bulldogs	-1.37
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	-1.20
7	Michigan Wolverines	-1.42
8	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.04
9	USC Trojans	0.20
10	Oregon Ducks	0.00
11	Ole Miss Rebels	0.42
12	Syracuse Orange	0.01
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
14	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	0.00
15	Tulane Green Wave	0.86
16	LSU Tigers	0.00
17	Kansas State Wildcats	0.57
18	UCLA Bruins	-0.82
19	NC State Wolfpack	0.66
20	Illinois Fighting Illini	-0.29
21	North Carolina Tar Heels	0.00
22	Liberty Flames	0.57
23	Texas Longhorns	0.02
24	Oregon State Beavers	0.00
25	Cincinnati Bearcats	-0.51

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Utah Utes	2.08
Kentucky Wildcats	0.70

Total Score: 15.42