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MADBuc49 Ballot for 2022 Week 9

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Oct. 23, 2022, 4:37 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Week 9 notes: Deservedness keeps teams such as Texas out when I would have them over some of the teams in this poll. General: 1st layer, computer portion: SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. 2nd layer, human portion: home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). 3rd layer, human portion: wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. 4th layer, computer portion: Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 5-3 Texas cannot be ranked over 5-1 Coastal Carolina even if rankings have Texas over Coastal Carolina and/or I think Texas is better than Coastal Carolina).

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes Has done everything to warrant the #1 ranking
2 Tennessee Volunteers No change - result as expected
3 Georgia Bulldogs No change - result as expected
4 Alabama Crimson Tide No change - result as expected
5 Michigan Wolverines No change - bye week
6 Clemson Tigers No change - result as expected
7 TCU Horned Frogs No change - result as expected
8 Oregon Ducks Not much room to climb
9 Oklahoma State Cowboys Should not get dinged for winning a close game against one of the base top 25 teams before Deservedness
10 UCLA Bruins Computer and human portions are somewhat close to each other individually. Surprised the computer portion still has them high even with a 2 TD loss
11 USC Trojans Computer portion has them higher, human portion has Utah above them
12 Wake Forest Demon Deacons Computer portion has them much lower, but they’ve been a much better team since getting Hartman back
13 Penn State Nittany Lions If I had to guess, they’ll still be in about the same relative spot if they lose to Ohio State next week
14 Utah Utes Loss to Florida keeps looking more and more like a week 1 thing
15 Kansas State Wildcats Close loss to one of the top teams while on the road shouldn’t be penalized too much
16 LSU Tigers FSU is still a top team (kept off due to Deservedness) and loss to Tennessee is more justified
17 Ole Miss Rebels Their third straight week falling. LSU’s a talented team, but they might not climb if they keep starting slow and waiting for teams to screw up instead of going out and proactively winning games
18 Syracuse Orange One of the rare times a team rises in rankings after a loss when Deservedness isn’t a factor for them. They don’t have a great computer computer or human portion, but have got the job done through 2/3 season so far
19 Oregon State Beavers Looks like the team might drop some if they keep winning close games, but they are higher up than Syracuse in computer portion
20 Illinois Fighting Illini They’ll have tests against a feisty Nebraska, maybe-healthier Michigan State, and rough Purdue team in the next few weeks
21 South Carolina Gamecocks Computer portion: not great. Human portion: cock good enough. Deservedness keeping Texas out
22 Tulane Green Wave On thin ice with the Southern Miss loss. Deservedness keeping Texas out
23 North Carolina Tar Heels Ranking seems to depend on Notre Dame situation. Deservedness keeping Texas out
24 Kentucky Wildcats Not sure what’ll happen to them if they lose big time Tennessee. Deservedness keeping Texas out
25 Cincinnati Bearcats SMU is a decent-enough opponent and computer portion has them higher up, but they’ve been playing everyone close this season and need to dominate if they want to climb rankings. They would be out of top 25 if NC State still had Leary and/or Texas had 2 losses. Next five (alphabetical): Maryland, NC State, South Alabama, Troy, Washington

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