Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 23, 2022, 4:37 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Week 9 notes: Deservedness keeps teams such as Texas out when I would have them over some of the teams in this poll. General: 1st layer, computer portion: SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. 2nd layer, human portion: home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). 3rd layer, human portion: wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. 4th layer, computer portion: Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 5-3 Texas cannot be ranked over 5-1 Coastal Carolina even if rankings have Texas over Coastal Carolina and/or I think Texas is better than Coastal Carolina).
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Has done everything to warrant the #1 ranking |
2 | Tennessee Volunteers | No change - result as expected |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | No change - result as expected |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | No change - result as expected |
5 | Michigan Wolverines | No change - bye week |
6 | Clemson Tigers | No change - result as expected |
7 | TCU Horned Frogs | No change - result as expected |
8 | Oregon Ducks | Not much room to climb |
9 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Should not get dinged for winning a close game against one of the base top 25 teams before Deservedness |
10 | UCLA Bruins | Computer and human portions are somewhat close to each other individually. Surprised the computer portion still has them high even with a 2 TD loss |
11 | USC Trojans | Computer portion has them higher, human portion has Utah above them |
12 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Computer portion has them much lower, but they’ve been a much better team since getting Hartman back |
13 | Penn State Nittany Lions | If I had to guess, they’ll still be in about the same relative spot if they lose to Ohio State next week |
14 | Utah Utes | Loss to Florida keeps looking more and more like a week 1 thing |
15 | Kansas State Wildcats | Close loss to one of the top teams while on the road shouldn’t be penalized too much |
16 | LSU Tigers | FSU is still a top team (kept off due to Deservedness) and loss to Tennessee is more justified |
17 | Ole Miss Rebels | Their third straight week falling. LSU’s a talented team, but they might not climb if they keep starting slow and waiting for teams to screw up instead of going out and proactively winning games |
18 | Syracuse Orange | One of the rare times a team rises in rankings after a loss when Deservedness isn’t a factor for them. They don’t have a great computer computer or human portion, but have got the job done through 2/3 season so far |
19 | Oregon State Beavers | Looks like the team might drop some if they keep winning close games, but they are higher up than Syracuse in computer portion |
20 | Illinois Fighting Illini | They’ll have tests against a feisty Nebraska, maybe-healthier Michigan State, and rough Purdue team in the next few weeks |
21 | South Carolina Gamecocks | Computer portion: not great. Human portion: cock good enough. Deservedness keeping Texas out |
22 | Tulane Green Wave | On thin ice with the Southern Miss loss. Deservedness keeping Texas out |
23 | North Carolina Tar Heels | Ranking seems to depend on Notre Dame situation. Deservedness keeping Texas out |
24 | Kentucky Wildcats | Not sure what’ll happen to them if they lose big time Tennessee. Deservedness keeping Texas out |
25 | Cincinnati Bearcats | SMU is a decent-enough opponent and computer portion has them higher up, but they’ve been playing everyone close this season and need to dominate if they want to climb rankings. They would be out of top 25 if NC State still had Leary and/or Texas had 2 losses. Next five (alphabetical): Maryland, NC State, South Alabama, Troy, Washington |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.08 |
2 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.77 |
5 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
6 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
7 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0.00 |
8 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
9 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.00 |
10 | UCLA Bruins | 0.35 |
11 | USC Trojans | 0.00 |
12 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.00 |
13 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
14 | Utah Utes | 0.00 |
15 | Kansas State Wildcats | 1.20 |
16 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
17 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.00 |
18 | Syracuse Orange | -0.22 |
19 | Oregon State Beavers | 2.80 |
20 | Illinois Fighting Illini | -0.29 |
21 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 1.43 |
22 | Tulane Green Wave | 0.00 |
23 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 0.00 |
24 | Kentucky Wildcats | -0.06 |
25 | Cincinnati Bearcats | -0.51 |